Have been tinkering with formulas and scenarios in MLB and just wondering if anyone uses 'Hits per Run' and/or 'Left on Base' as a measurable quantifier for plays both SU and O\U?
Here's this year's results so far (not the formula yet).
season = 2014 ~ SU: 29-99 ~ PLAG a FAV = +$9,591 ~ ROI: +74.3% * * * * * O\U: 22-98-8 ~ PLON Under = +$9,591 ~ Under ROI: +74.3%
Went back 10 years at $100/play in one scenario/situation and voila...
SU: 1057-2759 (27.7%) ; on / against: -$274,388 / +$244,368 ; ROI: -51.7% / +64.0%
OU: 642-3026-137 (17.5%) ; over / under: -$266,365 / +$231,275 ; ROI: -64.1% / +54.7%.
More studying/work/tweaking and results needed but looking for a way to ultimately beat the
Here's this year's results so far (not the formula yet).
season = 2014 ~ SU: 29-99 ~ PLAG a FAV = +$9,591 ~ ROI: +74.3% * * * * * O\U: 22-98-8 ~ PLON Under = +$9,591 ~ Under ROI: +74.3%
Went back 10 years at $100/play in one scenario/situation and voila...
SU: 1057-2759 (27.7%) ; on / against: -$274,388 / +$244,368 ; ROI: -51.7% / +64.0%
OU: 642-3026-137 (17.5%) ; over / under: -$266,365 / +$231,275 ; ROI: -64.1% / +54.7%.
More studying/work/tweaking and results needed but looking for a way to ultimately beat the
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