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finished yesterday up thanks to the cards. Looking for another + day
parlay to start:
A's ml x Tigers ml @ +117 x 1 unit
Belisle isn't Homer Bailey, and Haren is Haren, nuff said :sm: The tigers play makes me a bit nervous as the tigers have laid the boots to the nats in 2 straight and they still have that horrible pen but Bonderman should go deep and if the Tigers keep hitting it should pull thru.
Cubbies - 120 to win 1 unit
If the rangers have a shot in this series, the numbers say it should be against one of the lefty pitchers as they're just brutal vs right handed pitching. Marquis has been tough all year and statistically has been better on the road. This stadiums not pitcher friendly but my guess is the stronger pitcher in this one should be able to hold his team in it against the guy sporting the 7+ era and 1-4 record in his yard in Loe. The cubs have more than enough hitting to take advantage of the park and the pitching match up.
Yanks -144 to win 2 units
Francis is a tough pitcher as is Pettitte, a pitchers duel at coors??? As hot at the yanks bats have been Francis is going to have to be sick to shut them down after Fogg did it yesterday. Both teams hit lefties well both have ****ty pens so this one comes down to which team will get the timely hit and which pitcher will have the better game. The youngster hasn't faced the yanks yet so he may be a little more amped than he should be while the vet should have the young rox chasing, gimme the patient yanks to get it done and run up the score.
M's -122 to win 2 units
As an M's fan this last week and a halfs been a mess, and Weaver from the start of the season had been a mess. Weavers last 2 starts however I've been impressed, he had a rough start vs the cubs but battled and should've gotten the W if not for a bullpen collapse. The M's get him his first M's W today. Jeff pitched the bucs well last year and if he's finding his form as I believe he is than its a trend that should continue. Gorzelanny pitched a hell of a game yesterday and M's were very much in it, the bucs pen is a question mark and Maholm isn't much of a workhorse so the bucs pen should come into play today. M's love facing lefties, as I said Gorz pitched a hell of a game but Maholm isn't Gorzelanny. Doesn't hurt that Maholms been a brutal road start thru the years and that right handed bats eat him up, which just happens to be where much of the M's power bats swing from.
Jays -162 to win 1 unit
After that beat down yesterday Im looking for Doc to stop the bleeding. From a splits point of view the jays are at their best when facing lefties in their yard which is whats in play today. Kuo should have an edge early as the jays wont know much of him and he's pitched very well but Docs filthy at home, of the 2 Im more confident in docs ability to keep the dodgers out of the game than I am of Kuo rolling thru the jays for the entire game. Both teams have solid pens, but the dodgers pen should come into play in this one as Doc tends to go long into games and really only brings into play the strong end of the pen for the jays in Janssen and Accardo for the most part. The dodgers aren't a great hitting squad, they are weaker vs rhp'ing and again weaker on the road statistically. They also hit for more power vs left handed pitching all of which is negated by rh stud Doc.
Angels -173 to win 1 unit
Wandy freakin cy young candidate vs the mariners Rodriguez. Totally shut down my boys last week but his splits between road and home are significantly different. At home he's.... Ervin Santana on the road he's.... Ervin Santana. This ones a case of 2 pitchers who pitch like different animals in their yard but can be gascans outside them. 2.41 era at home for Santana, he's just dominant at home. Rodriguez 6.42 on the road. Helping Santana is that the stros while they're hotter recently are a weak road team and are a weak team vs right handed pitching. Rodriguez lasts usually in the range of 5-6 innings so the stros pen should come into play, and a pathetic pen they are, made much worse with the loss of Lidge last night. Angels bats are ripping on left handed pitching and hitting .310 as a team at home. Add it all up and even at this price it's a bargain.
Baltimore + 132 x 1 unit
This ones almost a case of Im too stubborn to believe the O's can be this bad with the talent they have. Guthries wins dont indicate it but he's been arguably their best pitcher this year, he's been nasty all season. Pads bats still dont impress me and despite them having the edge in pitching most nights I still like to fade them when I can get a good number cause they can force a pitcher to have to throw a perfect game with how inept they can be. Guthrie should keep their scoring to a minimum today and he's a horse that'll go deep. Which should help and limit the pen players. Germanos been nasty as well but despite the better hype I have the pitchers a wash so it comes down to which line up does more damage and I believe the potential lies with the O's. Can the pen shut it down for them once they have the lead is the question, better yet hopefully he goes the distance.
GL everyone :beerbang: :beerbang:
parlay to start:
A's ml x Tigers ml @ +117 x 1 unit
Belisle isn't Homer Bailey, and Haren is Haren, nuff said :sm: The tigers play makes me a bit nervous as the tigers have laid the boots to the nats in 2 straight and they still have that horrible pen but Bonderman should go deep and if the Tigers keep hitting it should pull thru.
Cubbies - 120 to win 1 unit
If the rangers have a shot in this series, the numbers say it should be against one of the lefty pitchers as they're just brutal vs right handed pitching. Marquis has been tough all year and statistically has been better on the road. This stadiums not pitcher friendly but my guess is the stronger pitcher in this one should be able to hold his team in it against the guy sporting the 7+ era and 1-4 record in his yard in Loe. The cubs have more than enough hitting to take advantage of the park and the pitching match up.
Yanks -144 to win 2 units
Francis is a tough pitcher as is Pettitte, a pitchers duel at coors??? As hot at the yanks bats have been Francis is going to have to be sick to shut them down after Fogg did it yesterday. Both teams hit lefties well both have ****ty pens so this one comes down to which team will get the timely hit and which pitcher will have the better game. The youngster hasn't faced the yanks yet so he may be a little more amped than he should be while the vet should have the young rox chasing, gimme the patient yanks to get it done and run up the score.
M's -122 to win 2 units
As an M's fan this last week and a halfs been a mess, and Weaver from the start of the season had been a mess. Weavers last 2 starts however I've been impressed, he had a rough start vs the cubs but battled and should've gotten the W if not for a bullpen collapse. The M's get him his first M's W today. Jeff pitched the bucs well last year and if he's finding his form as I believe he is than its a trend that should continue. Gorzelanny pitched a hell of a game yesterday and M's were very much in it, the bucs pen is a question mark and Maholm isn't much of a workhorse so the bucs pen should come into play today. M's love facing lefties, as I said Gorz pitched a hell of a game but Maholm isn't Gorzelanny. Doesn't hurt that Maholms been a brutal road start thru the years and that right handed bats eat him up, which just happens to be where much of the M's power bats swing from.
Jays -162 to win 1 unit
After that beat down yesterday Im looking for Doc to stop the bleeding. From a splits point of view the jays are at their best when facing lefties in their yard which is whats in play today. Kuo should have an edge early as the jays wont know much of him and he's pitched very well but Docs filthy at home, of the 2 Im more confident in docs ability to keep the dodgers out of the game than I am of Kuo rolling thru the jays for the entire game. Both teams have solid pens, but the dodgers pen should come into play in this one as Doc tends to go long into games and really only brings into play the strong end of the pen for the jays in Janssen and Accardo for the most part. The dodgers aren't a great hitting squad, they are weaker vs rhp'ing and again weaker on the road statistically. They also hit for more power vs left handed pitching all of which is negated by rh stud Doc.
Angels -173 to win 1 unit
Wandy freakin cy young candidate vs the mariners Rodriguez. Totally shut down my boys last week but his splits between road and home are significantly different. At home he's.... Ervin Santana on the road he's.... Ervin Santana. This ones a case of 2 pitchers who pitch like different animals in their yard but can be gascans outside them. 2.41 era at home for Santana, he's just dominant at home. Rodriguez 6.42 on the road. Helping Santana is that the stros while they're hotter recently are a weak road team and are a weak team vs right handed pitching. Rodriguez lasts usually in the range of 5-6 innings so the stros pen should come into play, and a pathetic pen they are, made much worse with the loss of Lidge last night. Angels bats are ripping on left handed pitching and hitting .310 as a team at home. Add it all up and even at this price it's a bargain.
Baltimore + 132 x 1 unit
This ones almost a case of Im too stubborn to believe the O's can be this bad with the talent they have. Guthries wins dont indicate it but he's been arguably their best pitcher this year, he's been nasty all season. Pads bats still dont impress me and despite them having the edge in pitching most nights I still like to fade them when I can get a good number cause they can force a pitcher to have to throw a perfect game with how inept they can be. Guthrie should keep their scoring to a minimum today and he's a horse that'll go deep. Which should help and limit the pen players. Germanos been nasty as well but despite the better hype I have the pitchers a wash so it comes down to which line up does more damage and I believe the potential lies with the O's. Can the pen shut it down for them once they have the lead is the question, better yet hopefully he goes the distance.
GL everyone :beerbang: :beerbang:
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