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The A's haven't been swept at home all year long, I'd be amazed if the Royals are able to get it done today even though the A's have lost ten of its last twelve games and the Royals have won their last four road games. I'd be even more surprised if this games stays under the total. Bannister is one more bad outing away from being demoted I'd think. The Royals are 2-6 in Bannisters last 8 road starts & 2-8 in Bannisters last 10 starts as an underdog. I like the Royals pen, but they've got a 6.62 ERA over the last 10 games, and they aren't getting any better during the day or on the road as they are in the bottom 4 in ERA for the AL in both those categories. Soria has pitched 3 days in a row, but I won't make the mistake of thinking that he's unavailable. However, he has yet to toss 4 days in a row all year, so fatigue could be an issue under the sun if he were to come in. It's not joke that the A's have little offense today, but to think Bannister and the Royals could shut down even a AAA team right now is highly doubtful.
Gallagher has been very good since moving to the AL as he has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start. Something he did in 6 out of his 10 NL starts. Something has got to give, and with the Royals swinging well and in the position to sweep they should be ready to move runners and score runs. They are averaging over 4½ runs against LHP overall, on the road, and in the last 10 days. Big Ed is behind the plate and he has been an Under umpire this year with the O/U at 7-14, but historically he's been very even keel; he went 17-15-1 last year. His stats don't show much reason for the low 7½ run average in games he calls, and I expect this to be one that gets him closer to the mean. Seeing as both these teams are in the bottom half of the AL this month in ERA, this number is just too low for me to pass. It opened at 8½ and has now become available at 7½ in some books, some big public movement for a weekday game, but I'm not going to let line movement keep me off what I feel is a solid total play. Now back to work... Good Luck to those on the Orioles at +270!
JULY 30th
ROYALS/ATHLETICS - OVER 7½ (-115)
*RISKING $415 TO WIN $360
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July ML = (17-21) -$495
July RL = (1-1) +$0
July O/U = (3-3) -$120
July Team O/U = (0-1) -$430
July H+R+E = (4-2) +$555
July Parlays = (3-8) -$430
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Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,050
1% Bet Amount = $360
Bet Change @ $39,900 / $33,300
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Gallagher has been very good since moving to the AL as he has yet to allow more than 2 earned runs in a start. Something he did in 6 out of his 10 NL starts. Something has got to give, and with the Royals swinging well and in the position to sweep they should be ready to move runners and score runs. They are averaging over 4½ runs against LHP overall, on the road, and in the last 10 days. Big Ed is behind the plate and he has been an Under umpire this year with the O/U at 7-14, but historically he's been very even keel; he went 17-15-1 last year. His stats don't show much reason for the low 7½ run average in games he calls, and I expect this to be one that gets him closer to the mean. Seeing as both these teams are in the bottom half of the AL this month in ERA, this number is just too low for me to pass. It opened at 8½ and has now become available at 7½ in some books, some big public movement for a weekday game, but I'm not going to let line movement keep me off what I feel is a solid total play. Now back to work... Good Luck to those on the Orioles at +270!
JULY 30th
ROYALS/ATHLETICS - OVER 7½ (-115)
*RISKING $415 TO WIN $360
--
July ML = (17-21) -$495
July RL = (1-1) +$0
July O/U = (3-3) -$120
July Team O/U = (0-1) -$430
July H+R+E = (4-2) +$555
July Parlays = (3-8) -$430
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,050
1% Bet Amount = $360
Bet Change @ $39,900 / $33,300
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