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ytd 38-47 (-18.10 units)
Phillies -125
Cubs have been well known to suck vs LHP. After roughing up Gorzelanny in Pittsburgh (who had no control in that game and was walking or falling behind hitter after hitter), that form seems to be holding true again this year, as lefties Zack Duke and Cole Hamels have combined to throw 14 innings of 1 run ball against them.
Phils may be heating up a bit, and I'm gonna back the crafty lefty Moyer at this relatively low price, which IMO is only this low because #1 the Flubs always draw bad lines, and #2 the Flubs are looking to avoid a sweep and that always brings action on a team, for some reason.
Tampon Bay -130
The Rays beat up on Burres last year, and IMO the O's aren't as good as their hot start would indicate, although I don't think they're as poor as everyone thought they'd be either. In any case, Niemann is supposed to be tough, and has the advantage of being relatively unknown to most major leaguers. From what I see, Tampon Bay is favored at -130 for good reason, despite the fact that most teams (other than the Yankees) are either dogs or much closer to a pick when calling up a guy making his first start.
Houston -140
Doesn't seem like the spot to buck the Wandy is $$ at home trend with Badenhop going for Florida.
Seattle -130
Angels are in disarray, especially their awful league worst bullpen. Seattle is historically a strong home team, and after a rough start on the road, they seem to be holding true to that form again early on. Raul Ibanez is on fire as well.
2 units each
Probably gonna add Washington and Pittsburgh, as I think I can get a favorable dog line on both of them.
Phillies -125
Cubs have been well known to suck vs LHP. After roughing up Gorzelanny in Pittsburgh (who had no control in that game and was walking or falling behind hitter after hitter), that form seems to be holding true again this year, as lefties Zack Duke and Cole Hamels have combined to throw 14 innings of 1 run ball against them.
Phils may be heating up a bit, and I'm gonna back the crafty lefty Moyer at this relatively low price, which IMO is only this low because #1 the Flubs always draw bad lines, and #2 the Flubs are looking to avoid a sweep and that always brings action on a team, for some reason.
Tampon Bay -130
The Rays beat up on Burres last year, and IMO the O's aren't as good as their hot start would indicate, although I don't think they're as poor as everyone thought they'd be either. In any case, Niemann is supposed to be tough, and has the advantage of being relatively unknown to most major leaguers. From what I see, Tampon Bay is favored at -130 for good reason, despite the fact that most teams (other than the Yankees) are either dogs or much closer to a pick when calling up a guy making his first start.
Houston -140
Doesn't seem like the spot to buck the Wandy is $$ at home trend with Badenhop going for Florida.
Seattle -130
Angels are in disarray, especially their awful league worst bullpen. Seattle is historically a strong home team, and after a rough start on the road, they seem to be holding true to that form again early on. Raul Ibanez is on fire as well.
2 units each
Probably gonna add Washington and Pittsburgh, as I think I can get a favorable dog line on both of them.
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