Boston to win World Series -235

[JB]

You have got to be kidding me!?!?!?!?!?!

I think Beckett in Game 1 was -200 to boot.

WOW!

[cavorca12]

I was pretty surprised at those too. Even though Boston -- AL power, stud in Beckett, home field, ect -- is a clear favorite, this is the World Series. Not like Col has won 22 in a row, oh...uh... Point being, they will show up to play the games. Francis has been pitching very well and has a great D behind him. Getting +190 in gm 1 sounds good to me, maybe even juice it up and go Col -1.5 for whatever as well. It'll be interesting to see what the series price is if Bos wins gm 1. Regardless, I'll be taking a closer look at Col. Maybe it is a good value play, but on the flip side, could be high to deter Bos and sucker Col bets. Another thing I'm going to be watching is the totals on the games in Col. With all that snow, I'm curious to see where those are set.

Are you considering a play on Col for the series and/or gm 1?

[JB]

Its getting worse by the way.

Boston Game 1 is now -215 (+190 for Colorado)
Boston to win the series is -240 (+200 for Colorado)

I played Colorado right when the playoffs started and got them to win the World Series at +1100

With the odds currently the way they are thats just about impossiable to hedge. Risking basically 5 units to win 2 is just flat stupid.

IF Colorado would win game 1 then the odds on Boston would fall to probably -120 or even lower and I would be able to hedge.

At this point....YES I would consider a play on Colorado in Game 1 at 2-1 odds.
I WONT play Beckett at -215 that is for sure.

The only option for me is to either play Colorado Game 1 or to leave the game alone and look at what happens in Game 2 after the results of Game 1. Those are my two options.

[homedawg]

I dont think the rox series price is worth it... they should be a dog in every game like cle was... if rox can take game 1, that pays almost as much as the series... IMO, for the rox to win the series, they will need to beat beckett... :beer2:

I am lookin' at the total games for the series:

4-+425... dont think either team can sweep (the rox took 2 outta 3 against the sox, earlier this year and are well rested, but the sox can turn it on, in must win situations)

5- +200
6- +180
7- +200


I am thinkin' 6 or 7.... and I can bet both, and guarantee +80 payout, if either hits... :drunk:

[cavorca12]

Oh yea, I forgot about your Col bet. Saw it on another thread and was curious when you got it. Nice call regardless of how it the series turns out :thumbs: .

I'm probably not going to play Col on the series, but I'm leaning to their value in gm1. Also lean to the under 8.5. Beckett will likely keep it low, and I like Francis to do the same. However, Bos was great against lefties this year at .285. Weather also looks to be in the 40's and soggy in Bos for gm1. I'm not sure if Col has played a game in that cold of weather, but they've at least been living in it recently. All together, the +190 doesn't look as great (AL>NL, Bos at H, focussed after coming back from 3-1, ect.), but it still might be good enough for a play IMO given all of Col's positives.

I'll probably throw a little on Col, but we'll get a better idea of where things stand in gm1. BOL on the series play! :beerbang:

[DevilsAdvokt]

5- +200
6- +180
7- +200


I am thinkin' 6 or 7.... and I can bet both, and guarantee +80 payout, if either hits... :drunk:

i agree but i would probably play 5 and 6

not alot of world series finish in 7 games

in my opinion 5 is more likely to happen than 7

i like these scenarios for a 5 game series 2-1-2 or 1-1-3 B-B-C-B-B OR C-B-C-C-C
baseball is about momentum majority of time

i think 6 is a great number


only way i see this going 7 games if plays out like this

1-2-1-1-2 B-C-C-B-C-B-B B= BOSTON 4-3

Good luck i like the idea of the series game play :thumbs:

[BoilerBacker]

You know me...I am Mr Dog, but I actually see value in Boston at -200. I dont think this is a contest. I could be wrong.

Colorado was off for 9 days. Longest in history. If anything cools them down it will be the long dead time. Beckett was the best pitcher in baseball this year,....my opinion. The National League is so bad compared to the AL, it is not a contest. In my opinion there were three teams in the AL that would have made the playoffs ahead of the teams that did make it.....Toronto, Seattle and Detroit. The NL Central is a joke and many of the wins that Col had at the end were vs. a Dodger team that did not give a rats ass. And they still had to win a playoff game vs. SD to get in.

That being said, I think Colorado is definitely the best team in the NL. They probably have an advantage over Boston in defense although Boston (especially Ramirez) surprised the crap out of me with some good play in the field. They were one of the stronger teams in the NL vs. the AL. I am not sold on Boston's middle relief.

I hope it is a good series though....played Boston for series prior to the ALCS and got +125. A steal now.... Tonight I took Boston at -1.5 for even money for a small play.

[Stifler's Mom]

I agree about the talent gap between the AL and NL, but do not agree that DET, TOR and/or SEA are better teams than COL.

DET was just god awful this year....losing not only to top teams, but everyone. Some of the worst pitching in MLB, and considering how many weapons they were supposed to have, the offense sure disappeared pretty often as well.

TOR just isn't there yet, and it was pretty clear in their erratic and inconsistant play.

SEA IMO is the best of those 3 teams, and they were hot for a while, but took a crap going down the stretch where it counted. Insufficient pitching for the M's as well.

BOS, COL, and CLE were the best 3 teams in baseball this year....and you don't win 22 of 23 or whatever just because you faced one team who didn't give a crap.

Something has to be said for destroying, and sweeping, both the previously hot Phillies, and then the D'backs.

I do however think the layoff will hurt tonight....but IMO COL makes a series of this.....just not tonight.

[homedawg]

COL makes a series of this.....just not tonight.

win or lose, its 50/50 odds.... :prtytim:

[BoilerBacker]

I agree about the talent gap between the AL and NL, but do not agree that DET, TOR and/or SEA are better teams than COL.

DET was just god awful this year....losing not only to top teams, but everyone. Some of the worst pitching in MLB, and considering how many weapons they were supposed to have, the offense sure disappeared pretty often as well.

TOR just isn't there yet, and it was pretty clear in their erratic and inconsistant play.

SEA IMO is the best of those 3 teams, and they were hot for a while, but took a crap going down the stretch where it counted. Insufficient pitching for the M's as well.

BOS, COL, and CLE were the best 3 teams in baseball this year....and you don't win 22 of 23 or whatever just because you faced one team who didn't give a crap.

Something has to be said for destroying, and sweeping, both the previously hot Phillies, and then the D'backs.

I do however think the layoff will hurt tonight....but IMO COL makes a series of this.....just not tonight.

Stif:

My point was that Det Tor and Sea were better than Philly, Ariz and the Cubs. That is my opinion.

BB