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Three plays that really jump out at me tonight.
Arizona pk 2 Units
Arizona has played with more confidence of late and would have even more impressive numbers if they could cash in some of their situations with guys on base. One of the reasons they have struggled with that is their significant amount of K's (Hello Justin Upton). Tonight they run into a struggling SP who doesn't strike out many and depends on contact against a team that hits it hard when they hit it. On the other hand Joe Saunders gets another favorable matchup against young players he can pitch to. He should be able to get them to chase pitches as they are relatively undisciplined and have to be a little discouraged after getting crushed by Florida this week. If Arizona gets ahead early I can see Washington just laying down for them.
Oakland/Minnesota under 7' 3 Units
Minnesota's home park has played slightly more favorable to unders with the difficulty in hitting HR's and getting instant offense. I would be surprised if more than 1 HR was hit tonight and that means these teams have to string together base hits and get clutch hits against two pitchers who have been very stingy with base runners and allowing hits.
Texas -125 2 units
Josh Beckett getting rocked part 2. Fastball pitcher against fastball hitting team. I think the day off will help Texas get energized and focused after the tough loss to the Yankees while the Red Sox had to board the plane after Paplebon's meltdown. I don't think this is nearly proper line value for the better starter, better rested bullpen, and a team that is better at the majority of positions in the starting lineup.
glta
Arizona pk 2 Units
Arizona has played with more confidence of late and would have even more impressive numbers if they could cash in some of their situations with guys on base. One of the reasons they have struggled with that is their significant amount of K's (Hello Justin Upton). Tonight they run into a struggling SP who doesn't strike out many and depends on contact against a team that hits it hard when they hit it. On the other hand Joe Saunders gets another favorable matchup against young players he can pitch to. He should be able to get them to chase pitches as they are relatively undisciplined and have to be a little discouraged after getting crushed by Florida this week. If Arizona gets ahead early I can see Washington just laying down for them.
Oakland/Minnesota under 7' 3 Units
Minnesota's home park has played slightly more favorable to unders with the difficulty in hitting HR's and getting instant offense. I would be surprised if more than 1 HR was hit tonight and that means these teams have to string together base hits and get clutch hits against two pitchers who have been very stingy with base runners and allowing hits.
Texas -125 2 units
Josh Beckett getting rocked part 2. Fastball pitcher against fastball hitting team. I think the day off will help Texas get energized and focused after the tough loss to the Yankees while the Red Sox had to board the plane after Paplebon's meltdown. I don't think this is nearly proper line value for the better starter, better rested bullpen, and a team that is better at the majority of positions in the starting lineup.
glta
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