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5-4 +3.96 yesterday, pissed about the Marlins blowing the RL cover. Oh well, on to today....
Disastros+101
Rock-mes/Screwers o11+100
Spankees/BlowJays u9+157
2 units each
G-Men team u4.5-125
Cubs team u4.5-115
Red Sux/Halos o7.5-155
1 to win 4.53 units
Holy Fathers+116
1 unit
Astros- Wandy is an automatic fade for me on the road, but he has a 1.76 home era. Opponents are hitting .202 vs him at home, & the Cubs are only hitting .249 vs lefties. Hill has a 3.49 road era, gonna roll with the Strohs. Also playing Cubs team under, thinking a 4-2 type game.
Col/Mil o11- Fogg has a 1.49 WHIP & a 5.54 home era. Righties are hitting .322 vs him, & overall batters are hitting .301 vs him at home. Tough to back him vs the Brewers, who at anytime can jack a couple over the fence. Vargas sports a 1.48 WHIP & a 4.08 road era. Lefties are hitting .315 vs him. Vargas tends to produce fly balls, which could be trouble for them..... especially considering the Rockies avg 5.5 runs per game at home. In 8 of Vargas last 10 starts, the combined total has been 12 or higher. Let's n ot forget the wonderful Screwers pen. The Brewers are 2-6 on the road 2ndh, so a lean to the Rockies but I'll stick to the total. I'm eating the half for + money....
NYY/Tor- Contrarian play, IMO this will be a tighter low scoring game. 7 of 8 meetings have gone under, & the Yanks are bound to play an under, right? I don't normally subscribe to the due theory, but I'm considering chasing a Yankees under in this series. Hopefully I'm right here, as I opted for the u9 for a ridiculous+157. Hell, if I got the balls to play a Yankees under, I want to get paid for it....lean to the Yanks, but I think the only play I'll make in terms of sides will be a play on Halladay Wednesday.....
The Padres play is a fade of the Cards, as IMO they are playing terrible. Don't trust Wells enough with his 7.27 road era to make it a normal 2 unit play, but Looper has allowed 21 er in his last 26.1 ip. The Cards have lost 5 straight, hoping for 6.
GLTA
Disastros+101
Rock-mes/Screwers o11+100
Spankees/BlowJays u9+157
2 units each
G-Men team u4.5-125
Cubs team u4.5-115
Red Sux/Halos o7.5-155
1 to win 4.53 units
Holy Fathers+116
1 unit
Astros- Wandy is an automatic fade for me on the road, but he has a 1.76 home era. Opponents are hitting .202 vs him at home, & the Cubs are only hitting .249 vs lefties. Hill has a 3.49 road era, gonna roll with the Strohs. Also playing Cubs team under, thinking a 4-2 type game.
Col/Mil o11- Fogg has a 1.49 WHIP & a 5.54 home era. Righties are hitting .322 vs him, & overall batters are hitting .301 vs him at home. Tough to back him vs the Brewers, who at anytime can jack a couple over the fence. Vargas sports a 1.48 WHIP & a 4.08 road era. Lefties are hitting .315 vs him. Vargas tends to produce fly balls, which could be trouble for them..... especially considering the Rockies avg 5.5 runs per game at home. In 8 of Vargas last 10 starts, the combined total has been 12 or higher. Let's n ot forget the wonderful Screwers pen. The Brewers are 2-6 on the road 2ndh, so a lean to the Rockies but I'll stick to the total. I'm eating the half for + money....
NYY/Tor- Contrarian play, IMO this will be a tighter low scoring game. 7 of 8 meetings have gone under, & the Yanks are bound to play an under, right? I don't normally subscribe to the due theory, but I'm considering chasing a Yankees under in this series. Hopefully I'm right here, as I opted for the u9 for a ridiculous+157. Hell, if I got the balls to play a Yankees under, I want to get paid for it....lean to the Yanks, but I think the only play I'll make in terms of sides will be a play on Halladay Wednesday.....
The Padres play is a fade of the Cards, as IMO they are playing terrible. Don't trust Wells enough with his 7.27 road era to make it a normal 2 unit play, but Looper has allowed 21 er in his last 26.1 ip. The Cards have lost 5 straight, hoping for 6.
GLTA
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