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Another profitable night last night and the only loser was one I probably shouldn't have pulled the trigger on. I'll lock the lines in a little later this morning when my book changes it's overnight lines to dimes.
St Louis
I'm leaning toward backing Wainwright against a team where the hitters on the roster are hitting .192 with a .596 OPS. Wainwright had a hiccup against the Mets but he has had a tendency to drop 2-3 of those per season on the road. That is really the only difference between his home and road numbers since he almost never gives up more than 3 runs at home. St Louis on other hand has had success throughout the roster against Arroyo and should be able to score atleast 3-4 runs needed to back Wainwright for the W. St Louis has also been stepping up their offense lately as Pujols and Holliday have heated up to raise the whole offense. The only other consideration was the over with the ballpark and everything but having to pay the same juice for over 7 as the side I am leaning towards Wainwright. St Louis has scored atleast 4 runs in 9 straight games.
Tampa/Detroit Under 7' -115 3 Units
I locked this in again early. I think we have slightly more dependable pitchers going today and we get the beauty of a day game after a night game. Both managers like to use their bench in this situation so who knows what kind of lineup we'll see. We have two power pitchers against two struggling offenses. Price dominated a lineup that is much better hitting LHP with about the same game plan as Garza will have today. Verlander is a little more of a concern because he typically gives up 2-3 runs but as long as he gets deep in the game I think he can do better than that. My biggest concern is having to get more than 4 innings out of the bullpens combined. If it's less than that I think it stays under. Valverde is also rested today so a close or tie game probably gets him in the 9th. Last night the 9th was almost by downfall because the Tigers wore out their pen trying to find someone who will throw strikes.
I'll pass on the rest of the early games for now although I am considering Houston or the under.
GLTA
St Louis
I'm leaning toward backing Wainwright against a team where the hitters on the roster are hitting .192 with a .596 OPS. Wainwright had a hiccup against the Mets but he has had a tendency to drop 2-3 of those per season on the road. That is really the only difference between his home and road numbers since he almost never gives up more than 3 runs at home. St Louis on other hand has had success throughout the roster against Arroyo and should be able to score atleast 3-4 runs needed to back Wainwright for the W. St Louis has also been stepping up their offense lately as Pujols and Holliday have heated up to raise the whole offense. The only other consideration was the over with the ballpark and everything but having to pay the same juice for over 7 as the side I am leaning towards Wainwright. St Louis has scored atleast 4 runs in 9 straight games.
Tampa/Detroit Under 7' -115 3 Units
I locked this in again early. I think we have slightly more dependable pitchers going today and we get the beauty of a day game after a night game. Both managers like to use their bench in this situation so who knows what kind of lineup we'll see. We have two power pitchers against two struggling offenses. Price dominated a lineup that is much better hitting LHP with about the same game plan as Garza will have today. Verlander is a little more of a concern because he typically gives up 2-3 runs but as long as he gets deep in the game I think he can do better than that. My biggest concern is having to get more than 4 innings out of the bullpens combined. If it's less than that I think it stays under. Valverde is also rested today so a close or tie game probably gets him in the 9th. Last night the 9th was almost by downfall because the Tigers wore out their pen trying to find someone who will throw strikes.
I'll pass on the rest of the early games for now although I am considering Houston or the under.
GLTA
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