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I'm straying away from my usual ML bets tonight to take on one total and one rare 1st 5 Innings RL. I'm going with the Over in the CIN/MIL game. These two teams didn't have one total set under 9 last year in their many meetings. I think that was for a reason. They are offensive minded teams that have never relied on their bullpen. I think the Brewers are swinging well, and neither Suppan or Cueto had good springs. Cueto may have put up 10 K's in his first outting, but that was at home against a Arizona when there was no report on him. Now the Brewers have at least one official game to look at him, and he's on the road this time as well. Easy opportunity to slip up off his stellar debut. I guess this one looks too easy, but I got the line last night at plus odds, and I will pay the price to learn a lesson in this game, because I can easily see both teams scoring 4 runs.
I'm also going against Gaudin today in his first start. Due to some injury situations with Duchsherer and Harden, they rushed Gaudin on the plane yesterday so he can pitch today. He was schedule to make another rehab assignment tomorrow, and join the team in Cleveland this weekend. He only tossed 2 innings in the spring, and has only made one official rehab start in a AAA scrimmage game that he did not do well in. I think he's going to get pummeled by this Blue Jays team who is swing good enough to sweep the Red Sox. I'm not laying big chalk for awhile, and I think it is much safer to go 1st 5 Innings in this one, because if the A's do come back, it'll probably be late when the deeper parts of the Jays pen emerge. The A's pen isn't too shabby themselves and could keep a close game. The RL for the full game is +120, but I think this bet hitting is about twice as likely, so I'm taking the Jays to have the lead after the first 5 innings with some juice. I realize this is an option that might not be offered at some books, so If you don't mind laying the -175 then feel free.
APRIL 8th
REDS/BREWERS - OVER 8½ (+105)
*RISKING $300 to win $315
TORONTO BLUE JAYS -½ [1st 5 Inn.] (-130)
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,250
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
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April ML Record (6-6) -$405
April RL Record (0-0) +$0
April O/U Record (0-1) -$345
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GOOD LUCK! :th:
I'm also going against Gaudin today in his first start. Due to some injury situations with Duchsherer and Harden, they rushed Gaudin on the plane yesterday so he can pitch today. He was schedule to make another rehab assignment tomorrow, and join the team in Cleveland this weekend. He only tossed 2 innings in the spring, and has only made one official rehab start in a AAA scrimmage game that he did not do well in. I think he's going to get pummeled by this Blue Jays team who is swing good enough to sweep the Red Sox. I'm not laying big chalk for awhile, and I think it is much safer to go 1st 5 Innings in this one, because if the A's do come back, it'll probably be late when the deeper parts of the Jays pen emerge. The A's pen isn't too shabby themselves and could keep a close game. The RL for the full game is +120, but I think this bet hitting is about twice as likely, so I'm taking the Jays to have the lead after the first 5 innings with some juice. I realize this is an option that might not be offered at some books, so If you don't mind laying the -175 then feel free.
APRIL 8th
REDS/BREWERS - OVER 8½ (+105)
*RISKING $300 to win $315
TORONTO BLUE JAYS -½ [1st 5 Inn.] (-130)
*RISKING $390 to win $300
--
Starting Bankroll = $30,000
Current Bankroll = $29,250
1% Bet Amount = $300
Bet Change @ $33,000 / $27,000
--
April ML Record (6-6) -$405
April RL Record (0-0) +$0
April O/U Record (0-1) -$345
--
GOOD LUCK! :th:
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