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NBA 602-600-11 +103.43 units
Nuggets/Pistons u212.5-105
Lakers/Mavericks u208.5-101
Celtics/Rockets u181.5-107
Warriors/Kings o229-105
Warriors team o58 1sth
3 units each
Round robin parlays
Pistons-5.5/Rockets-4.5
Pistons-5.5/Mavericks-5.5
Mavericks-5.5/Rockets-4.5
1 to win 2.6 units each
Also a Pistons, Bucks, Mavs, Rockets, Warriors ml parlay
.5 to win 2.66 units
Kicking it off with some thoughts, very exciting matchups for the next couple days.....
Detroit/Denver- Detroit off home wins vs NO & SA, after a Philly loss at home. They are on the front end of a b2b, traveling to Cleveland tomorrow. Denver is also on the front end of a b2b, with the Sixers on deck tomorrow. It is also the start of a 5 game East coast roadtrip. They are off a 52 pt home win vs the Sonics (LoL). This is a revenge game for the Nuggets, as they lost @ home 98-93. They only shot 36%, & all of Detroit's 5 starters got into DD. If you check my threads, you probably know that I love to fade the Nuggets on the road. I love to map out their road trips & find good spots to fade them. Philly could be a big play for me tomorrow, & I expect them to lose this game as well. However, I'm not sure that I'm comfortable laying 6+, so it may be connected to something else in a 4.5 pt teaser. Under looks very good to me, as the line is set a couple pts higher than it should be. Has a bunch to do with the Nuggets last total, but this is the Pistons we are talking about! Flip does not want to get into a shootout with the Nuggets, & his focal point will in all likelihood be ball movement & defense. I guess my main concern is that during this time of the season, Flip will look to get his role players much more time on the court, in an effort to not only protect his stars from fatigue, but also to get the bench crunch time experience. I would not be surprised at all to see Detroit up by 7 all game long, then see Stuckey, Maxiell & Jarvis Hayes close out the game. Lean Pistons & large lean to the under.
Dallas/Lakers- Should be a great one here. The Lakers are off 2 straight road losses (Houston & NO), & have lost 3 of 4. No Gasol instanly kicks a leg out of their offense, but on any given night Kobe is capable of dropping 50+. Revenge spot for the Mavs here, as they lost 108-104 in ot @ Staples. I grabbed the points there as LA was laying too much, but I don't think the dog will be getting any plays from me here. Dallas has won 5 straight games, & I know what you're gonna think. Those were vs Miami, Indy, Char, NY & NJ! Of course they won! Well, the thing that impresses me is the way in which they won. The Mavericks have not trailed at any point of their 5 game win streak. Look out houston lol. But seriously, it shows me that they aren't just sleepwalking through games. Though their last meeting topped out at 212, just 186 of those points came in regulation. Both teams shot under 40%. The meeting previous was a 112-105 home win for Dallas. Average combined total for these two would be 208, but I would have set this at 200, so I see value in the under here.
GS/Sac- Kings with double revenge & at home as dogs? Well, here's one anti-pub home dog that I don't think I can back. I just think the Warriors match up very well vs the Kings. The Kings do not play defense, & pg Udrih tend to push the ball & imo favors uptempo games, which in turn favors the Warriors. The Warriors are 2 days rested & on the front end of a b2b. They beat Memphis by 3 at home last game played. Two meeting between these two teams
@Sac- GS won 103-96 Kings shot 34%/GS shot 41.6 %
@GS- Warriors won 105-102
In the second meeting, the Warriors shot 41.8% & the Kings shot 45%. that's a touch below average, but they both shot a combined 10-47 from the 3 point line! KMart shot a dismal 3-16 for 9 points. The Kings are allowing opponents to shoot 46.6% fg & 81 attempts per game. They are also allowing 38% 3 pt shooting. That is the average allowed to the average offense, which the Warriors certainly aren't. I expect the Warriors to get 100 fg attempts tonight. Warrior's last 6 road games...
@Phx- lost 123-115
@Orl- won 104-95
@Mia- won 134-99
@Char- lost 118-109
@Atl- won 135-118
@Utah- lost 119-109
Tonights total is set at 229- 3 of the Warriors last 6 road games have gone over this total, & 2 that didn't were 227/228. The Warriors are in a situation where every single game is a must win if they want to see the post season. That being said, they are tough to trust on the road. lean to the Warriors & strong lean to the over...
Back with some more thoughts...
Nuggets/Pistons u212.5-105
Lakers/Mavericks u208.5-101
Celtics/Rockets u181.5-107
Warriors/Kings o229-105
Warriors team o58 1sth
3 units each
Round robin parlays
Pistons-5.5/Rockets-4.5
Pistons-5.5/Mavericks-5.5
Mavericks-5.5/Rockets-4.5
1 to win 2.6 units each
Also a Pistons, Bucks, Mavs, Rockets, Warriors ml parlay
.5 to win 2.66 units
Kicking it off with some thoughts, very exciting matchups for the next couple days.....
Detroit/Denver- Detroit off home wins vs NO & SA, after a Philly loss at home. They are on the front end of a b2b, traveling to Cleveland tomorrow. Denver is also on the front end of a b2b, with the Sixers on deck tomorrow. It is also the start of a 5 game East coast roadtrip. They are off a 52 pt home win vs the Sonics (LoL). This is a revenge game for the Nuggets, as they lost @ home 98-93. They only shot 36%, & all of Detroit's 5 starters got into DD. If you check my threads, you probably know that I love to fade the Nuggets on the road. I love to map out their road trips & find good spots to fade them. Philly could be a big play for me tomorrow, & I expect them to lose this game as well. However, I'm not sure that I'm comfortable laying 6+, so it may be connected to something else in a 4.5 pt teaser. Under looks very good to me, as the line is set a couple pts higher than it should be. Has a bunch to do with the Nuggets last total, but this is the Pistons we are talking about! Flip does not want to get into a shootout with the Nuggets, & his focal point will in all likelihood be ball movement & defense. I guess my main concern is that during this time of the season, Flip will look to get his role players much more time on the court, in an effort to not only protect his stars from fatigue, but also to get the bench crunch time experience. I would not be surprised at all to see Detroit up by 7 all game long, then see Stuckey, Maxiell & Jarvis Hayes close out the game. Lean Pistons & large lean to the under.
Dallas/Lakers- Should be a great one here. The Lakers are off 2 straight road losses (Houston & NO), & have lost 3 of 4. No Gasol instanly kicks a leg out of their offense, but on any given night Kobe is capable of dropping 50+. Revenge spot for the Mavs here, as they lost 108-104 in ot @ Staples. I grabbed the points there as LA was laying too much, but I don't think the dog will be getting any plays from me here. Dallas has won 5 straight games, & I know what you're gonna think. Those were vs Miami, Indy, Char, NY & NJ! Of course they won! Well, the thing that impresses me is the way in which they won. The Mavericks have not trailed at any point of their 5 game win streak. Look out houston lol. But seriously, it shows me that they aren't just sleepwalking through games. Though their last meeting topped out at 212, just 186 of those points came in regulation. Both teams shot under 40%. The meeting previous was a 112-105 home win for Dallas. Average combined total for these two would be 208, but I would have set this at 200, so I see value in the under here.
GS/Sac- Kings with double revenge & at home as dogs? Well, here's one anti-pub home dog that I don't think I can back. I just think the Warriors match up very well vs the Kings. The Kings do not play defense, & pg Udrih tend to push the ball & imo favors uptempo games, which in turn favors the Warriors. The Warriors are 2 days rested & on the front end of a b2b. They beat Memphis by 3 at home last game played. Two meeting between these two teams
@Sac- GS won 103-96 Kings shot 34%/GS shot 41.6 %
@GS- Warriors won 105-102
In the second meeting, the Warriors shot 41.8% & the Kings shot 45%. that's a touch below average, but they both shot a combined 10-47 from the 3 point line! KMart shot a dismal 3-16 for 9 points. The Kings are allowing opponents to shoot 46.6% fg & 81 attempts per game. They are also allowing 38% 3 pt shooting. That is the average allowed to the average offense, which the Warriors certainly aren't. I expect the Warriors to get 100 fg attempts tonight. Warrior's last 6 road games...
@Phx- lost 123-115
@Orl- won 104-95
@Mia- won 134-99
@Char- lost 118-109
@Atl- won 135-118
@Utah- lost 119-109
Tonights total is set at 229- 3 of the Warriors last 6 road games have gone over this total, & 2 that didn't were 227/228. The Warriors are in a situation where every single game is a must win if they want to see the post season. That being said, they are tough to trust on the road. lean to the Warriors & strong lean to the over...
Back with some more thoughts...
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