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I am looking at games for tonight and have found a couple of games I like.
First thought
STL/Philly
I immediately like STL as I am not very impressed with Hamels work as a whole and do like Wainwright's approach, especially at such a reasonable price. The absurd amount of line movement (IMO) and ST Louis's struggles against LHP's this season is enough to keep me away. It's a long season.
Cubs/Pirates over 8 2 Units
I like the Cubs to score atleast 5 runs with the wind blowing out and a mediocre RHP they have hit well in the past against on the hill. I don't know that Pittsburgh scores a bunch although I do think Dempster has a rough start coming soon. But based on the line movement I think Pittsburgh hangs close and it a 6-4 type of game one way or the other.
Cincy -135 2 Units
Maine has a terrible history against the Reds and their lineup is built to take him deep a couple of times. The flyball pitcher plays much better against a slap hitting team in Citi Field than against a HR hitting team in Great American. I like Bruce, Votto and Phillips to get atleast 2 HR's between themselves. Plus Arroyo owns the Mets hitters.
Anaheim +170 2 Units
This isn't nearly the pitching mismatch as it looks on paper. Lester has pitched better against two of the worst offenses vs LHP in baseball while Santana has been consistent against significantly better offenses (particularly against RHP) so far this season. I'll take the Angels in a bounceback game (I never expect much from Joe Saunders) against a team that is getting by on reputation. Fortunately I think last night allowed from some value over the next week to 10 days while the Red Sox get beat up on when they step in competition. They don't get to play the Orioles for a while now.
I'll be taking a look at the later games later.
First thought
STL/Philly
I immediately like STL as I am not very impressed with Hamels work as a whole and do like Wainwright's approach, especially at such a reasonable price. The absurd amount of line movement (IMO) and ST Louis's struggles against LHP's this season is enough to keep me away. It's a long season.
Cubs/Pirates over 8 2 Units
I like the Cubs to score atleast 5 runs with the wind blowing out and a mediocre RHP they have hit well in the past against on the hill. I don't know that Pittsburgh scores a bunch although I do think Dempster has a rough start coming soon. But based on the line movement I think Pittsburgh hangs close and it a 6-4 type of game one way or the other.
Cincy -135 2 Units
Maine has a terrible history against the Reds and their lineup is built to take him deep a couple of times. The flyball pitcher plays much better against a slap hitting team in Citi Field than against a HR hitting team in Great American. I like Bruce, Votto and Phillips to get atleast 2 HR's between themselves. Plus Arroyo owns the Mets hitters.
Anaheim +170 2 Units
This isn't nearly the pitching mismatch as it looks on paper. Lester has pitched better against two of the worst offenses vs LHP in baseball while Santana has been consistent against significantly better offenses (particularly against RHP) so far this season. I'll take the Angels in a bounceback game (I never expect much from Joe Saunders) against a team that is getting by on reputation. Fortunately I think last night allowed from some value over the next week to 10 days while the Red Sox get beat up on when they step in competition. They don't get to play the Orioles for a while now.
I'll be taking a look at the later games later.
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