MLB Tuesday with long analysis

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  • supbk1031
    Newbie
    • Mar 2011
    • 81

    MLB Tuesday with long analysis

    Brewers/Dbacks over 9 -105

    Gallardo can’t get anyone out not pitching at Miller’s Field, he rocks an 8.57 ERA in his L4 with suitcase. All six Baryy Enright starts have gone over for the Snakes. Not coincidentally he’s 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA for the year. Bet the Over and don’t blink.

    This is about as easy as it gets when it comes to totals. The offenses already have the advantage playing at Chase Field, but both starting pitchers figure to make sure there are plenty of runs scored tonight. Milwaukee will start Yovani Gallardo, who may be 10-6 on the year, but he is just 3-5 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.570 WHIP on the road. Arizona will counter with Barry Enright, who has a 6.26 ERA and 1.522 WHIP at home.

    Brewers -119

    The Brewers, winners of 6 of their last 7 in Arizona, have the edge on the mound with Gallardo going tonight. He is 4-0 lifetime against the D-backs with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.958. He just defeated the Snakes on July 6, giving up only 1 run on 4 hits in 7 innings of work. It is also worth noting that the Brewers are 7-1 in Gallardo’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 8-3 in his last 11 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
    Arizona’s Enright, who is carrying a 6.49 ERA through 6 starts, doesn’t inspire as much confidence. The Diamondbacks are just 2-9 in Enright’s last 11 starts, 1-9 in his last 10 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in his last 5 starts in the 2nd game of a series. We’ll bet the Brew Crew.

    Few starters have had as much success against the Arizona Diamondbacks as Yovani Gallardo. The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to bounce back from a shutout loss to Arizona last night, and Gallardo is just the man to help them do it. Gallardo is 4-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in four lifetime starts versus Arizona. He held them to 1 run and 5 base runners in 7 innings of a 3-1 victory over the Diamondbacks on 7/6/2011, his lone starts against them this season. Barry Enright is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in six starts this season for Arizona. He is no match for Gallardo in this one, and should be a much bigger underdog tonight. Arizona is 1-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line with a well rested bullpen – threw 4 innings or less over last 3 games over the last 2 seasons, losing in this spot by 4.2 runs/game. The Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite. Milwaukee is 7-1 in Gallardo’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 13-5 in Gallardo’s last 18 starts as a favorite. The Diamondbacks are 1-9 in Enright’s last 10 starts as an underdog. Take the Brewers on the Money Line.

    Texas Rangers -130

    Look for the reigning AL champs to win a 12th straight game tonight. The Rangers are 8-3 in Ogando’s last 11 starts while the Angels are 2-5 in Chatwood’s last 7 starts. Plus, the Angels are 0-4 in Chatwood’s last 4 home starts. The Angels are 6-14 in their last 20 games in the underdog role and 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take Texas.

    The Rangers have won 11 in a row and come into tonight’s game leading the Angels by four games in the AL West. They are allowing less than two runs per game their last seven games and overall have allowed just 24 runs during the 11-game win streak. The offense, meanwhile, is averaging 6.5 rpg. The pitching matchup of Ogando vs. Chatwood definitely favors the visitors. The Angels are just 3-7 at home when Chatwood starts while Texas is as a favorite of -125 to -175 when Ogando starts. 10* on Texas.
    Twitter:
    @EddieWayneSS
    @JayDaniels_SS

    Youtube:
    https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdR...ySemqnXOqWI2ag
  • ucfknight806
    Newbie
    • Oct 2010
    • 73

    #2
    First of all...what's your record on plays?

    Secondly, where do you copy and paste your "analysis' from? And your first and second play totally contradict each other in your explanations. I am not trying to call you or anything, but after reading them, it seems like you are saying in the first post expect a lot of runs, and then in your second game you make it seem that Gallardo will hold Arizona to nothing.

    Just looking for a little insight on your bets for the day because they confuse me a little.

    Comment

    • supbk1031
      Newbie
      • Mar 2011
      • 81

      #3
      Originally posted by ucfknight806
      First of all...what's your record on plays?

      Secondly, where do you copy and paste your "analysis' from? And your first and second play totally contradict each other in your explanations. I am not trying to call you or anything, but after reading them, it seems like you are saying in the first post expect a lot of runs, and then in your second game you make it seem that Gallardo will hold Arizona to nothing.

      Just looking for a little insight on your bets for the day because they confuse me a little.
      i never keep track i just post to try and help everyone out lol. i know ive won 60+% of the games i post on here u can ask anyone on here. someone counted up all my games for me a while ago and its in my profile somewhere. I went 2-1 yesterday. basically this is what i do for baseball. I use a few sites that give away lists of free picks from the top handicappers in vegas (matt fargo, jimmy boyd, feist, john anthony etc.) I try to find games that are listed on there more than once. then i compare it to the percentages of the betting public. If more then 65-70% of the betting public bet on a certain team i want to bet I usually dont go near it. there are some exceptions. but vegas makes money and always will. so the best chances are to bet against the public. One example was right before the all star break. Red sox played the orioles. Lackey was pitching and the O/U was 11. 91% of the betting public took the over. because the percentage was so high i took the under and cause lackey is a good pitcher. final score red sox win 4-0. that was just one example that comes to mind. Football and basketball i have totally different ways because i follow those sports more. baseball is just something to do for fun. Soccer is the best sport to bet. Everyone and there mom was taking the US this weekend(including me) my buddy tossed 50 bucks on the draw (+225) and 100 on Japan to win overall(+190) he said before bookies were gonna make money today and they definately did. and most of the time usually do. hopefully that helps on the insight
      Last edited by supbk1031; 07-19-2011, 02:30 PM.
      Twitter:
      @EddieWayneSS
      @JayDaniels_SS

      Youtube:
      https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdR...ySemqnXOqWI2ag

      Comment

      • akatdrake
        Senior Member
        • Oct 2007
        • 6065

        #4
        Ugh. I am on both Milwaukee and Texas. Lame.
        NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
        MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
        MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
        NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
        Updated on 01/13/18
        ---
        One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

        Comment

        • supbk1031
          Newbie
          • Mar 2011
          • 81

          #5
          3-0 today and all 3 games were not even close! 5-1 since I came back to the boards
          Twitter:
          @EddieWayneSS
          @JayDaniels_SS

          Youtube:
          https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCdR...ySemqnXOqWI2ag

          Comment

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