Lots of value with TB today

[Q-Unit]

btw, this information came exclusively from a 41yr old drunk gambler(myself), and it has been working, so I have been drinkin' more beer..! :drunk:

expensive beer :beerbang:

[homedawg]

Well the odds of landing on 1 aren't quite 20%, but homedawg will lead you down the right path. :thumbs:

I was waitin' for you to chime in on ACTUAL stats... I rounded it all to the nearest 10:nuts:

[rjp]

Well it depends on the total and the probability of the team winning.

A total of 7 will see a 60% home favorite win by 1 run about 19% of the time. A total of 10 will see a 60% home team win by 1 run about 17% of the time.

A total of 7 will see a 75% home favorite win by 1 run about 24% of the time. A total of 10 will see a 75% home team win by 1 run about 22% of the time.

This might seem a little bit weird at first, but the odds of a team covering 1.5 runs comes from the fact that 1) the team wins and 2) the team loses by exactly 1 run. In the first case the probability of covering 1.5 runs is higher even though the probability of the favorite winning by exactly 1 is less than in the second case. Just thought I'd point that out.

[homedawg]

When I figured a game ending at 1, I am calculating the dogs too.... therefore I gave the dog rl +10%, 1/2 of the 20%, of the games ending at 1 run(not necessarily stating, dogs or favs are exactly 50% wins), could be less, but there is much better chance at the rl than the ml!!!!!! when you can get a dog rl +$$$, its a good thing :drunk:

[homedawg]

expensive beer :beerbang:

Hell no, GOOD beer.... I dont wanna kill the wrong brain cells.... :beer2:

[Q-Unit]

Hell no, GOOD beer.... I dont wanna kill the wrong brain cells.... :beer2:

schaeffer's light :beerbang:
LMAO

[homedawg]

schaeffer's light :beerbang:
LMAO

:laughing:

[homedawg]

kcr +1.5 +100 was +1.5 +100 Parlay kcr was +1.5 +300:beer2: