After a day off, I'm out of the box with one play tonight. First off it is ridiculous that these two starters are 2-20 on the O/U combined this year. Even if they are pitching well, these are two very powerful offenses that could cover the number themselves on any given night. Tonight I like there to be 20+ hits as it is a warm Atlanta night in a park that both teams are familiar with. Braves have had good success against Eaton, Campillo even got a hit of him when these two faced off. Speaking of, Campillo started off hot, only giving up 1 ER on 9 hits in his first 15 innings. Since he's given up 15 ER on 32 hits in his last 30 innings pitched. This guy isn't a diamond in the rough. He's a Mexican league pitcher. By no means the most talented market. These two teams are 2-5 on the O/U so far this year, but yet the lines are always 9-10 and that's because the offense can come out any night. I think tonight is one of those nights as Escobar and Jones are in the lineup. Texiera is heating up, and Blanco has been an excellent leadoff man with that speed. Phillies have a solid healthy lineup 1-8, and I like Coste in there tonight. All adds up to a play for me, but I'm not biting on the run hook the books are putting on this game. I'm taking my chances with the hook on the H+R+E instead. Back with at least one more tonight most likely. Good Luck.
JULY 2nd
PHILLIES/BRAVES - H+R+E OVER 28½ (-120)
*RISKING $395 TO WIN $330
--
July ML = (0-0) +$0
July RL = (0-0) +$0
July O/U = (0-0) +$0
July H+R+E = (0-0) +$0
July Parlays = (0-0) +$0
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,970
1% Bet Amount = $330
Bet Change @ $36,300 / $29,700
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JULY 2nd
PHILLIES/BRAVES - H+R+E OVER 28½ (-120)
*RISKING $395 TO WIN $330
--
July ML = (0-0) +$0
July RL = (0-0) +$0
July O/U = (0-0) +$0
July H+R+E = (0-0) +$0
July Parlays = (0-0) +$0
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $34,970
1% Bet Amount = $330
Bet Change @ $36,300 / $29,700
--
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