MLB Tuesday

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Badger
    Predictem.com writer
    • Nov 2007
    • 437

    MLB Tuesday

    Gave back another unit yesterday to start this week 0-1. Oops, actually 1.2 units.

    Unlike yesterday where I searched and searched for value and didn't find any, today I'm liking a whole slew of plays and had a hard time whittling it down to my standard five-play max per card.

    Arizona D-Bags - Bobby Enright +133 Enright was solid after his call-up last June/July, whereas Cashner is still unproven in my mind and likely to be pretty jacked up for his debut. What clinched the deal for me was that Sportsbook said that 94% of people betting on the game were betting on the Cubs ... I'll take the better pitcher and try and piss in the Cubs cherrios any day.

    Arizona/Cubs - over 9.5 +100 Sort of hedging here, but with the wind blowing out to right at 10-15 mph, and two young hurlers on the bump. I'll take even odds to watch the young righties learn the ropes of Wrigley with the wind blowing out.

    San Francisco/San Diego - over 7 -105 I'm not sold on SD-native Harang making his first hometown start in the SD home opener feel good ju-ju story. My hope is that Bumgardner for SF gives up a few too, and this one goes over late on the pens.

    NYM/Philly - over 8 -105 When I saw that this was down to 8 and just -105, I jumped. Yes, Hamels can dominate but he can also give up 2 or 3 in a blink just as easily, especially in Citizens BandBox Park. But I see the red-hot Phillies offense going over 8 on their own against Chris Young in his Mets debut. I just see this over as great value.

    Pittsburgh/St. Louis - under 8.5 +100 McDonald is actually the Pirates best pitcher, and I expect McClellan to continue his torrid spring. I must admit I'm a little scared that the Cards are set to bust out, because they are due, but I still think McDonald is the type of pitcher to limit the damage.

    Also thought long and hard on Seattle and rookie Pineda (at +143), and LAA's Weaver as such a small fave (-108), but backed off because I can't toss my load at every pretty girl that walks by. Maybe if my Arizona/Cubs games come in early I will chase, but for now I'm off.

    GL yall! :beerbang:


    Week 2 - 0-1 picks, -1.2 units
    Week 1 - 7-4 picks, +4.1 units
  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    #2
    Good luck on Enright - I'm scared of his penchant to give up the long ball, but backing a rookie Cub isn't smart.
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

    Comment

    • Franchise
      Senior Member
      • Oct 2007
      • 1289

      #3
      Gl Badger - I like the card and agree on a lot of it with you. A couple of notes, the wind should be blowing out at Philly too and McDonald is on a pitch count tonight 85 is the goal but not to exceed 90.
      MLB
      May
      Overall 43-43 +5.5 Units
      Sides 19-22 -0.0 Units
      Total 24-21 +5.5 Units

      April
      Overall 61-44 +47.1 Units
      Sides 28-28 +4.0 Units
      Totals 33-16 +43.1 Units

      Comment

      Working...