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After a few good days in a row Monday on the bases bit me in the ass. Made the mistake of backing Senile Lou who seems to be losing his mind :nuts:
Hopefully a better day awaits me on Tuesdays bases...
Might have more to come, these are early lock ins.
Tbay 1st 5 innings + 119 x 1 unit
Tough to gauge if this one is going up or not. I would guess the line could get better for me as the yankee supporters love to back their team but Kazmir has pitched the big bats in the line up rough. Arod 1-14, Jeter 2-17, Damon 3-15, Giambi 2-8. Abreu and Posada have faired the best vs him but have one homerun between the 2 of them in 18 combined at bats. Kazmirs history shows him to be tougher at home than on the road. He's just flat out nasty on lefties and dominated the righties in the line up. Don't trust his pen so taking the 5 inning play. Wang on the bump for the yanks, fresh off an injury lay off. Tampa doesn't have a lot of success vs Wang either but he doesn't pitch as well on the road as he does at home and his history has shown him to get better as the season wears on, so after his injury break and being behind from a stamina point to the rays bats, I am expecting them to be able to get to him early. Good value here with the home dog vs a pitcher who might need some time to settle in and find his rhythm.
Dodgers - 149 to win 1 unit
Not a big fan of the giants line up at the best of times but I don't find this to be a favorable match up at all. Morris gets the start for the giants, he has a lifetime era of 5.4 going into this one vs the dodgers. His history has shown him to be a much better home pitcher, but he finds himself in a road start here. At dodger stadium he holds a lifetime era of 6. The hottest dodger bats, Kent, Gonzalez, Garciapara, Martin, Pierre have all had success hitting him. Lowe is on the mound for the dodgers. He's been hit or miss this year on the road but has proven to be a very good home pitcher over the years. He has a lifetime 3.57 era vs the giants. He has managed to keep Bonds at bay so far. Other members of the line up have hit him but the team as a whole has had very little success getting runs in on him. Dodgers also backed by a solid pen whereas the giants pen is a little unreliable.
Rox + 186 x 1 unit
I like the value here. I know the mets line up is tough but this isn't Pedro or Glavine in their primes up for the mets it's freakin el duque. The lefties in the rox line up love facing him as they've hit him hard and well. Unfortunately there is only a couple lefties in the line up. Hernandez is usually nails vs right handed bats but the rox feature a couple really solid right handed bats who have seen him enough times to know what he's got by now. Cooks not the greatest pitcher but he has pitched much better than his numbers would indicate. Not many of the mets better bats have seen him much which should help him, at least early on and give him the chance to get into the game. Alou would be the main bat that has experience vs him and he's hit him well. I figure the odds are the mets are more likely to win this game than the rox but in a game where I have the mets at around -170ish, I had to jump on this price.
Hopefully a better day awaits me on Tuesdays bases...
Might have more to come, these are early lock ins.
Tbay 1st 5 innings + 119 x 1 unit
Tough to gauge if this one is going up or not. I would guess the line could get better for me as the yankee supporters love to back their team but Kazmir has pitched the big bats in the line up rough. Arod 1-14, Jeter 2-17, Damon 3-15, Giambi 2-8. Abreu and Posada have faired the best vs him but have one homerun between the 2 of them in 18 combined at bats. Kazmirs history shows him to be tougher at home than on the road. He's just flat out nasty on lefties and dominated the righties in the line up. Don't trust his pen so taking the 5 inning play. Wang on the bump for the yanks, fresh off an injury lay off. Tampa doesn't have a lot of success vs Wang either but he doesn't pitch as well on the road as he does at home and his history has shown him to get better as the season wears on, so after his injury break and being behind from a stamina point to the rays bats, I am expecting them to be able to get to him early. Good value here with the home dog vs a pitcher who might need some time to settle in and find his rhythm.
Dodgers - 149 to win 1 unit
Not a big fan of the giants line up at the best of times but I don't find this to be a favorable match up at all. Morris gets the start for the giants, he has a lifetime era of 5.4 going into this one vs the dodgers. His history has shown him to be a much better home pitcher, but he finds himself in a road start here. At dodger stadium he holds a lifetime era of 6. The hottest dodger bats, Kent, Gonzalez, Garciapara, Martin, Pierre have all had success hitting him. Lowe is on the mound for the dodgers. He's been hit or miss this year on the road but has proven to be a very good home pitcher over the years. He has a lifetime 3.57 era vs the giants. He has managed to keep Bonds at bay so far. Other members of the line up have hit him but the team as a whole has had very little success getting runs in on him. Dodgers also backed by a solid pen whereas the giants pen is a little unreliable.
Rox + 186 x 1 unit
I like the value here. I know the mets line up is tough but this isn't Pedro or Glavine in their primes up for the mets it's freakin el duque. The lefties in the rox line up love facing him as they've hit him hard and well. Unfortunately there is only a couple lefties in the line up. Hernandez is usually nails vs right handed bats but the rox feature a couple really solid right handed bats who have seen him enough times to know what he's got by now. Cooks not the greatest pitcher but he has pitched much better than his numbers would indicate. Not many of the mets better bats have seen him much which should help him, at least early on and give him the chance to get into the game. Alou would be the main bat that has experience vs him and he's hit him well. I figure the odds are the mets are more likely to win this game than the rox but in a game where I have the mets at around -170ish, I had to jump on this price.
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