7/25 picks and why

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  • supbk1031
    Newbie
    • Mar 2011
    • 81

    7/25 picks and why

    3 picks for today
    we'll see how it goes today. got a play i really like tomorrow

    13-5 since I came back last week


    Tampa bay Rays -118
    Tampa Bay was able to salvage one game in Kansas City with a 5-0 win on Sunday and it looks to carry that over into this series opener in Oakland. Jeremy Hellickson takes the hill for the Rays and he is once again on a major role. He has tossed five straight quality starts following a poor outing in Baltimore and his last came in his first ever start against the Yankees. That followed over two weeks of rest which is a big edge this time of year. In his lone starts against the A’s last year, he tossed a quality outing in Oakland.

    The A’s counter with Guillermo Moscoso who is coming off the worst start of his young career as he allowed seven run, six of which were earned, on nine hits in just 4.2 innings in Detroit. Granted, that was on the road and he has been a much better pitcher at home however it will be a new situation coming off that poor outing and it could be very difficult to bounce back. The A’s are averaging only 1.9 rpg over his last seven starts and Tampa Bay is 6-1 in its last seven games against starters with a 1.15 or better WHIP. 3* (971) Tampa Bay Rays

    The Tampa Bay Rays get the call Monday as a small road favorite over the Oakland A’s. Oakland has to travel across county from New York all the way to the west coast overnight. That long flight will certainly take its toll. The Rays are still fighting for a wild card spot in the American League at 53-47, while the A’s are virtually out of the race at 44-57. Jeremy Hellickson has been a stud all season for Tampa, going 9-7 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.130 WHIP in 17 starts. He’ll be up against an Oakland team that is only hitting .237 and scoring 3.5 runs/game against right-handed starters this year. The Rays are putting up 5.0 runs/game on the road, and they are 29-22 away from home in 2011. The Rays are 49-20 in their last 69 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Tampa is 11-2 in their last 13 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The A’s are 23-50 in their last 73 games as an underdog. Oakland is 0-4 in Guillermo Moscoso’s last 4 starts as an underdog. Take the Rays on the Money Line.

    Texas Rangers -170
    The Rangers pertain to a system that plays on home favorites off a home favored loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits vs an opponent also off a home favored loss and scored 4 or less runs. The Line is too high to unit rate the Rangers but for a 1 unit free play will take a shot. Blackburn for the Twins has been abysmal the past few years on the road vs teams with a winning record. He will take on a Texas lineup that averages 6 runs per game at home and will be tough as they were shut down pretty good last night. Holland for Texas does not possess great numbers this season but I think he will do enough to get the jib done and may get some run support here. Take the Rangers. On Monday the NL Total of the Month backed with a Powerful system that beats the Posted total by over 4 runs is the lead play. Jump on and start the week off right. Take Texas

    LA Angels -123
    I’ll side with the Los Angeles Angels Monday to win and inch closer to the Texas Rangers in the AL West division. The Angels are 4-1 in their last 5 games overall to get to within three games of the Rangers for first place. The Cleveland Indians are going the wrong way, losers of four straight and six of eight overall. There’s no question that the Angels are playing the better baseball right now, plus they have the better starter on the mound Monday.

    Dan Haren is 10-6 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 21 starts this season, while Fausto Carmona is 5-10 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 19 starts in 2011. The Indians are 1-5 in Carmona’s last 6 starts vs. Los Angeles. The Indians are 16-35 in their last 51 games as an underdog, and 2-8 in Carmona’s last 10 starts as a dog. The Angels are 17-5 in their last 22 games as a favorite. L.A. is 7-1 in Haren’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Angels Monday.

    The Halos have the edge on the mound with Haren, who will be very focused tonight following a rare poor start in his last outing. The Angels are 5-1 in Haren’s last 6 starts, 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the American League Central and 4-0 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Indians have lost 5 in a row at home and are just 3-7 in Carmona’s last 10 starts. The Indians are 6-18 in his last 24 starts vs. the American League West and 1-5 in his last 6 starts vs. the Angels. Take the Halos.
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