MLB Projected Lines - Friday 29.7.2016

[Marjan]

Hi,

I am new to this forum, so hello to everyone. What I want to share with you are my projected lines for MLB and later for NHL.

I wanted to create MLB and NHL models, which will predict the outcome, or if I am more precise, will calculate winning % for each team. I had math models in the past, but this year I started with new one and with more depth, so it is also more complex. In the first half of the season, my math model totally sucked and I have made couple of changes and I think this one is close to one which I really like.

Those are my projected lines for todays games:

Game Pitcher Proj.Moneyline

Mariners Hisashi Iwakuma 135
Cubs Jon Lester -135

Cardinals Mike Leake 110
Marlins Jose Urena -110

Rockies Tyler Chatwood 198
Mets Steven Matz -198

Phillies Vincent Velasquez -189
Braves Tyrell Jenkins 189

Pirates Steven Brault -120
Brewers Junior Guerra 120

Diamondbacks Zack Godley 186
Dodgers Kenta Maeda -186

Nationals Max Scherzer -132
Giants Jeff Samardzija 132

Reds Brandon Finnegan -112
Padres Edwin Jackson 112

Orioles Kevin Gausman 106
Blue Jays Marco Estrada -106

Yankees Ivan Nova 127
Rays Jake Odorizzi -127

Athletics Kendall Graveman 158
Indians Trevor Bauer -158

Astros Collin Mchugh -101
Tigers Matt Boyd 101

Royals Edinson Volquez 117
Rangers A.J. Griffin -117

White Sox Jose Quintana 107
Twins Ricky Nolasco -107

Red Sox Rick Porcello -135
Angels Tim Lincecum 135

My recommended play:
Mets (-1.5) +143

Good Luck to everyone!

[FlyOnTheWall]

Hello Marjan,
Welcome to the forum. In this example you took your highest projected line and then played it on the RunLine. Is that how you normally play your projections? Or?