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Got a lot of games I like today along with a big soccer parlay i got goin on. I dont usually post my soccer plays cause i got a weird style that no one will bet but real madrid -1.5 yesterday and the over 2.5 did great for me yesterday. but anyway heres the baseball i like for today.
St. Louis Cardinals -180
The Cardinals are worth a small wager here when you consider the advantage they have on the mound. Houston scheduled starter Wandy Rodriguez is struggling. The Astros have lost each of his last 4 starts with 3 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs.
Jaime Garcia gets the ball for St. Louis, which has won 4 of his last 5 starts. All 4 of those victories have come by 2 runs or more. Garcia has been nearly unhittable at home this season, posting a 6-1 record (8-1 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.14. 6 of those 8 wins have come by at least 2 runs.
St. Louis is 8-3 against Houston here in 2011, and 7 of those wins have come by 2 runs or more. We’ll take the Cards.
Detroit Tigers -131
With a no hitter yesterday, that makes this a good spot to go against Los Angeles and with a weaker pitcher on the hill. Joel Pineiro gets the call and it has been a slow start out of the all-Star break as he has allowed 10 runs in just 5.2 innings covering two starts. He pitched a third of an inning and allowed seven runs first start and while he gave up just three runs last time, he allowed 11 hits. Last season, he allowed nine runs in 3.1 innings in his start in Detroit.
Brad Penny counters for the Tigers and to no surprise, he is coming off a non-quality start in his last outing. That was on the road however and he is a much different pitcher at home. In nine road starts, he has a 6.36 ERA and 1.61 WHIP with only two of those being quality performances. At home in 11 starts, he has a 3.15 ERA and 1.28 WHIP with eight of those being quality games. The Tigers are 7-4 in those home games and they are also 9-4 in the 13 games he has started during the daytime.
Pittsburgh Pirates +150
The Pittsburgh Pirates are showing great value Thursday as a big road underdog to the Atlanta Braves for Game 4 of this series. The first three games have been very close, with two ending in extra innings. Atlanta was victorious in both of those contests, and there’s no question the Pirates are going to be highly motivated for revenge tonight to even this series at 2-2. Pittsburgh starter Kevin Correia has been at his best on the road this season. Correia is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 12 road starts in 2011.
Derek Lowe is getting way too much respect from odds makers here. Lowe is 6-8 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in eight home starts. Lowe has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last three starts, going 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.616 WHIP. The Pirates are 10-2 in Correia’s last 12 road starts. The Braves are 1-4 in Lowe’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Bet the Pirates Thursday.
Toronto Blue Jays-149
Play on Toronto at 7:07 ET. After suffering a 12-4 loss in Tuesday’s opener, the Blue Jays shut out the Orioles 3-0 last night. I look for another strong pitching performance tonight from Toronto starter Carlos Villanueva, who has already beaten Baltimore twice this season. In fact, last night’s win put Toronto at 20-3 last 23 home games vs. the Orioles. Baltimore starter Bergesen has a 10-32 team start record in the underdog role. bet on Toronto (w/ Villanueva).
Toronto has won 20 of its last 23 home games against Baltimore and will have an excellent chance to build on this run with Baltimore’s Bergesen stepping to the hill. That’s because the Orioles have lost 11 of his last 13 starts. Plus, the Blue Jays are 4-0 in Villanueva’s last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Take the Jays.
Boston Red Sox -1.5 -135
Beckett has been red hot this year and so have the Red Sox with the bats. Beckett particularly is 3-0 with a 0.90 WHIP and 1.80 ERA over his last 3 starts and he’ll go in the day start on Thursday where the Red Sox are 24-8 this year and Beckett has a 2.14 ERA with 0.81 WHIP in day starts in 2011. Royals on the other hand are 14-19 and although they have hit well their pitching and the wins just have not come and that’s definitely the case with their scheduled starter Luke Hochevar who can show a glimpse of his potential at home but on the road he’s not the same as he has an ERA over 5 on the road this year and has not been any better during day starts. He’s having a rough time this month and has an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts and over 6 in his career during day starts and in July. Red Sox are the #1 day team in offense sporting a .883 OPS while scoring 6.66 runs per game.
More on Beckett as he’s 6-2 lifetime vs. the Royals with a 2.26 ERA and in his 3 home starts he’s got a 1.44 ERA vs. them. Hochevar on the other hand has 4 starts vs. the Red Sox none since 2009 but a 7.94 ERA and 1.85 WHIP does not bode well for him. Red Sox have 74 active at bats vs. him with a .378 average and 1.154 OPS. KC is 20-45 in their last 65 games as an under dog while Boston is 46-18 in their last 64 overall and 39-15 as a favorite over their last 54. Why are we telling you this? Well the Red Sox have won 78% (25 of 32) of their home games by more than 1 run. They have also won 10 of their last 12 vs. the Royals by more than 1 run as well so we think these are great odds for a team that is 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. KC.
We’ll side with the Boston Red Sox Thursday on the Run Line as they send Ace Josh Beckett to the bump. The Red Sox are 19-4 in their last 23 games overall, winning 16 times by two runs or more. Kansas City send Luke Hochevar to the mound, who is 6-8 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Beckett is 9-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 0.905 WHIP in 19 starts, and 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in eight home outings. He is the frontrunner to win the AL Cy Young award with what he has done this season. Kansas City is 1-9 against the run line (-11.3 Units) after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by 5.3 runs/game in this spot. The Red Sox are 20-11 against the run line (+12.4 Units) in day games this season. Beckett is 10-1 against the run line (+9.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line.
Cincinnati Reds -135
Lost 3 straight to the mets due for a win. Dont have beltran anymore and the reds playin at home. I see them winning this one
St. Louis Cardinals -180
The Cardinals are worth a small wager here when you consider the advantage they have on the mound. Houston scheduled starter Wandy Rodriguez is struggling. The Astros have lost each of his last 4 starts with 3 of those losses coming by at least 2 runs.
Jaime Garcia gets the ball for St. Louis, which has won 4 of his last 5 starts. All 4 of those victories have come by 2 runs or more. Garcia has been nearly unhittable at home this season, posting a 6-1 record (8-1 on the ML) with an ERA of 1.14. 6 of those 8 wins have come by at least 2 runs.
St. Louis is 8-3 against Houston here in 2011, and 7 of those wins have come by 2 runs or more. We’ll take the Cards.
Detroit Tigers -131
With a no hitter yesterday, that makes this a good spot to go against Los Angeles and with a weaker pitcher on the hill. Joel Pineiro gets the call and it has been a slow start out of the all-Star break as he has allowed 10 runs in just 5.2 innings covering two starts. He pitched a third of an inning and allowed seven runs first start and while he gave up just three runs last time, he allowed 11 hits. Last season, he allowed nine runs in 3.1 innings in his start in Detroit.
Brad Penny counters for the Tigers and to no surprise, he is coming off a non-quality start in his last outing. That was on the road however and he is a much different pitcher at home. In nine road starts, he has a 6.36 ERA and 1.61 WHIP with only two of those being quality performances. At home in 11 starts, he has a 3.15 ERA and 1.28 WHIP with eight of those being quality games. The Tigers are 7-4 in those home games and they are also 9-4 in the 13 games he has started during the daytime.
Pittsburgh Pirates +150
The Pittsburgh Pirates are showing great value Thursday as a big road underdog to the Atlanta Braves for Game 4 of this series. The first three games have been very close, with two ending in extra innings. Atlanta was victorious in both of those contests, and there’s no question the Pirates are going to be highly motivated for revenge tonight to even this series at 2-2. Pittsburgh starter Kevin Correia has been at his best on the road this season. Correia is 9-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 12 road starts in 2011.
Derek Lowe is getting way too much respect from odds makers here. Lowe is 6-8 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in eight home starts. Lowe has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last three starts, going 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.616 WHIP. The Pirates are 10-2 in Correia’s last 12 road starts. The Braves are 1-4 in Lowe’s last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. Bet the Pirates Thursday.
Toronto Blue Jays-149
Play on Toronto at 7:07 ET. After suffering a 12-4 loss in Tuesday’s opener, the Blue Jays shut out the Orioles 3-0 last night. I look for another strong pitching performance tonight from Toronto starter Carlos Villanueva, who has already beaten Baltimore twice this season. In fact, last night’s win put Toronto at 20-3 last 23 home games vs. the Orioles. Baltimore starter Bergesen has a 10-32 team start record in the underdog role. bet on Toronto (w/ Villanueva).
Toronto has won 20 of its last 23 home games against Baltimore and will have an excellent chance to build on this run with Baltimore’s Bergesen stepping to the hill. That’s because the Orioles have lost 11 of his last 13 starts. Plus, the Blue Jays are 4-0 in Villanueva’s last 4 starts versus a team with a losing record. Take the Jays.
Boston Red Sox -1.5 -135
Beckett has been red hot this year and so have the Red Sox with the bats. Beckett particularly is 3-0 with a 0.90 WHIP and 1.80 ERA over his last 3 starts and he’ll go in the day start on Thursday where the Red Sox are 24-8 this year and Beckett has a 2.14 ERA with 0.81 WHIP in day starts in 2011. Royals on the other hand are 14-19 and although they have hit well their pitching and the wins just have not come and that’s definitely the case with their scheduled starter Luke Hochevar who can show a glimpse of his potential at home but on the road he’s not the same as he has an ERA over 5 on the road this year and has not been any better during day starts. He’s having a rough time this month and has an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts and over 6 in his career during day starts and in July. Red Sox are the #1 day team in offense sporting a .883 OPS while scoring 6.66 runs per game.
More on Beckett as he’s 6-2 lifetime vs. the Royals with a 2.26 ERA and in his 3 home starts he’s got a 1.44 ERA vs. them. Hochevar on the other hand has 4 starts vs. the Red Sox none since 2009 but a 7.94 ERA and 1.85 WHIP does not bode well for him. Red Sox have 74 active at bats vs. him with a .378 average and 1.154 OPS. KC is 20-45 in their last 65 games as an under dog while Boston is 46-18 in their last 64 overall and 39-15 as a favorite over their last 54. Why are we telling you this? Well the Red Sox have won 78% (25 of 32) of their home games by more than 1 run. They have also won 10 of their last 12 vs. the Royals by more than 1 run as well so we think these are great odds for a team that is 23-9 in their last 32 home games vs. KC.
We’ll side with the Boston Red Sox Thursday on the Run Line as they send Ace Josh Beckett to the bump. The Red Sox are 19-4 in their last 23 games overall, winning 16 times by two runs or more. Kansas City send Luke Hochevar to the mound, who is 6-8 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Beckett is 9-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 0.905 WHIP in 19 starts, and 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in eight home outings. He is the frontrunner to win the AL Cy Young award with what he has done this season. Kansas City is 1-9 against the run line (-11.3 Units) after allowing 12 runs or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by 5.3 runs/game in this spot. The Red Sox are 20-11 against the run line (+12.4 Units) in day games this season. Beckett is 10-1 against the run line (+9.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line.
Cincinnati Reds -135
Lost 3 straight to the mets due for a win. Dont have beltran anymore and the reds playin at home. I see them winning this one