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Daddy's MLB Monday (4.2)
Nice first full day of baseball. Breathe IT IN!
PICK OF THE MORNING:
BLUE JAYS 1st 5 Innings (-120) = *2.4 Units
- Fade the good spring training team idea. Worked last night for the Mets over the Cards. Bonderman's daytime/home numbers are nothing special, and look horrible next to Halladay's daytime/away numbers. Halladay will win 2 out of 3 in April, and on the road, and on opening day. I like those odds. Halladay has an 82-34 record since 2002. Jays were 23-9 in his 32 starts last seasons. Toronto saw Bonderman twice last year, while Detroit hasn't seen Halladay since 2004 (when they rocked him on opening day... I expect it to be still in his mind). Detroit was impressive early last year, but I felt like that was their year (shut down my A's 4 games to none in ALCS), might be a little slower start for them this year. And, holy ****, Toronto has a team that might be able to compete in the AL East this year! Like the first 5 innings with Detroit's dominant bullpen. You bet your sweet ass Zumaya is getting some action 1st night, especially if Toronto gets the lead. Definite value with Halladay in this one. Pitching opening day is nothing new to Roy. 2 solid wins the past two years. If he doesn't have the win locked up by the end 5th inning, well then I'm an idiot for thinking Detroit only has a chance in this one because of their sweet pen at home.
Also: *1.1 Units on Toronto Game ML (-110)
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Laying off the Washington/Florida game, Patterson is still too unpredictable for me right now. He passed out shagging balls like a week ago. Willis solid in April however, (9-1) last 3 seasons. Leaning towards the Nats thou.
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Not going to touch Tampa Bay/New York Yankees game either. Something fishy about Pavano making his comeback on opening day and getting -160+. I mean I know it's Tampa Bay, but Kazmir's numbers up in NY aren't bad. Lean towards the D-Rays with the value.
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BRAVES (-105) = *1.575 Units
- Like a consistent Smoltzy here, and what I feel is a more productive lineup w/ the Braves. Solid on the road last year, and I feel Philly will have a rough first day against a wise Atlanta pitching staff.
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-I will post the 2 O Clock games tomorrow morning, and the afternoon/evening ones around Noon PST. BOLT!
-DD :beerbang:
PICK OF THE MORNING:
BLUE JAYS 1st 5 Innings (-120) = *2.4 Units
- Fade the good spring training team idea. Worked last night for the Mets over the Cards. Bonderman's daytime/home numbers are nothing special, and look horrible next to Halladay's daytime/away numbers. Halladay will win 2 out of 3 in April, and on the road, and on opening day. I like those odds. Halladay has an 82-34 record since 2002. Jays were 23-9 in his 32 starts last seasons. Toronto saw Bonderman twice last year, while Detroit hasn't seen Halladay since 2004 (when they rocked him on opening day... I expect it to be still in his mind). Detroit was impressive early last year, but I felt like that was their year (shut down my A's 4 games to none in ALCS), might be a little slower start for them this year. And, holy ****, Toronto has a team that might be able to compete in the AL East this year! Like the first 5 innings with Detroit's dominant bullpen. You bet your sweet ass Zumaya is getting some action 1st night, especially if Toronto gets the lead. Definite value with Halladay in this one. Pitching opening day is nothing new to Roy. 2 solid wins the past two years. If he doesn't have the win locked up by the end 5th inning, well then I'm an idiot for thinking Detroit only has a chance in this one because of their sweet pen at home.
Also: *1.1 Units on Toronto Game ML (-110)
--
Laying off the Washington/Florida game, Patterson is still too unpredictable for me right now. He passed out shagging balls like a week ago. Willis solid in April however, (9-1) last 3 seasons. Leaning towards the Nats thou.
--
Not going to touch Tampa Bay/New York Yankees game either. Something fishy about Pavano making his comeback on opening day and getting -160+. I mean I know it's Tampa Bay, but Kazmir's numbers up in NY aren't bad. Lean towards the D-Rays with the value.
--
BRAVES (-105) = *1.575 Units
- Like a consistent Smoltzy here, and what I feel is a more productive lineup w/ the Braves. Solid on the road last year, and I feel Philly will have a rough first day against a wise Atlanta pitching staff.
--
-I will post the 2 O Clock games tomorrow morning, and the afternoon/evening ones around Noon PST. BOLT!
-DD :beerbang:
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