Tweet
Ok boys, back for Wednesday baseball. Here's what I like out of the box tonight.
Arroyo has a high 7+ ERA, but one thing I like about him is that the Ks have been there the whole year. Close to 9Ks per 9 IP. The gopher balls he was giving up have seemed to dissapate as he's getting the ball lower in the zone. He's given up 8 HRs this year in 8 starts, but 4 of them came in one game early in the year against Philly. The Marlins on the other hand are flying high with that offense... but looking at that lineup, for some reason doesn't scare me. One reason I think is the Marlins are playing way over their head. They own the lowest payroll in MLB but yet are sitting atop the NL East. Now, I'm not one to say they can't win... but C. Ross at leadoff and J. Cantu in the 4 hole seems weak. Amazingly I like Patterson and Phillips better.
The tide is clearly changing for the Fins, who have lost two after winning 7 in a row (the last 4 as an underdog). The books have had to lower the price today. I like the fact that the Marlins are 0-4 after losing the first two games of a series in their last 4 attempts. Also, the Fish have lost their last 6 games at the GAB. Nolasco is a flyball pitcher who lacks consistency and is coming off a QS. Arroyo has won all three of his starts with Vanover behind the plate, so he knows what to expect. Reds are 1-4 in Arroyos last 5 home starts... but are 5-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts as a home favorite. You see where I'm going with this one. A little chalky for my tastes, but I think it's worth it tonight. Good Luck. :thumbs:
MAY 14th
CINCINNATI REDS -130
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
May ML = (11-11) +$30
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (1-1) +$0
May H+R+E = (1-0) +$300
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $31,695
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
Arroyo has a high 7+ ERA, but one thing I like about him is that the Ks have been there the whole year. Close to 9Ks per 9 IP. The gopher balls he was giving up have seemed to dissapate as he's getting the ball lower in the zone. He's given up 8 HRs this year in 8 starts, but 4 of them came in one game early in the year against Philly. The Marlins on the other hand are flying high with that offense... but looking at that lineup, for some reason doesn't scare me. One reason I think is the Marlins are playing way over their head. They own the lowest payroll in MLB but yet are sitting atop the NL East. Now, I'm not one to say they can't win... but C. Ross at leadoff and J. Cantu in the 4 hole seems weak. Amazingly I like Patterson and Phillips better.
The tide is clearly changing for the Fins, who have lost two after winning 7 in a row (the last 4 as an underdog). The books have had to lower the price today. I like the fact that the Marlins are 0-4 after losing the first two games of a series in their last 4 attempts. Also, the Fish have lost their last 6 games at the GAB. Nolasco is a flyball pitcher who lacks consistency and is coming off a QS. Arroyo has won all three of his starts with Vanover behind the plate, so he knows what to expect. Reds are 1-4 in Arroyos last 5 home starts... but are 5-1 in Arroyos last 6 starts as a home favorite. You see where I'm going with this one. A little chalky for my tastes, but I think it's worth it tonight. Good Luck. :thumbs:
MAY 14th
CINCINNATI REDS -130
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
May ML = (11-11) +$30
May RL = (0-1) -$345
May O/U = (1-1) +$0
May H+R+E = (1-0) +$300
May Parlays = (1-2) -$135
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $31,695
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
Comment