ytd 423-424 (+49.45 units)
Nats +100
Kyle Lohse stinks. Washington is 13-3 in their last 16 home games and is 11-2 at home since the all star break. They are also an extremely respectable 18-12 overall since the all star break, especially for a team pretty much everyone said was the worst in MLB and would be lucky to win 50 games.
Philly, whom many consider to be hot and a better team than Washington, is 17-11 since the all star break, and is only 7-7 on the road since then.
The Nats also have a solid bullpen, so not a big worry there either. Only plus the Phillies have here is a better offense.
Not saying Philly sucks, or that they don't have a shot here, but I am saying the line is wrong. Philly is only favored here due to public perception that the Nats suck. That is, however, an incorrect statement judging by the on field performance of the Nats in the last month plus.
Wrong fave. Nice value on the Nats IMO.
Tampon Bay +125
Backing Kazmir over Lester. That's basically it. Hopefully if Tampa has a lead, their bullpen can hold up in the late innings. Either us Tampon backers are gonna look smart for taking them at this low line over Boston, or really dumb for playing a **** team like Tampa on the road against a first place team at such a low line, lol.
St Louis +120
The Brewers are a splendid fade IMHO.
I mean really, they keep losing games, yet keep drawing favorite lines.
As far as this particular game, Capuano is 0-9 with an ERA of 6.33 in his last 14 starts. Does it get any worse than that?
OK, so Capuano sucks, but the Brewers are good at home. Really? They're 9-7 there since the all star break. Average I'd say....and i also don't know how this makes Capuano suck any less.
The Brewers are also just 13-17 overall since the break. Nothing great about that either, and actually it's pretty poor for a team who is supposedly a division leader.
St Louis on the other hand has gotten a huge boost by Rick Ankiel of all people. Also, Kip Wells has pitched much better lately, and IMO he's sure as hell better than Cappuccino.
Then there's the bad Brewers bullpen, which has been known to blow up at any time.
My point is, how all of this adds up to Milwaukee being favored is beyond me.
IMO this is just another line made on public perception that the Brewers are better than they are....and another incorrect fave.
2 units each
Well, these are what I got at first glace. Gonna see if I can come up with anything else that stands out after digging a little deeper.
Nats +100
Kyle Lohse stinks. Washington is 13-3 in their last 16 home games and is 11-2 at home since the all star break. They are also an extremely respectable 18-12 overall since the all star break, especially for a team pretty much everyone said was the worst in MLB and would be lucky to win 50 games.
Philly, whom many consider to be hot and a better team than Washington, is 17-11 since the all star break, and is only 7-7 on the road since then.
The Nats also have a solid bullpen, so not a big worry there either. Only plus the Phillies have here is a better offense.
Not saying Philly sucks, or that they don't have a shot here, but I am saying the line is wrong. Philly is only favored here due to public perception that the Nats suck. That is, however, an incorrect statement judging by the on field performance of the Nats in the last month plus.
Wrong fave. Nice value on the Nats IMO.
Tampon Bay +125
Backing Kazmir over Lester. That's basically it. Hopefully if Tampa has a lead, their bullpen can hold up in the late innings. Either us Tampon backers are gonna look smart for taking them at this low line over Boston, or really dumb for playing a **** team like Tampa on the road against a first place team at such a low line, lol.
St Louis +120
The Brewers are a splendid fade IMHO.
I mean really, they keep losing games, yet keep drawing favorite lines.
As far as this particular game, Capuano is 0-9 with an ERA of 6.33 in his last 14 starts. Does it get any worse than that?
OK, so Capuano sucks, but the Brewers are good at home. Really? They're 9-7 there since the all star break. Average I'd say....and i also don't know how this makes Capuano suck any less.
The Brewers are also just 13-17 overall since the break. Nothing great about that either, and actually it's pretty poor for a team who is supposedly a division leader.
St Louis on the other hand has gotten a huge boost by Rick Ankiel of all people. Also, Kip Wells has pitched much better lately, and IMO he's sure as hell better than Cappuccino.
Then there's the bad Brewers bullpen, which has been known to blow up at any time.
My point is, how all of this adds up to Milwaukee being favored is beyond me.
IMO this is just another line made on public perception that the Brewers are better than they are....and another incorrect fave.
2 units each
Well, these are what I got at first glace. Gonna see if I can come up with anything else that stands out after digging a little deeper.
Comment