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Here's my card so far today. Only one play so far with action.
The Cubs are coming off a couple sqweekers against the Pirates, and the Phillies are coming home after finally losing to the Mets. Now Myers was given the opening day nod over Cole Hamels because he looked like a beast this spring. After two mediocre starts, now is a good time for him to show what he's made of. Zambrano has always struggled against lefties, but if you look at his numbers against Philly recently, they're really good. However, he did not face this team last year when they were firing on all cylinders. Charlie Manuel has stacked this lineup with four lefties right off the bat for Z. The only guy who has hit Myers hard in the past is Lee, and he can be pitched around, with Ramirez under .250 and Ward making a rare appearance still with zeros on the season behind him. I hate back this Philly pen, but first five innings doesn't do much for me here as I think both starters will make it to 6+. With that being said Z could be lights out for 5 innings and then fall apart. This line opened at Philly -115 and with all the Cubbies backers laying money they have inched the Phillies to a dog, I got to take it.
I also like the Rays today against the Birds coming over from a double dip in Texas. Rays were very convincing in their 7-0 shutout yesterday against Seattle. Shields is still a very underrated pitcher in my book, while Guthrie is the exact opposite. I'd have to take the Rays RL though, because I'm not laying -160 on them.
Pretty solid lean on the Nats tonight against Hudson as well. The run line is probably a safer bet, because I have trouble going against Hudson, he leaves on the mound every time he goes out there. Braves are also coming off three cold losses in Colorado. With a travel day yesterday due to the cancellation, the could be ready.
APRIL 11th
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +105
*RISKING $300 to win $315
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Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,685
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (9-7) +$270
April RL Record (1-1) +$60
April O/U Record (0-2) -$645
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The Cubs are coming off a couple sqweekers against the Pirates, and the Phillies are coming home after finally losing to the Mets. Now Myers was given the opening day nod over Cole Hamels because he looked like a beast this spring. After two mediocre starts, now is a good time for him to show what he's made of. Zambrano has always struggled against lefties, but if you look at his numbers against Philly recently, they're really good. However, he did not face this team last year when they were firing on all cylinders. Charlie Manuel has stacked this lineup with four lefties right off the bat for Z. The only guy who has hit Myers hard in the past is Lee, and he can be pitched around, with Ramirez under .250 and Ward making a rare appearance still with zeros on the season behind him. I hate back this Philly pen, but first five innings doesn't do much for me here as I think both starters will make it to 6+. With that being said Z could be lights out for 5 innings and then fall apart. This line opened at Philly -115 and with all the Cubbies backers laying money they have inched the Phillies to a dog, I got to take it.
I also like the Rays today against the Birds coming over from a double dip in Texas. Rays were very convincing in their 7-0 shutout yesterday against Seattle. Shields is still a very underrated pitcher in my book, while Guthrie is the exact opposite. I'd have to take the Rays RL though, because I'm not laying -160 on them.
Pretty solid lean on the Nats tonight against Hudson as well. The run line is probably a safer bet, because I have trouble going against Hudson, he leaves on the mound every time he goes out there. Braves are also coming off three cold losses in Colorado. With a travel day yesterday due to the cancellation, the could be ready.
APRIL 11th
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +105
*RISKING $300 to win $315
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,685
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (9-7) +$270
April RL Record (1-1) +$60
April O/U Record (0-2) -$645
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