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Tuesday April 8, 2008
Today is a live system test... All plays are for 1 unit using overnight 5 cent lines.
I have been back testing this projection system over the last 3 seasons of MLB.
It involves a great number of plays. It is not a chase system. It uses only team's recent game data.
It's results appear impressive showing an overall 63.35% win rate
Over the last 5 days of this season, it has produced a record of 60 wins; 35 losses for a total of $3810.00
I strongly recommend that no one blindly follow me here.
Always play within your means and know exactly what you can and can't afford to lose.
901 Philadelphia Phillies J Moyer -L ML 2.40
901 Philadelphia Phillies J Moyer -L RL +1½ 1.645
904 Houston Astros S Chacon - R ML 1.943
904 Houston Astros S Chacon - R RL -1½ 2.900
906 Milwaukee Brewers J Suppan - R ML 1.990
906 Milwaukee Brewers J Suppan - R RL -1½ 3.050
908 Colorado Rockies U Jimenez - R ML 1.870
910 Arizona Diamondbacks D Davis - L ML 2.130
910 Arizona Diamondbacks D Davis - L RL +1½ 1.714
911 San Diego Padres R Wolf - L ML 1.990
911 San Diego Padres R Wolf - L RL -1½ 2.600
914 Texas Rangers J Jennings - R ML 1.725
914 Texas Rangers J Jennings - R RL -1½ 2.350
916 Boston Red Sox D Matsuzaka - R ML 1.6250
916 Boston Red Sox D Matsuzaka - R RL -1½ 2.330
918 Kansas City Royals B Bannister - R ML 2.380
918 Kansas City Royals B Bannister - R RL +1½ 1.7690
922 Tampa Bay Rays M Garza - R ML 2.090
922 Tampa Bay Rays M Garza - R RL +1½ 1.676
924 Los Angeles Angels E Santana - R ML 1.909
924 Los Angeles Angels E Santana - R RL -1½ 2.850
I may play some GT's, ALT RL's and ALT GT's later today as well, as they have been OK for me so far
*******************************************
Always risking units to win $$$ using Euro odds.
Play Results
Last Time Out ~ 7-Apr-2008 = 11-3 +$1,022.21
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L RL +1½ 1.5260 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ML 2.14 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ALT RL -1½ 2.80 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ALT GT Over 9 2.20 W
961 Atlanta Braves T Glavine - L ML 2.16 L
961 Atlanta Braves T Glavine - L ALT RL -1½ 2.60 L
962 Colorado Rockies A Cook - R ALT GT Under 9½ 2.050 W
964 Arizona Diamondbacks D Haren - R GT Under 9 2.00 W
970 New York Yankees M Mussina - R ALT RL -2½ 2.70 W
970 New York Yankees M Mussina - R ALT GT Under 9 2.20 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L RL +1½ 1.6061 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L ML 2.000 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L ALT RL -1½ 3.00 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L GT Under 8 2.000 L
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
YTD 2008 = 29-27-1 $1,094.22
ML's = 12-10 $519.90
RL's = 8-8 $249.12
GT's = 1-3-1 -$200.00
1st (5) innings = 0-2 -$200.00
ALT RL's = 3-4 $250.00
ALT GT's = 5-0 $475.20
ML Parlays = 0-0 $0.00
*************************************************
European Odds Conversion Chart
Favourites: For a person who risks a fixed amount per wager, you would read it as $ x Amount listed... Your return:
(ex. -105 = 1.9524)
$100.00 x .9524 = to win $95.24
$50.00 x .9524 = to win $47.62
$25.00 x .9524 = to win $23.81
$10.00 x .9524 = to win $9.52
Favourites: (American Odds = European Odds)
Underdogs:
For a person who risks a fixed amount per wager, you would read it as $ risked x Amount listed.
Your return: (ex. +105 = 2.05) you win back your original wager, plus the amount listed.
$100.00 x 2.05 = you win $105.00
$50.00 x 2.05 = you win $52.50
$25.00 x 2.05 = you win $26.25
$10.00 x 2.05 = you win $10.50
Today is a live system test... All plays are for 1 unit using overnight 5 cent lines.
I have been back testing this projection system over the last 3 seasons of MLB.
It involves a great number of plays. It is not a chase system. It uses only team's recent game data.
It's results appear impressive showing an overall 63.35% win rate
Over the last 5 days of this season, it has produced a record of 60 wins; 35 losses for a total of $3810.00
I strongly recommend that no one blindly follow me here.
Always play within your means and know exactly what you can and can't afford to lose.
901 Philadelphia Phillies J Moyer -L ML 2.40
901 Philadelphia Phillies J Moyer -L RL +1½ 1.645
904 Houston Astros S Chacon - R ML 1.943
904 Houston Astros S Chacon - R RL -1½ 2.900
906 Milwaukee Brewers J Suppan - R ML 1.990
906 Milwaukee Brewers J Suppan - R RL -1½ 3.050
908 Colorado Rockies U Jimenez - R ML 1.870
910 Arizona Diamondbacks D Davis - L ML 2.130
910 Arizona Diamondbacks D Davis - L RL +1½ 1.714
911 San Diego Padres R Wolf - L ML 1.990
911 San Diego Padres R Wolf - L RL -1½ 2.600
914 Texas Rangers J Jennings - R ML 1.725
914 Texas Rangers J Jennings - R RL -1½ 2.350
916 Boston Red Sox D Matsuzaka - R ML 1.6250
916 Boston Red Sox D Matsuzaka - R RL -1½ 2.330
918 Kansas City Royals B Bannister - R ML 2.380
918 Kansas City Royals B Bannister - R RL +1½ 1.7690
922 Tampa Bay Rays M Garza - R ML 2.090
922 Tampa Bay Rays M Garza - R RL +1½ 1.676
924 Los Angeles Angels E Santana - R ML 1.909
924 Los Angeles Angels E Santana - R RL -1½ 2.850
I may play some GT's, ALT RL's and ALT GT's later today as well, as they have been OK for me so far
*******************************************
Always risking units to win $$$ using Euro odds.
Play Results
Last Time Out ~ 7-Apr-2008 = 11-3 +$1,022.21
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L RL +1½ 1.5260 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ML 2.14 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ALT RL -1½ 2.80 W
959 Florida Marlins A Miller - L ALT GT Over 9 2.20 W
961 Atlanta Braves T Glavine - L ML 2.16 L
961 Atlanta Braves T Glavine - L ALT RL -1½ 2.60 L
962 Colorado Rockies A Cook - R ALT GT Under 9½ 2.050 W
964 Arizona Diamondbacks D Haren - R GT Under 9 2.00 W
970 New York Yankees M Mussina - R ALT RL -2½ 2.70 W
970 New York Yankees M Mussina - R ALT GT Under 9 2.20 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L RL +1½ 1.6061 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L ML 2.000 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L ALT RL -1½ 3.00 W
972 Los Angeles Angels J Saunders - L GT Under 8 2.000 L
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
YTD 2008 = 29-27-1 $1,094.22
ML's = 12-10 $519.90
RL's = 8-8 $249.12
GT's = 1-3-1 -$200.00
1st (5) innings = 0-2 -$200.00
ALT RL's = 3-4 $250.00
ALT GT's = 5-0 $475.20
ML Parlays = 0-0 $0.00
*************************************************
European Odds Conversion Chart
Favourites: For a person who risks a fixed amount per wager, you would read it as $ x Amount listed... Your return:
(ex. -105 = 1.9524)
$100.00 x .9524 = to win $95.24
$50.00 x .9524 = to win $47.62
$25.00 x .9524 = to win $23.81
$10.00 x .9524 = to win $9.52
Favourites: (American Odds = European Odds)
- -101 = 1.990
- -102 = 1.980
- -103 = 1.9710
- -104 = 1.9620
- -105 = 1.9524
- -106 = 1.9430
- -107 = 1.9350
- -108 = 1.9260
- -109 = 1.9170
- -110 = 1.9091
- -111 = 1.9010
- -112 = 1.8930
- -113 = 1.8850
- -114 = 1.8770
- -115 = 1.870
- -117 = 1.8550
- -120 = 1.83
- -125 = 1.80
- -130 = 1.775
- -132 = 1.7850
- -135 = 1.7410
- -140 = 1.71
- -145 = 1.69
- -150 = 1.67
- -155 = 1.65
- -160 = 1.63
- -165 = 1.61
- -170 = 1.59
- -175 = 1.57
- -180 = 1.56
- -185 = 1.54
- -190 = 1.53
- -195 = 1.51
- -200 = 1.50
- -205 = 1.49
- -210 = 1.48
- -215 = 1.47
- -220 = 1.46
- -225 = 1.44
- -235 = 1.43
- -250 = 1.40
- -260 = 1.39
Underdogs:
For a person who risks a fixed amount per wager, you would read it as $ risked x Amount listed.
Your return: (ex. +105 = 2.05) you win back your original wager, plus the amount listed.
$100.00 x 2.05 = you win $105.00
$50.00 x 2.05 = you win $52.50
$25.00 x 2.05 = you win $26.25
$10.00 x 2.05 = you win $10.50
