Tweet
Got a bit unlucky yesterday. Found value in all my plays but 3 of them were heavier on the chalk than the others, won more than I lost but the chalk made it a losing day. No big chalk in the card today so time to get back to the good side...
Cubbies -108 to win 1 unit
Hendricksons had a nice start to the season but he's shown signs of coming back to the pack over his last few games. Regardless, Z is the better pitcher in this match up and his history vs the dodgers is spotless with a lifetime 1.74 era vs them. Z has been having his troubles vs lefty bats and this dodgers line up is short on lefty talent with Gonzo, Furcal and Pierre their lefty threats. Furcal and Pierre have had virtually no success vs Z while gonzo has had a few hits off him but hasn't done any major damage. He's controlled Kent and Nomar is yet to face him. Hendrickson has traditionally faired poorly at home and during day games something he faces today. He'll have the advantage of not having faced the cubbies yet but the cubs are talented enough to get their runs here. At this price lots of value.
Atlanta - 102 to win 1 unit
The question here is, is Eaton putting it together or did he just run into a couple of cold teams in the brew and jays in his last starts. I'm betting the latter. I would love the play more if Chipper was in which I don't think he is but the braves bats in limited action have hit Eaton, almost the entire line up. Carlyle is a question mark but he has been very effective at richmond and should have the edge at least in early going. Late going it could get dicey as the phils bats are disciplined and tough but at this price the value for me is on the braves.
SF - 133 to win 1 unit
Cook got the best of the giants the last time he faced them this year but he continued to be hit by the giants, a team he's struggled with thru his career with a lifetime over 5. The rhp match up is one the giants prefer and up and down the line up the giants have guys who have hit Cook well in the past like Bonds, Durham, Klesko, Vizquel. The rox are not a great road hitting team and if Morris can keep Helton and Holliday from hurting him the rest of the line up has either had little success or aren't big threats. Barmes is in the minors and he ate Morris alive so that's a +. I'm not reading too much into last nights win as it was a game the giants should've won, they're the better team here again and they are again under priced imo.
Am finishing the write ups for the rest
Cubbies -108 to win 1 unit
Hendricksons had a nice start to the season but he's shown signs of coming back to the pack over his last few games. Regardless, Z is the better pitcher in this match up and his history vs the dodgers is spotless with a lifetime 1.74 era vs them. Z has been having his troubles vs lefty bats and this dodgers line up is short on lefty talent with Gonzo, Furcal and Pierre their lefty threats. Furcal and Pierre have had virtually no success vs Z while gonzo has had a few hits off him but hasn't done any major damage. He's controlled Kent and Nomar is yet to face him. Hendrickson has traditionally faired poorly at home and during day games something he faces today. He'll have the advantage of not having faced the cubbies yet but the cubs are talented enough to get their runs here. At this price lots of value.
Atlanta - 102 to win 1 unit
The question here is, is Eaton putting it together or did he just run into a couple of cold teams in the brew and jays in his last starts. I'm betting the latter. I would love the play more if Chipper was in which I don't think he is but the braves bats in limited action have hit Eaton, almost the entire line up. Carlyle is a question mark but he has been very effective at richmond and should have the edge at least in early going. Late going it could get dicey as the phils bats are disciplined and tough but at this price the value for me is on the braves.
SF - 133 to win 1 unit
Cook got the best of the giants the last time he faced them this year but he continued to be hit by the giants, a team he's struggled with thru his career with a lifetime over 5. The rhp match up is one the giants prefer and up and down the line up the giants have guys who have hit Cook well in the past like Bonds, Durham, Klesko, Vizquel. The rox are not a great road hitting team and if Morris can keep Helton and Holliday from hurting him the rest of the line up has either had little success or aren't big threats. Barmes is in the minors and he ate Morris alive so that's a +. I'm not reading too much into last nights win as it was a game the giants should've won, they're the better team here again and they are again under priced imo.
Am finishing the write ups for the rest
Comment