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A slightly down weekend as it was one of those weekends where everything seemed to go wrong but after that kinda weekend to be be down under less than a unit I'm fine with it. But on to some winning:
Rox - 137 to win 1 unit
This one is just a favorable match up. Francis is a lefty, the cards aren't hitting lefties well, or anybody for that matter. The cards aren't a good road hitting team, and its a day game and they hit just as poorly during the day as they do at night while Francis is strong at home and pitches better in day games. Rox bats are hitting right now and they're stronger vs rhp'ing and even more so at home. They've hit quite a bit better during day games as well. Wells is having troubles with right handed bats this season but traditionally he's bad vs lefties, the rox have a solid blend of both. Wells isn't a strong road pitcher and his only start at coors was a disaster. He's also not at his best in day games. There aren't a lot of at bats vs wells but the line up is full of guys who have hit him including Holliday who is 7 for 10. Meanwhile aside from Pujols 3 for 7, none of the other big bats have any success vs Francis. and did I mention he's a good canadian kid from vancouver, no relevance cept Igotta root for the homegrown kids when I can.
Yanks -135 to win 2 units
I got burned on them today but they are too talented a line up to keep underachieving this badly and while I can get them at this price I will gladly take the value. Jays are brutal vs rhp'ing and they are stronger away from their yard. DeSalvo hasn't been great out of the pen but his 2 starts were solid against a tough seattle line up in the span of a week. His main problem seems to be lefties and the jays don't have a lot of talent on the left side of the plate. McGowans had his struggles this season as well but he seems more likely to struggle vs patient teams and the yanks have a lot of talent that'll make him work for outs. LH bats are his tough outs and the yanks can throw 3 solid ones at him and Mientkiewicz who licks. Yanks are very good vs rhp'ing and are a good road hitting team. McGowans faced the yanks a few times in relief appearances and had little success. The yanks have a slightly worse bullpen but both aren't good pens so no major edge. For the bats alone the value is with the yanks, hopefully DeSalvo can keep from imploding.
Baltimore -118 to win 2 units
Trachsels numbers vs kc look horid on first glance but digging a bit, his last game vs them was great and before that he hadn't pitched vs kc since 2000. I don't remember who the hell they had back then but it's not the same team now. Trachsel may not be much but he is a smart vet and has solid control which against a young undisciplined kc squad means some easy outs if he's even half on. On the other side, Elarton blows. He's a bad home pitcher who is worse in night games. Right handed bats are feasting on him and the O's can throw at least 4 solid ones at him and have the option to dress a couple more if need be. Not many of the bats for the O's have had much at bats vs him but of those who have had at least 10 at bats, all have good numbers and Huff at 8 at bats is a monster against him. Elarton isn't exactly a workhorse so the kc bullpen will come into play more than likely and they are a sad lot. Better pitcher, better line up, better pen and all for -118. It's a bargain :P
watching a few lines for movement still tho. Marlins, Rangers and M's mainly, hopefully the public jumps on the other sides and gives them some more value. They are underpriced imo but not enough for me to pull the trigger as yet.
GL everyone:beerbang:
Rox - 137 to win 1 unit
This one is just a favorable match up. Francis is a lefty, the cards aren't hitting lefties well, or anybody for that matter. The cards aren't a good road hitting team, and its a day game and they hit just as poorly during the day as they do at night while Francis is strong at home and pitches better in day games. Rox bats are hitting right now and they're stronger vs rhp'ing and even more so at home. They've hit quite a bit better during day games as well. Wells is having troubles with right handed bats this season but traditionally he's bad vs lefties, the rox have a solid blend of both. Wells isn't a strong road pitcher and his only start at coors was a disaster. He's also not at his best in day games. There aren't a lot of at bats vs wells but the line up is full of guys who have hit him including Holliday who is 7 for 10. Meanwhile aside from Pujols 3 for 7, none of the other big bats have any success vs Francis. and did I mention he's a good canadian kid from vancouver, no relevance cept Igotta root for the homegrown kids when I can.
Yanks -135 to win 2 units
I got burned on them today but they are too talented a line up to keep underachieving this badly and while I can get them at this price I will gladly take the value. Jays are brutal vs rhp'ing and they are stronger away from their yard. DeSalvo hasn't been great out of the pen but his 2 starts were solid against a tough seattle line up in the span of a week. His main problem seems to be lefties and the jays don't have a lot of talent on the left side of the plate. McGowans had his struggles this season as well but he seems more likely to struggle vs patient teams and the yanks have a lot of talent that'll make him work for outs. LH bats are his tough outs and the yanks can throw 3 solid ones at him and Mientkiewicz who licks. Yanks are very good vs rhp'ing and are a good road hitting team. McGowans faced the yanks a few times in relief appearances and had little success. The yanks have a slightly worse bullpen but both aren't good pens so no major edge. For the bats alone the value is with the yanks, hopefully DeSalvo can keep from imploding.
Baltimore -118 to win 2 units
Trachsels numbers vs kc look horid on first glance but digging a bit, his last game vs them was great and before that he hadn't pitched vs kc since 2000. I don't remember who the hell they had back then but it's not the same team now. Trachsel may not be much but he is a smart vet and has solid control which against a young undisciplined kc squad means some easy outs if he's even half on. On the other side, Elarton blows. He's a bad home pitcher who is worse in night games. Right handed bats are feasting on him and the O's can throw at least 4 solid ones at him and have the option to dress a couple more if need be. Not many of the bats for the O's have had much at bats vs him but of those who have had at least 10 at bats, all have good numbers and Huff at 8 at bats is a monster against him. Elarton isn't exactly a workhorse so the kc bullpen will come into play more than likely and they are a sad lot. Better pitcher, better line up, better pen and all for -118. It's a bargain :P
watching a few lines for movement still tho. Marlins, Rangers and M's mainly, hopefully the public jumps on the other sides and gives them some more value. They are underpriced imo but not enough for me to pull the trigger as yet.
GL everyone:beerbang:
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