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I have a little time before i have to head out, so I'm going to post some thoughts/possible plays for tomorrow. IMO there will be some solid plays on Friday....
Warriors -4
5 units
Hornets/Grizzlies o203
Cavaliers +1
Magic-3.5
Blazers+2.5
3 units each
I'll edit in plays/unit sizes as I make them. Any games that I think could go either way get the boot from me. Already looking I have no interest in Knicks/Kings. Crapshoot game so it's gone. Port/Philly- I think the Blazers win by 5+, & could be a play- if they are dogs. At a pick I'll play them, but I'm not laying road chalk with the Blazers.
Warriors- This is my favorite play Friday. Jumped off the page because from a situational standpoint it's very favorable. You have a Warriors team that can't get it right, & still haven't won a game. They have had a tough schedule (home games to Utah, Dal, Det, road games Utah, LAC). Not an easy start, but they could have at least beat the Cavs @ home. Well now they're off a 2nd collapse, & they are facing the Clips with revenge. The Clippers are off a unimpressive home win vs. the Knicks. The Warriors are going to look to run them out of the gym. To top it off this is the Warriors last home game for 10 days as they go on a 5 game East coast road trip. Honestly I think they could rip through that road trip, maybe 4-1. I'll be looking closer at that as the week approaches, but they have to get the win here before that trip to build confidence. Huge game, & I'm sure Nelson knows it. Last meeting the Clips shot very well, & Baron Davis shot 8-24 from the field/1-9 3 pters. GS doesn't win on the road if Baron doesn't play his ass off. I think he comes out extremely motivated... As for the line, I am thinking the Warriors come out as 4 pt faves. Could be more, but at 5 or less it's likely to be a 5 unit play. I'm going out tonight so I'm going to have to call 5Dimes late & see if I can catch it, because I have a hunch that this line raises. I want the best of this line...
Memphis/Hornets- If you read my posts you know how I feel about the Hornets, so I won't repeat myself. Chandler had himself another great game Wednesday. However, they will likely be overvalued as these 2 teams generally play tight games. I would play the Hornets-4 or less, but I really don't think the books put a line of less than 7 here. I do have an interest in the total here. According to both team's average pts scored, the total should be 199.5. because Memphis allows so many pts (107.4 per game), the line will be higher than that. Despite the likely markup, I think this game sails over. Paul will rip through Memphis' soft D. I think Memphis will look to run at home, & while the Hornets are equipped to do so, Memphis can score. In both home games vs. NO last year, Memphis scored 103 & 108. In 4 meetings last season the totals were 217, 212, 213, & 197. I'm looking to play the over as long as it's not set too high. I'm hoping for 212 or so, but we'll see what we get...
Warriors -4
5 units
Hornets/Grizzlies o203
Cavaliers +1
Magic-3.5
Blazers+2.5
3 units each
I'll edit in plays/unit sizes as I make them. Any games that I think could go either way get the boot from me. Already looking I have no interest in Knicks/Kings. Crapshoot game so it's gone. Port/Philly- I think the Blazers win by 5+, & could be a play- if they are dogs. At a pick I'll play them, but I'm not laying road chalk with the Blazers.
Warriors- This is my favorite play Friday. Jumped off the page because from a situational standpoint it's very favorable. You have a Warriors team that can't get it right, & still haven't won a game. They have had a tough schedule (home games to Utah, Dal, Det, road games Utah, LAC). Not an easy start, but they could have at least beat the Cavs @ home. Well now they're off a 2nd collapse, & they are facing the Clips with revenge. The Clippers are off a unimpressive home win vs. the Knicks. The Warriors are going to look to run them out of the gym. To top it off this is the Warriors last home game for 10 days as they go on a 5 game East coast road trip. Honestly I think they could rip through that road trip, maybe 4-1. I'll be looking closer at that as the week approaches, but they have to get the win here before that trip to build confidence. Huge game, & I'm sure Nelson knows it. Last meeting the Clips shot very well, & Baron Davis shot 8-24 from the field/1-9 3 pters. GS doesn't win on the road if Baron doesn't play his ass off. I think he comes out extremely motivated... As for the line, I am thinking the Warriors come out as 4 pt faves. Could be more, but at 5 or less it's likely to be a 5 unit play. I'm going out tonight so I'm going to have to call 5Dimes late & see if I can catch it, because I have a hunch that this line raises. I want the best of this line...
Memphis/Hornets- If you read my posts you know how I feel about the Hornets, so I won't repeat myself. Chandler had himself another great game Wednesday. However, they will likely be overvalued as these 2 teams generally play tight games. I would play the Hornets-4 or less, but I really don't think the books put a line of less than 7 here. I do have an interest in the total here. According to both team's average pts scored, the total should be 199.5. because Memphis allows so many pts (107.4 per game), the line will be higher than that. Despite the likely markup, I think this game sails over. Paul will rip through Memphis' soft D. I think Memphis will look to run at home, & while the Hornets are equipped to do so, Memphis can score. In both home games vs. NO last year, Memphis scored 103 & 108. In 4 meetings last season the totals were 217, 212, 213, & 197. I'm looking to play the over as long as it's not set too high. I'm hoping for 212 or so, but we'll see what we get...
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