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ytd 392-395 (+45.97 units)
Florida -102
Houston just sucks. Worst road team in the NL @ 19-36, and possibly the worst team in MLB period. Only TB has a worse road record, and at least they play some teams worth mentioning in their division. So Houston actually beat up on the ****ty Jo Jo Reyes last night and won a road game. Big freakin deal. The guy blows, and they still gave up 11 runs in the process of getting that win.
IMO the extra innings game they played last night hurts their chances tonight because any decent guys they have in that bullpen (which isn't many) won't be fresh.
Then there's Oswalt....the sole reason this line isn't -150 or more like it should be. However, he is 3-5 with an ERA of about 6 on the road (compared to 7-1 and 2.30 ERA at home). He sucks on the road too.
Offensively there's not even a comparison between these two teams, and Oswalt's road record and stats sure as hell aren't worth a damn, so why this low line?
Admittedly, Florida isn't the world's best home team, and Willis hasn't been the same this year as in previous seasons, but I'll back him and the Fish as a dog against the road ****ty Astros and road ****ty Oswalt.
This line is a joke.
Houston/Florida over 8.5 -120
See above, plus I'm pretty sure Houston isn't gonna get shut out.
Pirates -135
The Reds are going nowhere but in a major downward spiral. Must be tough to play in a situation like that when you're a veteran stuck in a going nowhere situation. At least the Pirates try to win, and they have the numbers advantage here too. It's pretty safe to say the Pirates will see nothing but ****ty pitchers for the full game, while Snell is a good pitcher, even if he has struggled a bit since returning from injury, and the Pirates do have a few decent guys out there in the pen to back him with.
Fading the horrible Reds and the pathetic Belisle is, IMO, the only sensible thing to do here in this spot.
Phillies +144
Gallardo has been good, hence the -154 line here for the Brewers. SFG, KC, CHC, PIT, WSH, COL, ARI, CIN and STL. Pick a winner. That's who Gallardo has faced. Not much offensive firepower there with the exception of maybe COL and/or CHC. Also keep in mind that his start vs CHC was in June, prior to them getting hot in July. Lets see how he fares against a team that can hit.
Then add in that the Brewers, who overachieved their asses off in the first half, are fading like a ton of bricks.
Phils are the better team, and Kendrick has done pretty well for them since coming up from AA.
A very live dog here IMO.
Twins -130
Cleveland is not playing so hot lately, and Sabathia hasn't exactly dominated opposing offenses in recent times either. Getting Santana and the far better bullpen at home and laying only -130 against a team not playing to potential is a steal IMO. I didn't even look any farther. I'll just take my chances.
Seattle -102
The M's have won 5 of their last 6, and they have taken 9 of the last 11 from Boston. They are great at home (36-20), and Lester is making only his 2nd start since coming back to pitching duties. Seattle hits lefties well, and while I'm not relying on Ramirez to win this one for me, I don't necessarily like the way Boston has been playing lately, so his chances for success are much greater tonight than earlier in the season when Boston rocked him in Fenway in his only other appearance against them. If i had to rate my plays (which I don't) this one would rate the weakest of the 6....if that matters to anyone, for the sole reason that I don't trust Ramirez all that much.
2 units each
May have more yet. Wanna watch the lines.
Florida -102
Houston just sucks. Worst road team in the NL @ 19-36, and possibly the worst team in MLB period. Only TB has a worse road record, and at least they play some teams worth mentioning in their division. So Houston actually beat up on the ****ty Jo Jo Reyes last night and won a road game. Big freakin deal. The guy blows, and they still gave up 11 runs in the process of getting that win.
IMO the extra innings game they played last night hurts their chances tonight because any decent guys they have in that bullpen (which isn't many) won't be fresh.
Then there's Oswalt....the sole reason this line isn't -150 or more like it should be. However, he is 3-5 with an ERA of about 6 on the road (compared to 7-1 and 2.30 ERA at home). He sucks on the road too.
Offensively there's not even a comparison between these two teams, and Oswalt's road record and stats sure as hell aren't worth a damn, so why this low line?
Admittedly, Florida isn't the world's best home team, and Willis hasn't been the same this year as in previous seasons, but I'll back him and the Fish as a dog against the road ****ty Astros and road ****ty Oswalt.
This line is a joke.
Houston/Florida over 8.5 -120
See above, plus I'm pretty sure Houston isn't gonna get shut out.
Pirates -135
The Reds are going nowhere but in a major downward spiral. Must be tough to play in a situation like that when you're a veteran stuck in a going nowhere situation. At least the Pirates try to win, and they have the numbers advantage here too. It's pretty safe to say the Pirates will see nothing but ****ty pitchers for the full game, while Snell is a good pitcher, even if he has struggled a bit since returning from injury, and the Pirates do have a few decent guys out there in the pen to back him with.
Fading the horrible Reds and the pathetic Belisle is, IMO, the only sensible thing to do here in this spot.
Phillies +144
Gallardo has been good, hence the -154 line here for the Brewers. SFG, KC, CHC, PIT, WSH, COL, ARI, CIN and STL. Pick a winner. That's who Gallardo has faced. Not much offensive firepower there with the exception of maybe COL and/or CHC. Also keep in mind that his start vs CHC was in June, prior to them getting hot in July. Lets see how he fares against a team that can hit.
Then add in that the Brewers, who overachieved their asses off in the first half, are fading like a ton of bricks.
Phils are the better team, and Kendrick has done pretty well for them since coming up from AA.
A very live dog here IMO.
Twins -130
Cleveland is not playing so hot lately, and Sabathia hasn't exactly dominated opposing offenses in recent times either. Getting Santana and the far better bullpen at home and laying only -130 against a team not playing to potential is a steal IMO. I didn't even look any farther. I'll just take my chances.
Seattle -102
The M's have won 5 of their last 6, and they have taken 9 of the last 11 from Boston. They are great at home (36-20), and Lester is making only his 2nd start since coming back to pitching duties. Seattle hits lefties well, and while I'm not relying on Ramirez to win this one for me, I don't necessarily like the way Boston has been playing lately, so his chances for success are much greater tonight than earlier in the season when Boston rocked him in Fenway in his only other appearance against them. If i had to rate my plays (which I don't) this one would rate the weakest of the 6....if that matters to anyone, for the sole reason that I don't trust Ramirez all that much.
2 units each
May have more yet. Wanna watch the lines.
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