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ytd 383-388 (+41.39 units)
Tampon Bay +115
Similar to why I played TB last night, I just don't like the way the Jays are playing right now for them to be a road fave, even against an inferior team. I believe TB has a great shot to win again tonight after the Jays let one slip away last night simply because TOR just isn't playing good ball right now. That could change tonight, but that's impossible to predict, so I'll stick with the Tampax's as a home dog until it happens.
Nats -110
Nats are playing better ball than the Reds, perform better vs LHP, and sure as hell have the better bullpen. Not hard to find some good reasons why they're favored, despite the public going to town backing the Reds as a dog.
NY Yankees/White Sux over 10.5 +100
Contreras sucks ass and Mussina isn't much better. CWS bullpen is complete ****, and again, the Yankees pen isn't much better. Oddly enough, both teams are hitting well lately too. Feels like a sucker play to me....too easy....but I gotta try it. Contreras will probably pull one good start out of his ass and it'll probably end 2-1, even though it feels more like a 10-8 game on the surface.
Colorado +105
Fading Olsen, fading the Marlins, etc. Colorado is the better team, and they're playing like it. Another one that feels like a sucker play, but I just gotta give it a shot. The Marlins suck. No way a team with offensive numbers like theirs should have a losing record.
St Louis/Pittsburgh under 9 -135
Maholm has been the Buckos best starter for about a month or so. He's got good numbers vs STL, and the Pirates normally don't score much no matter who they're playing. Someone's gotta get to 6 for this to lose, and I don't really see that happening.
San Diego +100
Webb's got problems. His forearm and hip are both recovering from injury. Arizona doesn't exactly kill the ball any better than SD, so despite struggling lately, I think Germano should do fine. I think this one is either gonna be close, or SD is gonna get a bunch of runs early off an ailing Webb. Either way, the value is with the home team here IMO.
Seattle +130
The Lackey name gives the M's tremendous value tonight, win or lose. I will gladly back the much improved Weaver and the very good at home Mariners (35-19) at this number against a bad on the road Angels squad (26-27) any day of the week.
2 units each
Tampon Bay +115
Similar to why I played TB last night, I just don't like the way the Jays are playing right now for them to be a road fave, even against an inferior team. I believe TB has a great shot to win again tonight after the Jays let one slip away last night simply because TOR just isn't playing good ball right now. That could change tonight, but that's impossible to predict, so I'll stick with the Tampax's as a home dog until it happens.
Nats -110
Nats are playing better ball than the Reds, perform better vs LHP, and sure as hell have the better bullpen. Not hard to find some good reasons why they're favored, despite the public going to town backing the Reds as a dog.
NY Yankees/White Sux over 10.5 +100
Contreras sucks ass and Mussina isn't much better. CWS bullpen is complete ****, and again, the Yankees pen isn't much better. Oddly enough, both teams are hitting well lately too. Feels like a sucker play to me....too easy....but I gotta try it. Contreras will probably pull one good start out of his ass and it'll probably end 2-1, even though it feels more like a 10-8 game on the surface.
Colorado +105
Fading Olsen, fading the Marlins, etc. Colorado is the better team, and they're playing like it. Another one that feels like a sucker play, but I just gotta give it a shot. The Marlins suck. No way a team with offensive numbers like theirs should have a losing record.
St Louis/Pittsburgh under 9 -135
Maholm has been the Buckos best starter for about a month or so. He's got good numbers vs STL, and the Pirates normally don't score much no matter who they're playing. Someone's gotta get to 6 for this to lose, and I don't really see that happening.
San Diego +100
Webb's got problems. His forearm and hip are both recovering from injury. Arizona doesn't exactly kill the ball any better than SD, so despite struggling lately, I think Germano should do fine. I think this one is either gonna be close, or SD is gonna get a bunch of runs early off an ailing Webb. Either way, the value is with the home team here IMO.
Seattle +130
The Lackey name gives the M's tremendous value tonight, win or lose. I will gladly back the much improved Weaver and the very good at home Mariners (35-19) at this number against a bad on the road Angels squad (26-27) any day of the week.
2 units each
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