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Since I now have over 3 months worth of data, I broaden my range of plays and the amounts wagered. My bet on the Marlins made this very clear to me, that it is definitely time to institute the BIG PLAY. I do believe in flat betting, but as the year winds down and I become more selective, there are games that stick out to me far more than others. These are games where I will wager 150% of my normal wager. So currently that would be $540. I also start stabbing at prop bets, usually making 1 a day betting a buck each.
I have been god awful picking road dogs these days, so I'm not laying a full bet on another single one until I turn that around. So if I'm right on these two then I'll get a bigger payout for half the risk. New Boy Bay in LF with a new park and a new big wall to handle. Duke said he felt fine after his last start against the Rangers, he said he just got beat by one of the best lineups in the league. I'm taking his word seeing as Texas made him work in the first matchup, I should have seen that one coming. Tonight though, he breezed through this Boston lineup only tossing a 1 hitter. Frank is back and could take a knuckler over the monster pretty easily. Miner has been very serviceable for the Tigers, i just have to pray that this isn't blown by the pen. Scares me a bit that the Rays are 14-1 in that packed dome of theirs, but Tigers have the lineup to make this a game. Dog days of August are here, let's hope they start off big.
AUGUST 1st
ATHLETICS & TIGERS - 2 TEAM PARLAY (+500)
*RISKING $180 TO WIN $900
PROP DE JOUR - METS/ASTROS - RUN SCORED IN 1st INN. = YES (-125)
*RISKING $125 TO WIN $100
Backe = 20 total runs in 1st inning in 22 starts. In 10 games he has given up at least 1 run in 1st inning. OPS in 1st inning = .999. Average OPS of 1st 5 Mets hitters = .819.
Martinez = 11 total runs in 1st inning in 9 starts. In 5 games he has given up at least 1 run in 1st inning. OPS in 1st inning = 1.030. Average OPS of 1st 5 Astros hitters = .836.
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August ML = (0-0) +$0
August RL = (0-0) +$0
August O/U = (0-0) +$0
August Team O/U = (0-0) +$0
August H+R+E = (0-0) +$0
August Parlays = (0-0) +$0
BIG BETS = (0-0) +$0
PROP DE JOUR = (0-0) +$0
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Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,535
1% Bet Amount = $360
Bet Change @ $39,900 / $33,300
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I have been god awful picking road dogs these days, so I'm not laying a full bet on another single one until I turn that around. So if I'm right on these two then I'll get a bigger payout for half the risk. New Boy Bay in LF with a new park and a new big wall to handle. Duke said he felt fine after his last start against the Rangers, he said he just got beat by one of the best lineups in the league. I'm taking his word seeing as Texas made him work in the first matchup, I should have seen that one coming. Tonight though, he breezed through this Boston lineup only tossing a 1 hitter. Frank is back and could take a knuckler over the monster pretty easily. Miner has been very serviceable for the Tigers, i just have to pray that this isn't blown by the pen. Scares me a bit that the Rays are 14-1 in that packed dome of theirs, but Tigers have the lineup to make this a game. Dog days of August are here, let's hope they start off big.
AUGUST 1st
ATHLETICS & TIGERS - 2 TEAM PARLAY (+500)
*RISKING $180 TO WIN $900
PROP DE JOUR - METS/ASTROS - RUN SCORED IN 1st INN. = YES (-125)
*RISKING $125 TO WIN $100
Backe = 20 total runs in 1st inning in 22 starts. In 10 games he has given up at least 1 run in 1st inning. OPS in 1st inning = .999. Average OPS of 1st 5 Mets hitters = .819.
Martinez = 11 total runs in 1st inning in 9 starts. In 5 games he has given up at least 1 run in 1st inning. OPS in 1st inning = 1.030. Average OPS of 1st 5 Astros hitters = .836.
--
August ML = (0-0) +$0
August RL = (0-0) +$0
August O/U = (0-0) +$0
August Team O/U = (0-0) +$0
August H+R+E = (0-0) +$0
August Parlays = (0-0) +$0
BIG BETS = (0-0) +$0
PROP DE JOUR = (0-0) +$0
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,535
1% Bet Amount = $360
Bet Change @ $39,900 / $33,300
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