This here MLB April!

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  • akatdrake
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2007
    • 6065

    This here MLB April!

    YTD: 0-0

    Thursday:

    Milwaukee Brewers -105 (Gallardo)

    Gallardo for MVP/Cy Young! Volquez had an ugly spring, and even though both teams hit fairly well in the preseason, Reds fared better against Lefties...

    Not much time for reasoning, sorry.

    Leaned Tigers, but everyone is on their tail and I don't remember the stat, but the Yankess do fairly well in their openers, don't they?

    :thumbs:
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.
  • Stifler's Mom
    Moderator
    • Feb 2007
    • 8541

    #2
    New year, possible new results, but if I remember correctly Detroit sucked donkey ass on the road last season.

    Of course the Yankees will be overvalued as always.

    Probably better games out there today

    GL :thumbs:

    Comment

    • CBXU
      Member
      • Feb 2011
      • 150

      #3
      Im leaning Reds with my bet (but then again im a homer). If i remember correctly we LIT UP Gallardo both times he pitched against us last year (followed by masterful games by Randy Wolf of course)

      Good luck!

      Comment

      • CBXU
        Member
        • Feb 2011
        • 150

        #4
        Im leaning Reds with my bet (but then again im a homer). If i remember correctly we LIT UP Gallardo both times he pitched against us last year (followed by masterful games by Randy Wolf of course)

        Good luck!

        Comment

        • akatdrake
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2007
          • 6065

          #5
          Thursday add:

          Dodgers/Giants u6.5 -110 - Two aces, under ump on the hill - last two with Lincecum both under; last two with Kershaw both under. Kershaw 7-3 under last ten, under 6-2 this matchup last eight.

          What a beating on the Brewers! Second coming of Trevor Hoffman??? LOL
          Last edited by akatdrake; 03-31-2011, 06:21 PM.
          NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
          MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
          MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
          NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
          Updated on 01/13/18
          ---
          One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

          Comment

          • akatdrake
            Senior Member
            • Oct 2007
            • 6065

            #6
            Friday:

            Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) -115
            - Sorry sorry Cleveland lineup they're fielding today. Really jumping on the CWS bandwagon this year.

            Kansas City/Los Angeles u8 -115

            More posts later.
            Last edited by akatdrake; 04-01-2011, 03:16 PM. Reason: add total
            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
            Updated on 01/13/18
            ---
            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

            Comment

            • akatdrake
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2007
              • 6065

              #7
              Friday: 2-0

              Saturday:

              San Francisco Giants (Cain) -120 - Some may say the better bet is the under here, but I really think Lilly gets lit up here. Even though only two games in, Giants need a long outing by Cain and I think he gets it done.

              San Diego Padres (Richard) +135 - If you looked at one pitcher on the Cardinals roster that was fallable, Westbrook is definitely one. Matt Holliday on 15-day DL going through an appendictomy so he won't be playing today.

              Chicago/Cleveland o8.5 -105 - I am hesitant to play this with the offensive outburst yesterday afternoon, but just don't see how teams don't light it up again today. Over 9-1-1 last 11 when CWS are faves. Both pitcher's control is spotty at best.

              :thumbs:
              NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
              MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
              MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
              NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
              Updated on 01/13/18
              ---
              One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

              Comment

              • Badger
                Predictem.com writer
                • Nov 2007
                • 437

                #8
                Wish I would have came thru here earlier, I would have tailed your CWS/Clev. pick. :bang:

                Comment

                • akatdrake
                  Senior Member
                  • Oct 2007
                  • 6065

                  #9
                  Thanks Badger - I'll take a 3-0 day all day!

                  Sunday Leans/thoughts (plays in a.m.):

                  Everything to me says to play the White Sox/Indians over again, but we've seen both Danks and Masterson have flashes of brilliance. I'm going to stay away this afternoon.

                  Like Max Scherzer and think Hughes/Yanks set for letdown and dislike Nick Blackburn - no confidence in Brett Cecil though.

                  Might take a flyer on highly anticipated debut of Zachary Britton vs Wade Davis.

                  Liking Clay Buchholz and Doug Fister.

                  Looking more in the a.m.
                  NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                  MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                  MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                  NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                  Updated on 01/13/18
                  ---
                  One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                  Comment

                  • akatdrake
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2007
                    • 6065

                    #10
                    April 3:

                    Florida Marlins (Vazquez) -135 - The more and more I look at games, the less I like the card... however, I do like the Marlins today against Dickey's knuckleball. Mets have a few regulars sitting today, and Marlins' only one out is Stanton. Mets are 3-8 as underdogs, 2-9 SU vs Florida, Florida 7-2 last 9 home games.

                    Toronto Blue Jays (Cecil) -135 - Minnesota's offense is struggling - Franchise attributed that to the Toronto pitching staff the last couple of games and after read-ups and highlighs, I agree with him. Today Joe Mauer is getting a Sun-day of rest. The top of the Twins order isn't doing well, neither is the middle or the bottom. Blackburn, when he struggles, tends to not have movement on his fastball - comes out flat even on his two-seamer and his curve doesn't have a lot of break. Leave it up to these righties on Toronto's lineup and we'll have a similar trend continue - 6 HRs in two games vs the Twins...

                    Tampa Bay/Baltimore u9 -110 - Davis just signed a new contract in the offseason and this being his first start - he'll look to shut down Baltimore's offense. Baltimore has a significant trend of unders in road games and Sunday games. Head-to-head, under 19-7... coupled with Lazaro Diaz at the plate under 7-3 in last ten behind the plate.

                    Really liking Arroyo today, but cannot pull the trigger as he's pitching with a confirmed case of Mono. Ish. Like I said last night, like Max Scherzer, but Detroit's lineup looks yucky today...

                    This is all for the early games - hopefully go 2-0 so I don't have to worry about the later games. Going to LEAN: Chicago White Sox, Cincinnati Reds, Baltimore Orioles, Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners.
                    Last edited by akatdrake; 04-03-2011, 10:13 AM.
                    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                    Updated on 01/13/18
                    ---
                    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                    Comment

                    • Franchise
                      Senior Member
                      • Oct 2007
                      • 1289

                      #11
                      A couple of things to add to your points.

                      I believe Blackburn is a flyball pitcher which shouldn't hurt the Jays bombs away attitude. Cecil typically pounds the zone although with not as good of stuff as drabek or Romero. But I like his chances to hold them to a manageable number. The Jays are underrated because of their division.

                      I've watched quite a bit of O's/Rays and the rays offense looks poor. I think they will be a strong under team when not facing NY or Boston.

                      GL
                      MLB
                      May
                      Overall 43-43 +5.5 Units
                      Sides 19-22 -0.0 Units
                      Total 24-21 +5.5 Units

                      April
                      Overall 61-44 +47.1 Units
                      Sides 28-28 +4.0 Units
                      Totals 33-16 +43.1 Units

                      Comment

                      • akatdrake
                        Senior Member
                        • Oct 2007
                        • 6065

                        #12
                        Sunday: 1-2

                        Monday:

                        Don't really like the card at all today...

                        Chicago/Arizona o9 -120
                        - Under trends for both teams on grass, as favorites, overall. But the past between these two teams is undeniable - over is 16-5 including a line of 14.5 last year in which Randy Wells was a part of.

                        Leaning Detroit and Minnesota today, but no confidence in Porcello and Baker yet.
                        NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                        MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                        MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                        NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                        Updated on 01/13/18
                        ---
                        One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                        Comment

                        • Franchise
                          Senior Member
                          • Oct 2007
                          • 1289

                          #13
                          I like the over today as well. But one thing to remember is the winds at Wrigley have a huge impact on totals that's why they come out so late. The 14' total last year had ridiculous winds blowing out, like 25-30 mph. Everything hit in the air flew. Today it's around 15 blowing out to right.
                          MLB
                          May
                          Overall 43-43 +5.5 Units
                          Sides 19-22 -0.0 Units
                          Total 24-21 +5.5 Units

                          April
                          Overall 61-44 +47.1 Units
                          Sides 28-28 +4.0 Units
                          Totals 33-16 +43.1 Units

                          Comment

                          • akatdrake
                            Senior Member
                            • Oct 2007
                            • 6065

                            #14
                            Thanks Chise. Best of luck today.
                            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                            Updated on 01/13/18
                            ---
                            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                            Comment

                            • akatdrake
                              Senior Member
                              • Oct 2007
                              • 6065

                              #15
                              Monday: 0-1

                              Want to back the Cubs as Enright likes to give up the long ball, but cannot back Cashner as a starter yet... looking at Harang/Padres as a home dog as well. Looking also at James McDonald vs Kyle McClellan and how he'll react to being Wainwright's replacement...

                              Tampa Bay/Los Angeles u7.5 - Weaver tough on the road - under 8-1-1 last ten, under 20-5-1 TB overall, 8-2-1 under TB as a dog... like Niemann this year as a younger pitcher and Rays offense hurting lately, right when Longoria went out. Niemann 2:1 K to BB ratio last year, most remember CG SO... but he will give up the long ball - 25 last year.

                              Cleveland Indians (Tomlin) +140 - definitely a fade of Beckett early, though Indians have been dominated heads-up in the last couple of years.

                              Seattle Mariners (Pineda) +150 - like the big cat from Seattle to up-end reliever-to-starter Ogando. Texas the hot team, feel this line should be 20-30 cents higher with a lot of trends favoring the Rangers. I'll go the other way.

                              Los Angeles Dodgers (Kershaw) -115 - fade of the flyball pitcher Chacin in the thin air. If Kershaw can the ball down, things should be fine here.

                              :thumbs:
                              NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                              MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                              MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                              NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                              Updated on 01/13/18
                              ---
                              One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                              Comment

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