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Not the best day on totals again for me after I had almost crawled back to .500 I lose two of them by a run. A couple that I have so far.
Atlanta -160 2 units
Kendrick is an average to below average starting pitcher who the Braves have had success against. He hasn't been effective or gotten deep into games yet this season. I also think with Rollins out of the lineup and Ibanez not hitting that they lineups are fairly comparable, if not a slight advantage to Atlanta. Plus we have Hanson going for Atlanta, who has been pretty sharp so far with really only cutting down on his walks to improve on. Atlanta also has the deeper bullpen (and likely less need for it in this matchup). Hanson has subpar numbers against Philly but those two starts were both affected by rain delays.
Florida -105 3 Units
You have Volstad (who has good stuff) going against a lineup that just isn't hitting and can't hit RH's. On the other side you have Myers against a much better Florida lineup. Myers has not been a pitcher than can be very effective for consecutive games and that is what would need to occur for Houston to get the W. Pretty much the entire Florida lineup has had success against Myers and is very familiar with his repertoire. Volstad on the other hand will bring a style that is very similar to Ryan Dempster who shut down the Astros offense the other day.
Texas +130 3 Units
Fading the Boston offense and their pitcher in this one. Hopefully after tonight Boston can put together a nice little winning stretch against Texas, Baltimore, Toronto and Baltimore. If they can win some games there will again be nice value for their homestand at the beginning of may against LA, NY and Toronto. I see them falling apart in May as they have the tough homestand to start and then 11 of 13 on the road with trips to Detroit, NY, Tampa and Philly surrounding two home games with Minnesota. If they don't get some W's against Baltimore and Texas they could be 15 games out of the wild card on Memorial Day.
Tampa/Chi Sox Under 8 -125 2 Units
Two better pitchers than yesterday, a better pitcher's park, and two lineups that are worse vs lefties. I'll bite again.
I may add a late play in the AL or two.
Atlanta -160 2 units
Kendrick is an average to below average starting pitcher who the Braves have had success against. He hasn't been effective or gotten deep into games yet this season. I also think with Rollins out of the lineup and Ibanez not hitting that they lineups are fairly comparable, if not a slight advantage to Atlanta. Plus we have Hanson going for Atlanta, who has been pretty sharp so far with really only cutting down on his walks to improve on. Atlanta also has the deeper bullpen (and likely less need for it in this matchup). Hanson has subpar numbers against Philly but those two starts were both affected by rain delays.
Florida -105 3 Units
You have Volstad (who has good stuff) going against a lineup that just isn't hitting and can't hit RH's. On the other side you have Myers against a much better Florida lineup. Myers has not been a pitcher than can be very effective for consecutive games and that is what would need to occur for Houston to get the W. Pretty much the entire Florida lineup has had success against Myers and is very familiar with his repertoire. Volstad on the other hand will bring a style that is very similar to Ryan Dempster who shut down the Astros offense the other day.
Texas +130 3 Units
Fading the Boston offense and their pitcher in this one. Hopefully after tonight Boston can put together a nice little winning stretch against Texas, Baltimore, Toronto and Baltimore. If they can win some games there will again be nice value for their homestand at the beginning of may against LA, NY and Toronto. I see them falling apart in May as they have the tough homestand to start and then 11 of 13 on the road with trips to Detroit, NY, Tampa and Philly surrounding two home games with Minnesota. If they don't get some W's against Baltimore and Texas they could be 15 games out of the wild card on Memorial Day.
Tampa/Chi Sox Under 8 -125 2 Units
Two better pitchers than yesterday, a better pitcher's park, and two lineups that are worse vs lefties. I'll bite again.
I may add a late play in the AL or two.
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