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Off to a Rocky start for the month as usual, but good things are soon to come I believe. I got one early game that I'm rolling with.
The Blue are 8-3 in their last 11 attempts at stopping a 3 game sweep. Winning in this situation is something they're familiar with, and is something they did the last time these two teams met when Arizona also took the first two games at home. I know Arizona is going to have some notes on Kuroda because they were the other team in the bidding war with the Dodgers and Mariners. (They let go after the did the deal with Haren.) However, what good is winning the bidding war if you can't beat your opponents with the prize. Today seems like the best chance at doing that.
I like the Dodgers to come out strong in a day game where Arizona struggled mightily last year offensively. They were ranked 30th last year in OPS% in day games. They're currently the highest scoring team in baseball, and I think a regression towards the mean may be in store today. They've scored 31 runs at night in 4 games so far this year, compared to 19 runs in their 4 day games this year. Last year they scored 158 runs in 45 day games, averaging over 1 run less than at night. (3.51 compared to 4.74) As still the youngest team in the majors, this disparity looks to be holding true so far this year as well.
Spring training stats have been getting me in trouble so far, but Owings was all over the place in March. Kuroda was very consistent. I think Owings could easily slip here. Lyons doesn't seem too confident in the closers role, and both Slaten and Pena pitched the past two games, so they'll probably be taking a day off. Stephen Drew is also most likely going to sit for Ojeda today. He has a thigh bruise. I might have one or two more today, but I'm in need of starting a win streak, so I'd have to love the game if Dodgers win it here this afternoon.
APRIL 9th
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -110
*RISKING $330 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $28,560
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (6-6) -$405
April RL Record (0-1) -$390
April O/U Record (0-2) -$645
--
GOOD LUCK! :th:
The Blue are 8-3 in their last 11 attempts at stopping a 3 game sweep. Winning in this situation is something they're familiar with, and is something they did the last time these two teams met when Arizona also took the first two games at home. I know Arizona is going to have some notes on Kuroda because they were the other team in the bidding war with the Dodgers and Mariners. (They let go after the did the deal with Haren.) However, what good is winning the bidding war if you can't beat your opponents with the prize. Today seems like the best chance at doing that.
I like the Dodgers to come out strong in a day game where Arizona struggled mightily last year offensively. They were ranked 30th last year in OPS% in day games. They're currently the highest scoring team in baseball, and I think a regression towards the mean may be in store today. They've scored 31 runs at night in 4 games so far this year, compared to 19 runs in their 4 day games this year. Last year they scored 158 runs in 45 day games, averaging over 1 run less than at night. (3.51 compared to 4.74) As still the youngest team in the majors, this disparity looks to be holding true so far this year as well.
Spring training stats have been getting me in trouble so far, but Owings was all over the place in March. Kuroda was very consistent. I think Owings could easily slip here. Lyons doesn't seem too confident in the closers role, and both Slaten and Pena pitched the past two games, so they'll probably be taking a day off. Stephen Drew is also most likely going to sit for Ojeda today. He has a thigh bruise. I might have one or two more today, but I'm in need of starting a win streak, so I'd have to love the game if Dodgers win it here this afternoon.
APRIL 9th
LOS ANGELES DODGERS -110
*RISKING $330 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $28,560
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (6-6) -$405
April RL Record (0-1) -$390
April O/U Record (0-2) -$645
--
GOOD LUCK! :th:
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