***Udoggie's MLB Plays***

[Underdog88]

Thanks Q & akatdrake! 4-4 +1.6 units, 1st5 do well but lost on totals and chalky parlay. Carmona is likely going to get 1st5 looks all season from me, 1 hit allowed but unfortunately it was a big one...

[Underdog88]

MLB 6-7 -1.2 units


1st5 innings leans

Billingsley-.5-105

Hanson-.5-140

Matusz+.5+105/ +155

Slowley+105

Floyd-.5+100

Niese-.5+125/ -120


May just say F it and play them all.. could make a case for M's as well

[Underdog88]

also forgot Bannister as a Willis fade. he should be catching upwards of +155 on the bump imo...

[Underdog88]

Cards hit Arroyo well, he is much less effective in day starts, and I don't trust Penny. Looks to me like a good spot to play another 1st5 over....

[Underdog88]

Texas line looks stupid high, but don't really know much about Romero. Def wouldn't play Rangers in any form though...

[Underdog88]

Cards/Reds o4.5 1st5-120

3 units


Billingsley-165
Hanson-190

1 to win 1.5 units



Billingsley-.5-110

1 unit



Even with the weak Dodgers lineup I'm backing Billingsley.

[Underdog88]

all plays above are 1st5

[Underdog88]

So much for the 1st5 over, they aren't even gonna put one run up :laughing:


1st5 Plays

Bannister-115

Romero+140

Fister+140

Floyd-.5+100

2 units each

[Underdog88]

Way off base with Reds game. Bannister comes through, Romero pushes. gonna roll the dice with another total.....


Phillies/National o10.5-120

3 units


Lean on the Phillies to win, but IMO the line is high for Kendrick. I think it's likely that both teams score 4+, so over it is.

[Underdog88]

Slowley 1st5+115

Niese 1st5-115

Cubs/Braves o8-105

2 units each


Matusz 1st5+145

1.5 units

[Underdog88]

ugh

MLB 10-14 -7.4 units



1st5 Plays


Hudson-125

Porcello-.5-115

Liriano-105

Lohse-115

De La Rosa-.5-130

2 units each

[akatdrake]

Ugh is right. Good luck today! :thumbs:

[Underdog88]

Thanks akat! For as many times as 1st5 has saved me, last night full game would have been 4-1. O's Thursday would have been a winner too for game. Problem is it's tough to differentiate between which play is the best option. I will say that when playing KC, 1st5 is the way to go. I just hate those blown saves, but I'll still take the 3-2 day.



MLB 13-16 -5.6 units


I have way too many plays i like, trying to get it down. Leans are


Twins-
Nationals+ (and over)
Cardinals+
Padres+
Cubs+
Phillies-
BlowJays+
Indians/Tigers over

Haren 1st5 (chalky as hell)
Joe Johnson 1st5
RedSox/Royals 1st5 under. Again KC pen issues make a full game under so scary, but I see a 4-3 type game.



Plays that everyone loves

Yankees with CC- scary considering what happened his last outing. Does he correct it on the road and shut down the Rays?

Z- dogged is an automatic play for most. Another fat bastard that got rocked last time out, but the Reds are not the most patient hitters.

[COACH DITKA]

GL this year on the bases UDoggie!
A stat I find interesting for my Cubbies is when Hill starts behind the plate, they are something like 62-37 (or whatever comes out to a .622 winning % that I just read in the paper and can't even remember anymore :bang:). 2 losses w/pot boy to open the year (though 'pen issues cost them the 2nd game in ATL) and what shoulda been 2 wins w/Hill (if not for 'pen issues again). A game like Thursday where they were +175 or so (I think) should be an auto play if Hill starts IMO (helps that Wells is underrated).
On a side note, I read that going into yesterday's game, the White Sox and Cubs were 1st and 2nd in quality starts over the last 8 or 10 years or however long w/611 and 606 respectively.

[Underdog88]

Thanks Coach! Interesting indeed....



Indians/Tigers o9.5-105

Baker 1st5-140

Nationals 1st to 3 runs-109

Zambrano-115

3 units