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First day of Interleague play, I thought I would be more inclined to take it easy and watch the games, but there's a couple that I don't think I can lay off.
I think the Blue Jays are actually being helped by the transition to an NL park. No DH allows Stairs to just step in at OF and replace Wells. Rolen is returning to his original home, and Moyer is on the mound. Lets not forget his last meeting with the Jays in Philly last May 19th where he went 3 1/3 IP, and gave up 8 hits and 7 ER. Lefties Lyle Overbay, 5-for-10 with a homer against Moyer, and Matt Stairs, 10-for-32 with two doubles and two homers lifetime are both in the lineup today and could do some damage. He's also given up 24 hits and 5 HRs in his last 3 starts (16 1/3 IP). Seems Moyer is starting to fade with his finesse pitching. Purcey was a wreck his debut, but he's back again to make another spot start. Why? Because he's been very effective in AAA. So far this year he's pitched 44 2/3 innings, given up 29 hits (.186 opp BA) only walked 16 with 52 Ks. If he can gain some control after having debut jitters, he could be very effective and put up a QS.
The A's continue to be the highest scoring offense in the AL with RISP, and Jair Jurrjens is off 3 days rest for the first time in his career could experience some control problems as the A's are a team that makes you throw strikes. Combined these two pitchers are 1-14-1 with Overs so far this year. Eveland got close to his first Over last time, but pushed with 10 runs. The A's having the lowest ERA is having a big effect on this game, along with the Braves hit or miss offense. There's no Smoltz in the bullpen yet, so that eases my worries a little bit that this could be a grind when it comes to the pens. I still think each starter could be good for 3-4 themselves, and the pens for 1-2 as well. Also getting a number under 9 is key. I maybe a sucker here, but something has got to give, and with two young pitchers, my money is on them to loosen up. Good Luck.
MAY 16th
TORONTO BLUE JAYS +120
*RISKING $300 TO WIN $360
ATHLETICS/BRAVES - OVER 8 (-115)
*RISKING $345 TO WIN $300
--
May ML = (12-11) +$330
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (2-1) +$300
May H+R+E = (2-0) +$600
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $32,595
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
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I think the Blue Jays are actually being helped by the transition to an NL park. No DH allows Stairs to just step in at OF and replace Wells. Rolen is returning to his original home, and Moyer is on the mound. Lets not forget his last meeting with the Jays in Philly last May 19th where he went 3 1/3 IP, and gave up 8 hits and 7 ER. Lefties Lyle Overbay, 5-for-10 with a homer against Moyer, and Matt Stairs, 10-for-32 with two doubles and two homers lifetime are both in the lineup today and could do some damage. He's also given up 24 hits and 5 HRs in his last 3 starts (16 1/3 IP). Seems Moyer is starting to fade with his finesse pitching. Purcey was a wreck his debut, but he's back again to make another spot start. Why? Because he's been very effective in AAA. So far this year he's pitched 44 2/3 innings, given up 29 hits (.186 opp BA) only walked 16 with 52 Ks. If he can gain some control after having debut jitters, he could be very effective and put up a QS.
The A's continue to be the highest scoring offense in the AL with RISP, and Jair Jurrjens is off 3 days rest for the first time in his career could experience some control problems as the A's are a team that makes you throw strikes. Combined these two pitchers are 1-14-1 with Overs so far this year. Eveland got close to his first Over last time, but pushed with 10 runs. The A's having the lowest ERA is having a big effect on this game, along with the Braves hit or miss offense. There's no Smoltz in the bullpen yet, so that eases my worries a little bit that this could be a grind when it comes to the pens. I still think each starter could be good for 3-4 themselves, and the pens for 1-2 as well. Also getting a number under 9 is key. I maybe a sucker here, but something has got to give, and with two young pitchers, my money is on them to loosen up. Good Luck.
MAY 16th
TORONTO BLUE JAYS +120
*RISKING $300 TO WIN $360
ATHLETICS/BRAVES - OVER 8 (-115)
*RISKING $345 TO WIN $300
--
May ML = (12-11) +$330
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (2-1) +$300
May H+R+E = (2-0) +$600
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $32,595
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
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