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2-5 -4.8 yesterday.... not sure but I'm probably about 10-30 last 40 plays :beerbang:
Giants+167
Screwers+113
Jays-140
M's+146
Royals+133
D-Rays-108
2 units each
I'm pretty sure everyone will hate these plays, which makes me like them LoL. Been fading the Giants/Brewers for a while now, but today I'm on them. Mitre deserves a line this high? In his last 6 starts he's allowed 25 er in 33.2 ip, & righties are hitting .307 vs him. Ortiz is a question mark as he's only had 3 road starts, but I just don't think the line should be that high... Arizona is only -120 at home with Davis on the mound? Cmon, he's 6-2 at home, & the dBacks are 8-2 in his last 10 starts! Gallardo has gone 8.1 ip & allowed 18 er in his last 2 games! I think this is the game the Screwers really piss everyone off & win. Marcum is a stud, & has a 1.07 WHIP. In his last 5 starts he's went 33.2 er & allowed just 8 er. Blanton has lost 3 of his last 4 road games & has allowed 21 er in 24 ip in that span. Opponents are hitting .295 vs him on the road. Originally I was set to play the Jays rl, but all 3 losses for Blanton were by 1 run. Also 3 of the last 6 Jays wins with Marcum on the mound were also by 1 run, not to mention the loss I took on the Jays rl yesterday. I feel good enough about this play to eat the chalk, so the Jays will probably lose LOL. As far as the M's are concerned, I know all about Ramirez & his 13.5 road era, but I also know the Twins can't hit a beach ball lately. In their last 10 home games, they have scored a combined 20 runs. That alone is enough for me to take a flyer on the M's tonight. Although I'm ususally not one to fade Buerhle, getting Meche @ +133 vs a team that has lost 8 straight games is a play for me. IMO Boston is the sucker bet of the day, as you can grab them at dog $$ with Wakefield, who has historically owned the Rays. Also they're off a loss, & how often do they lose 2 in a row? Well, Wakefield is still 5-6 on the road with a 4.21 era, & Kazmir has allowed just 3 er in 18 ip pitched vs the Sox this year.
So there you have it.... the Monday fades to get your week started right :jiggy:
Giants+167
Screwers+113
Jays-140
M's+146
Royals+133
D-Rays-108
2 units each
I'm pretty sure everyone will hate these plays, which makes me like them LoL. Been fading the Giants/Brewers for a while now, but today I'm on them. Mitre deserves a line this high? In his last 6 starts he's allowed 25 er in 33.2 ip, & righties are hitting .307 vs him. Ortiz is a question mark as he's only had 3 road starts, but I just don't think the line should be that high... Arizona is only -120 at home with Davis on the mound? Cmon, he's 6-2 at home, & the dBacks are 8-2 in his last 10 starts! Gallardo has gone 8.1 ip & allowed 18 er in his last 2 games! I think this is the game the Screwers really piss everyone off & win. Marcum is a stud, & has a 1.07 WHIP. In his last 5 starts he's went 33.2 er & allowed just 8 er. Blanton has lost 3 of his last 4 road games & has allowed 21 er in 24 ip in that span. Opponents are hitting .295 vs him on the road. Originally I was set to play the Jays rl, but all 3 losses for Blanton were by 1 run. Also 3 of the last 6 Jays wins with Marcum on the mound were also by 1 run, not to mention the loss I took on the Jays rl yesterday. I feel good enough about this play to eat the chalk, so the Jays will probably lose LOL. As far as the M's are concerned, I know all about Ramirez & his 13.5 road era, but I also know the Twins can't hit a beach ball lately. In their last 10 home games, they have scored a combined 20 runs. That alone is enough for me to take a flyer on the M's tonight. Although I'm ususally not one to fade Buerhle, getting Meche @ +133 vs a team that has lost 8 straight games is a play for me. IMO Boston is the sucker bet of the day, as you can grab them at dog $$ with Wakefield, who has historically owned the Rays. Also they're off a loss, & how often do they lose 2 in a row? Well, Wakefield is still 5-6 on the road with a 4.21 era, & Kazmir has allowed just 3 er in 18 ip pitched vs the Sox this year.
So there you have it.... the Monday fades to get your week started right :jiggy:
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