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Let's start the day with what feels like the captain obvious play of the day
Cincy -135 First 5 2 Units
Arroyo dominates all of the Cubs hitters except Byrd, Castro and Soriano likely are sitting and Casey Coleman is terrible. The Cubs will have no legitimate hitters that deserve to even be in the top 5 of a legitimate major league lineup on the field today and they will be putting their poor defense behind a guy who walks someone 4.5/9 for his career and 6 per 9 for the season. This feels too easy but I can't see anything that makes me willing to back Casey Coleman. I don't like the Reds but this is a small price for a superior pitching matchup, the better lineup and a team that can't play awful defense 2 days in a row. The Cubs blew their chance yesterday not taking advantage of all their baserunners.
Minnesota +145 3 Units
Duensing has a track record of dominating LHB and keeping them in the park. If he does the same today he should be able to handle a lineup that is perceived to be underachieving. Minnesota has gotten a lot of mojo going the last 3 games and I think there is a reasonable chance for that to continue against a team that is playing .333 ball against clubs that don't have Angels across their chest. Bucholz is dealing with a blister and Minnesota has a bunch of kids up now with all the injuries and they don't know that Boston is supposed to be kicking everyone's ass. They are just motivated to keep a job in the big leagues.
TB/Baltimore Under 8 -105 2 Units
Going back to the well after the kick in the sack push last night. I like these pitchers better than last night since I have more confidence that Guthrie gets into the 7th. Hellickson is on extra rest and he has pitched fine on that before and I think he has a lot of room to be better than he has been to this point. I think he stuff is certainly capable of shutting down the O's with his control and command. They have enough free swingers to stop rallies and with the Rays low batting average Guthrie should be able to limit the damage. I like a 3-2, 4-1 type of game and I lean to the Rays but my gut says O's.
That's it till the night games.
glta
Cincy -135 First 5 2 Units
Arroyo dominates all of the Cubs hitters except Byrd, Castro and Soriano likely are sitting and Casey Coleman is terrible. The Cubs will have no legitimate hitters that deserve to even be in the top 5 of a legitimate major league lineup on the field today and they will be putting their poor defense behind a guy who walks someone 4.5/9 for his career and 6 per 9 for the season. This feels too easy but I can't see anything that makes me willing to back Casey Coleman. I don't like the Reds but this is a small price for a superior pitching matchup, the better lineup and a team that can't play awful defense 2 days in a row. The Cubs blew their chance yesterday not taking advantage of all their baserunners.
Minnesota +145 3 Units
Duensing has a track record of dominating LHB and keeping them in the park. If he does the same today he should be able to handle a lineup that is perceived to be underachieving. Minnesota has gotten a lot of mojo going the last 3 games and I think there is a reasonable chance for that to continue against a team that is playing .333 ball against clubs that don't have Angels across their chest. Bucholz is dealing with a blister and Minnesota has a bunch of kids up now with all the injuries and they don't know that Boston is supposed to be kicking everyone's ass. They are just motivated to keep a job in the big leagues.
TB/Baltimore Under 8 -105 2 Units
Going back to the well after the kick in the sack push last night. I like these pitchers better than last night since I have more confidence that Guthrie gets into the 7th. Hellickson is on extra rest and he has pitched fine on that before and I think he has a lot of room to be better than he has been to this point. I think he stuff is certainly capable of shutting down the O's with his control and command. They have enough free swingers to stop rallies and with the Rays low batting average Guthrie should be able to limit the damage. I like a 3-2, 4-1 type of game and I lean to the Rays but my gut says O's.
That's it till the night games.
glta
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