Any One use 'Hits per Run' and/or 'Left on Base' as a measurable quantifier for plays

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  • Meestermike
    Moderator
    • Feb 2007
    • 2380

    Any One use 'Hits per Run' and/or 'Left on Base' as a measurable quantifier for plays

    Have been tinkering with formulas and scenarios in MLB and just wondering if anyone uses 'Hits per Run' and/or 'Left on Base' as a measurable quantifier for plays both SU and O\U?

    Here's this year's results so far (not the formula yet).

    season = 2014 ~ SU: 29-99 ~ PLAG a FAV = +$9,591 ~ ROI: +74.3% * * * * * O\U: 22-98-8 ~ PLON Under = +$9,591 ~ Under ROI: +74.3%

    Went back 10 years at $100/play in one scenario/situation and voila...

    SU: 1057-2759 (27.7%) ; on / against: -$274,388 / +$244,368 ; ROI: -51.7% / +64.0%
    OU: 642-3026-137 (17.5%) ; over / under: -$266,365 / +$231,275 ; ROI: -64.1% / +54.7%.

    More studying/work/tweaking and results needed but looking for a way to ultimately beat the
    Make a few more today than you made or lost yesterday
  • Kevin
    Red Hot and Rollin'
    • Feb 2007
    • 11720

    #2
    I don't use either but am interested to follow along here!

    Comment

    • BlueTooth3
      Senior Member
      • Jun 2012
      • 2064

      #3
      I also don't use it but I would be very interested in seeing how they factor into plays

      Comment

      • Meestermike
        Moderator
        • Feb 2007
        • 2380

        #4
        As I mentioned I have been tinkering with different formulas & queries and found many interesting results...

        In one scenario playing against all favs only (line <0) and also playing the unders in those same match-ups from May 8th to yesterday= +$7,304.00 @ 100/play

        SU 11-40 ROI 76.0% playing the Dog
        O\U 7-42-2 ROI 59.5% playing the Under
        Make a few more today than you made or lost yesterday

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