Tweet
Well I said I wanted to look at some dogs, and I am, later on. The Cubbies were the only one I that jumped at me this morning. Lilly has been struggling with what has been called a "mysterious" drop in his velocity. However, he was darn good in day games at Wrigley last year, and did fare better in his lone home start so far this year. He could very well click into a routine this afternoon. He's said he's not worried, and knows he can still win games with what he's got right now. With his career numbers, I'm taking his word. If there's one game he could try and piece a quality start together, it's today against the Reds who he did well against last year holding them to a .168 average in 27 innings. Big parts of Cincy's offense are lefties (Patterson(leadoff), Griffey(3 hole), and Dunn(cleanup/5 hole). Phillips splitting up Griffey and Dunn, either way he's 0 for 13 against Lilly in his career. Griffey hit .236 against LHP last year, Dunn hit .239. Lilly is a fly ball pitcher, but I've heard the wind should be light today, and Volquez isn't a sinking pitcher either.
There's no doubt Edison Volquez is a fresh new arm for that Reds rotation, but despite being a top prospect in Texas, he never really bloomed at the major league level. His Ks seem to be hit or miss, so I'm taking a gamble today that his tranfer to the NL isn't as easy as he might think it is. Cubs are swinging hot bats right now up and down the lineup and the Reds have lost 5 striaght. I'd take DeRosa over Soriano right now, so no loss there in my book. It seems like it could be very tough for the Reds to break that streak on the road against Ted Lilly when they had the most losses against LHP (36) in 2007. Reds pen has been getting hit a lot these past few games and is a big reason for this losing streak. They were taxed again last night with Fogg's early departure, so I'm not sure they got much left in the tank. Marmol was lights out in the series opener and I hope see another 2 innings from him tonight. I know this is a very risky play on Lilly v. Volques, as either could be hit or miss today I think, but I feel better knowing I've got the hotter hitting team at home. I hate to ruin Bakers return to Wrigley, but business is business and the Cubs know that.
APRIL 17th
CHICAGO CUBS -130
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,595
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (13-11) +$180
April RL Record (1-1) +$60
April O/U Record (1-3) -$645
--
There's no doubt Edison Volquez is a fresh new arm for that Reds rotation, but despite being a top prospect in Texas, he never really bloomed at the major league level. His Ks seem to be hit or miss, so I'm taking a gamble today that his tranfer to the NL isn't as easy as he might think it is. Cubs are swinging hot bats right now up and down the lineup and the Reds have lost 5 striaght. I'd take DeRosa over Soriano right now, so no loss there in my book. It seems like it could be very tough for the Reds to break that streak on the road against Ted Lilly when they had the most losses against LHP (36) in 2007. Reds pen has been getting hit a lot these past few games and is a big reason for this losing streak. They were taxed again last night with Fogg's early departure, so I'm not sure they got much left in the tank. Marmol was lights out in the series opener and I hope see another 2 innings from him tonight. I know this is a very risky play on Lilly v. Volques, as either could be hit or miss today I think, but I feel better knowing I've got the hotter hitting team at home. I hate to ruin Bakers return to Wrigley, but business is business and the Cubs know that.
APRIL 17th
CHICAGO CUBS -130
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,595
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (13-11) +$180
April RL Record (1-1) +$60
April O/U Record (1-3) -$645
--
Comment