MLB Monday 6/25

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  • Stifler's Mom
    Moderator
    • Feb 2007
    • 8541

    MLB Monday 6/25

    ytd 285-275 (+53.07 units)

    Tampon Bay -135

    Pretty sad when Tampon Bay is -135 against you and Kazmir is not pitching. The White Sox blow and can't hit LHP worth a ****, or any other pitching for that matter. In addition, their once unhittable bullpen is about the ****tiest in the league now. Not crazy about laying juice with TB, but honestly, when I see TB favored over someone by this much, you gotta know the oddsmakers think they've got a great chance to win

    Colorado Rockies -105

    Cubs also blow vs LHP, although I must admit they have improved. Still, this is the red hot Jeff Francis they're facing tonight, and a Rockies line up that was also hot until getting shut down by McGowan yesterday. I don't know that they all have suddenly gone cold because of one bad day. I'll take my chances.

    Arizona Diamondbacks +125

    Owings has proven to be solid. I believe the Dodgers are fading, and will contunue to do so, since they can't seem to produce too many runs on a consistant basis, even against average to poor pitching. Sure, they have their moments when they break out a pile, but again, I'll take my chances with Owings and what I think is actually probably the better team in Arizona as a decent sized home dog tonight.

    KC Royals +275
    KC/LA Angels over 8.5


    Talk about a f'd up line. Lackey may not even be healthy. KC isn't this ****in bad. I don't care if John Thomson sucks, I will blindly take a stab at almost 3/1 odds anytime with a pitcher who is very questionable with a shoulder injury. Also played the over for the same reason. If KC can get to 4, the worst I can do is break even here, even if Thomson gets hammered....plus I have a chance of either one of these teams getting to this low total by themselves with a questionable Lackey and a ****ty Thomson. I can't believe the public isn't all over this one. I mean ****, they usually play practically every other over on the board every day, and then when you have a game with an injured pitcher facing a ****ty one, they only play it at 57%? Baffles my mind.

    2 units each

    Will probably be adding a few more. More than likely a few "value plays", as well as a possible play on the SF/SD game. Need to do some research on that one yet, and I'm about out of time for now.
    Last edited by Stifler's Mom; 06-25-2007, 02:32 PM.
  • JohnnyMapleLeaf
    Banned
    • Feb 2007
    • 8456

    #2
    GL....like the plays...nice to see you on Colorado...it was McGowan yesterday, but the point remains the same....Colorado has had the hots bats....and just ran into a pitcher with nasty stuff. Add in Francis, and it is the POD, IMO.

    Love the OVER as well....Lackey is a question mark, and Thomson couldn't even crack the Jays top 10 starters (5 diff callups b/c of injuries ahead of him) before being released from AAA.

    GL

    Comment

    • birdsfan5
      Go Boys
      • Feb 2007
      • 5214

      #3
      GL Stif
      NFL 0-0 +0.00units

      NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

      Comment

      • Stifler's Mom
        Moderator
        • Feb 2007
        • 8541

        #4
        Originally posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf
        GL....like the plays...nice to see you on Colorado...it was McGowan yesterday, but the point remains the same....Colorado has had the hots bats....and just ran into a pitcher with nasty stuff. Add in Francis, and it is the POD, IMO.

        Love the OVER as well....Lackey is a question mark, and Thomson couldn't even crack the Jays top 10 starters (5 diff callups b/c of injuries ahead of him) before being released from AAA.

        GL
        My bad. I was in a hurry, lol. At least I got the "M" right :beerbang:

        And, the point remains the same. Getting shut down by one good pitcher, doesn't mean they all of a sudden are ****ty or cold, and I believe Marquis blows. A few decent starts this year doesn't change the fact that he's been average to ****ty his whole career, and I think his true form has started showing a bit more lately, and will continue to do so.

        Comment

        • PhillyFan3
          Philly Phanatic
          • Mar 2007
          • 2481

          #5
          gl tonight STIFF...on Colorado, took KC at the RL(+125)...yea Lackey is having shoulder problems and he is still a -275 fave, crazy
          To A Phillies World Series :beerbang:

          Flyers and Eagles --- its your turn:beerbang:

          1 unit=25 dollars
          2 units=50, etc.. and so on

          Comment

          • Underdog88
            I drink your milkshake!!!
            • Mar 2007
            • 13981

            #6
            GL today Stif....with you on TB & the Rockies. Great job so far this season :cheery:
            Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

            Comment

            • Stifler's Mom
              Moderator
              • Feb 2007
              • 8541

              #7
              Washington Nationals +170

              2 units


              Decided to play on this seemingly crazy line too. Just can't understand how the Braves can be nearly -200 with the way they are playing.

              Also probably going to play on Toronto, Houston and SF yet unless I can find good reason not to.

              Comment

              • Underdog88
                I drink your milkshake!!!
                • Mar 2007
                • 13981

                #8
                Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
                Washington Nationals +170

                2 units


                Decided to play on this seemingly crazy line too. Just can't understand how the Braves can be nearly -200 with the way they are playing.
                I can't believe this line either. IMO a classic case of shading a line based on public perception. The Braves are playing horrid- .205 batting in the last 7 games. Hinnings has pitched well vs the Braves- 13 ip, 1 run on 3 hits this season. I like it as well
                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                Comment

                • homedawg
                  Banned
                  • Feb 2007
                  • 7689

                  #9
                  GL Stif:beerbang:

                  Comment

                  • Stifler's Mom
                    Moderator
                    • Feb 2007
                    • 8541

                    #10
                    Yep. That's the way I saw it too. Same with KC. I mean granted, the Angels should obviously be favored, but IMO -180 to -200 should be more than plenty to get even action there. The public is in love with Lackey though, and still is on their KC sucks kick as well, so -300 or more it is i guess. And honestly, I would have played KC at +175 or so given the current situation. Getting +275 was a gift IMO, and that's one of those games where I bet alot of people parlayed the Angels with other plays, thinking it's one of those can't lose games, and it just might turn out to be a huge game for the books if KC wins it.

                    Well anyway, I decided to go with all 3 of these:

                    Houston +165
                    Toronto -140
                    SF Giants -105

                    2 units each

                    Comment

                    • Stifler's Mom
                      Moderator
                      • Feb 2007
                      • 8541

                      #11
                      Kaz Matsui and Stephen Drew can both lick my scrotum. Nice fielding

                      Comment

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