More Chalk

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  • Kevin
    Red Hot and Rollin'
    • Feb 2007
    • 11718

    More Chalk

    YTD: 51-49-1 -4.55 Units

    Taking:

    LAD -230 (19 units to win 8.26)

    Dodgers 15-2 in their last 17 home games have a huge advantage with an even better pitcher on the hill (Buehler) tonight vs. an AZ team that is likely deflated/bewildered after losing with 2 outs in the bottom of the 9th last night after walking FIVE STRAIGHT HITTERS.

    Historically speaking, teams come out super flat after huge letdown losses. While this angle is especially true in extra inning games, I really like it in this spot as well as what happened last night was fairly unbelievable and puts a huge emotional dent on the team.

    With how the Dodgers are playing at home right now and with Buehler on the hill, I make this line at -380. Big value here despite it being super chalky.

    Good luck!
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