fading the public

[TheBeholdah]

figured i'd post this here, I was thinking....if you find all the games that the public is on 65% or more, and put 50 on the other side of all the games for a whole year, wouldnt you come out on top? obviously there is no right answer and anything can happen, but the public is wrong so much that i would think it would be a great investment. let me know what you guys think, im sure people have talked about doing that but i dont know anyone who actually has tried that.

[birdsfan5]

I would say that will not work. IMO just cap the games and take the games you like:beerbang:

[joepa66]

I like to look at those numbers during the pro football playoffs, but don't put much stock in them otherwise. Me just calls 'em as me see 'em....and capps them of course!:beerbang:

[TheBeholdah]

i wouldnt be able to do that anyway right now, maybe in the future wen i have more money, i would cap games separately anyway and the pub fades would be like a separate system, thanks for the feedback, honestly wen i cap games i hate to even look at the percentages cuz it leads me to second guess games, but it would be interesting to see how consistent fading of the pub would play out

[Realtechfan]

You would be ok as long as you dont fade the ''MITT'':nuts:

[Kevin]

It'd work for a profit when you get into the 70%+ range. Im almost sure of it. (with nba and nfl)

Not sure about college.

Also, you'd need a fat bankroll to sustain periods of downtimes. Lotsa highs and lows in that I'd think. (good days and bad)

[homedawg]

take a GOOD look at what the BOOKS do when they are gettin' hit dat hard....


:beerbang:

[FearTheRaven]

What you want to do is check out lines that the public is a heavy consensus on and the line swings the other way. Preferably low spread games.

[Caesar]

Everytime I have used the public majority as a factor in my capping (just saying when I have), it usually results in a loss for me...so I don't even look it up if I can avoid it.

[Skinsfan]

As a general rule of thumb, I fade masterl

[Larry]

As a general rule of thumb, I fade masterl

And QuickNick:beer2:

[BoKnows]

Everytime I have used the public majority as a factor in my capping (just saying when I have), it usually results in a loss for me...so I don't even look it up if I can avoid it.

Murphy's Law in action for you!The gambling gods are smarter than the public!

[snowman]

prime example, the public was all over texas a&m. memphis gets there

[Stifler's Mom]

take a GOOD look at what the BOOKS do when they are gettin' hit dat hard....


:beerbang:

Couldn't have said it better myself.

Plus, use the public percentage and line moves to look for reasons WHY plays look too easy to the public, yet the line may be holding steady or moving opposite the public.

[V3r1f13d]

How anyone here doesn't consider themselves to be a part of the public baffles me.