BIFF'S 1 PLAY - MAR. 11th

**Quelude4u** · 03-11-2008, 07:32 PM

GL BIFF - I'm all over LAL - didn't see much to make me feel good about the other games - maybe Utah but at a heckle/jeckle Chicago team could prove to be too risky..

GL whatever u decide.. Also, wasn't sure about the over/under last night in your SD/Gonz pick but glad you were on the right side... I was looking at SD but decided to go with the BIFF 1-play... :thumbs:

**EdwardHaney** · 03-11-2008, 08:37 PM

Not to get too picky here, but when you say heckle/jeckle do you actually mean jeckle/hyde? :laughing:

Post Of The Day!!

**Biff_Tannen** · 03-11-2008, 08:40 PM

For me, I can see how it is easy for people to think..."ok so alls the Suns have to do is what they did AT MEMPHIS two weeks ago, but now at HOME." I think for some bettors that is enough information to make a bet. But the Suns as a 10+ point favorite are averaging giving up 104 ppg. (Remember this number.) These are highly inferior teams getting 100+ ON AVERAGE against them. By taking these points your are demanding 118+ points basically from the Suns tonight. By the way the O/U on their points tonight is 118. However, if you look at their games where they went 0-12-2 ATS after playing the Spurs during the regular season, their points scored is no where near 118. I calculated it out, they are averaging scoring... you guessed it 104 points in the last 14 games after playing the Spurs. This number only stems back to the 2003-2004 season, so it's pretty much all Steve Nash era. There isn't much out there today, and this information is good enough for me to ride the post-Spurs trend. Why? Cause the Suns are a team that rides heavily on it's starters and is a very fast-paced team. Going up against a defensive force like San Antonio takes a lot out of a team offensively. My logic might start getting the best of me here, but I even like this reverse line movement. Suns gotta be a teaser favorite tonight. Line was at -15� now was -13� at some offshore books. Me I'm getting it somewhere in between. For a little insurance I'm putting some on the Under as well. Good Luck. :thumbs:

MARCH 11th = MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +14�

*RISKING $550 to win $500.

**ALMOST1** · 03-11-2008, 10:16 PM

Biff,

What do you think about Mem -2 2H +107?

**Quelude4u** · 03-11-2008, 10:38 PM

damn - what were we thinking?????? :bang:

who would have thunk it - Suns shooting 65% and Memphis shooting 30%.. (more or less)

Memphis playing no defense and Suns look like a team against a really bad team... lol

**Biff_Tannen** · 03-12-2008, 12:55 AM

Almost... sorry I didn't respond I was actually at the lanes for my league tonight. Normally I only chase my bet in the 2nd half it I'm get a 15+ point buffer. I definitely would have taken the -2 this game, but like I said I wasn't around.

Quelude... despite Memphis being a wash tonight, there's never any consistency in taking the "championship" teams all the time. They will come to bite you in the end. Tonight was a night where the Suns played above and beyond what was expected of them and Memphis did the exact opposite. It happens. That's why I only bet 10% of my bankroll. If I go 0-1 I'm still here tomorrow ready to get it back.

I've been wrong before, and I'll be wrong again. Tonight the past meant nothing, this happens. I got wrapped up in trends and logic... and look it's tomorrow! Best thing to do is learn a lesson and then move on.

--

March Starting Bankroll = $5,000

March Current Bankroll = $5,075

--

March Past Results (6-5)

MARCH 1st = GONZAGA BULLDOGS (BB) -6 = WIN +$250
MARCH 2nd = NEW JERSEY NETS +5� = LOSS -$550
MARCH 3rd = LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 130� = LOSS -$275
MARCH 4th = SUNS/TRAILBLAZERS - UNDER 208� = WIN +$500
MARCH 5th = OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (1H) -2� = LOSS -$275
MARCH 6th = OREGON DUCKS (BB) -5 = WIN +$250
MARCH 7th = DENVER NUGGETS -1 = WIN +$500
MARCH 8th = PEPPERDINE/SAN DIEGO - UNDER 137 = WIN +$250
MARCH 9th = ST. MARY'S GAELS (BB) -4� = LOSS -$275
MARCH 10th = GONZAGA/SAN DIEGO - OVER 127 = WIN +$250
MARCH 11th = MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +14� = LOSS -$550

**Quelude4u** · 03-12-2008, 01:21 AM

I hear ya..

I will tell you one thing - ride the Rockets wave... They are on a mad cover spree...

Hou (-6) Playing @ ATL - taking Hou until they prove me otherwise...

GL tomorrow...

**ALMOST1** · 03-12-2008, 01:30 AM

No problem Biff. We'll get'em tomorrow.

BIFF'S 1 PLAY - MAR. 11th