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Hallelujah! It's CFB season and I'm happier than Richard Simmons at a spandex party. 
Glad to be back for another season. Anyway, here's my week one plays:
Louisiana-Monroe +3.5 vs. Tulsa (bought 0.5 pt) 1 unit LOSS
A 4-8 team last year, the Warhawks were a tough-luck team a year ago, dropping two 2-point games to Kansas and Kentucky. When they entered conference play, they lost by five points to Troy, had another two-point loss against Florida Atlantic and then lost another narrow game by four to Arkansas State. Talk about being snakebitten...
ULM returns 17 starters, including its entire O and Tulsa has lost 12 straight road openers, meaning they either don't play well early in the season and/or they struggle on the road. Not my favorite play of the week, but if last year was any indication of the moxy of the Warhawks, this will be a close one.
Prediction: Tulsa 30 ULM 28
LSU -18.5 at Mississippi State 2 units WON
Miss. State must rebuild a defense with five returning starters and improve an offense with that finished 97th in the nation in scoring offense and 103rd in total offense last year.
LSU has won the last seven games by a 295-81 margin, including two shutouts. They have 15 returning starters and QB Matt Flynn is a first year starter but has game experience and knows the system well.
The LSU defense will be lights out and Miss. State will have a hard time scoring against the Tiger defense that was one of the best in the country last season.
Prediction: LSU 35 Mississippi State 13
San Jose State +15 at Arizona State 1 unit
SJSU won nine games last season and capped off their season with a bowl victory. They have alot of momentum heading into 2007.
They return veteran quarterback Adam Tafralis who finished 11th in the nation in passing efficiency. The WRs have been depleted but he is surrounded by a solid and deep stable of RBs to take pressure off.
The defense should be solid again after forcing 30 turnovers last year. LB Matt Castelo is the nation’s leading returning tackler after recording 165 last year from his spot in the middle, while Dwight Lowery teams with Christopher Owens to give the Spartans the WAC’s best cornerback combination.
Arizona State has the talent to be a good team, they just consistently fall short of expectations. They should win this game, but a confident SJSU team with a tough defense should hang in there.
Prediction: Arizona State 24 SJSU 14
Texas Tech -9 at SMU 2 units
The Red Raiders passing vs. a suspect SMU defense...hmm.
TT quarterback Graham Harrell returns with experience under his belt. He had a "poor" season in many regards but still tossed for 38 touchdowns. He is back after leading that amazing 31 point comeback last season vs. Minnesota in the bowl game.
He will face a SMU defense that was awful against the pass last season and doesn't seem to appear any better off this year. From FSN:
"If the Mustangs fail to reach expectations, the defense will probably be the guilty party. Replacing three starting defensive linemen and five members of the two-deep is going to take its toll, particularly on a pass defense that was 110th nationally a year ago."
Last season the Red Raiders won by 32, I don't see why they should win by DD again this season.
Prediction: Texas Tech 35 SMU 20
I'll probably add more later in the week. GL All! :beerbang:
Glad to be back for another season. Anyway, here's my week one plays:
Louisiana-Monroe +3.5 vs. Tulsa (bought 0.5 pt) 1 unit LOSS
A 4-8 team last year, the Warhawks were a tough-luck team a year ago, dropping two 2-point games to Kansas and Kentucky. When they entered conference play, they lost by five points to Troy, had another two-point loss against Florida Atlantic and then lost another narrow game by four to Arkansas State. Talk about being snakebitten...
ULM returns 17 starters, including its entire O and Tulsa has lost 12 straight road openers, meaning they either don't play well early in the season and/or they struggle on the road. Not my favorite play of the week, but if last year was any indication of the moxy of the Warhawks, this will be a close one.
Prediction: Tulsa 30 ULM 28
LSU -18.5 at Mississippi State 2 units WON
Miss. State must rebuild a defense with five returning starters and improve an offense with that finished 97th in the nation in scoring offense and 103rd in total offense last year.
LSU has won the last seven games by a 295-81 margin, including two shutouts. They have 15 returning starters and QB Matt Flynn is a first year starter but has game experience and knows the system well.
The LSU defense will be lights out and Miss. State will have a hard time scoring against the Tiger defense that was one of the best in the country last season.
Prediction: LSU 35 Mississippi State 13
San Jose State +15 at Arizona State 1 unit
SJSU won nine games last season and capped off their season with a bowl victory. They have alot of momentum heading into 2007.
They return veteran quarterback Adam Tafralis who finished 11th in the nation in passing efficiency. The WRs have been depleted but he is surrounded by a solid and deep stable of RBs to take pressure off.
The defense should be solid again after forcing 30 turnovers last year. LB Matt Castelo is the nation’s leading returning tackler after recording 165 last year from his spot in the middle, while Dwight Lowery teams with Christopher Owens to give the Spartans the WAC’s best cornerback combination.
Arizona State has the talent to be a good team, they just consistently fall short of expectations. They should win this game, but a confident SJSU team with a tough defense should hang in there.
Prediction: Arizona State 24 SJSU 14
Texas Tech -9 at SMU 2 units
The Red Raiders passing vs. a suspect SMU defense...hmm.
TT quarterback Graham Harrell returns with experience under his belt. He had a "poor" season in many regards but still tossed for 38 touchdowns. He is back after leading that amazing 31 point comeback last season vs. Minnesota in the bowl game.
He will face a SMU defense that was awful against the pass last season and doesn't seem to appear any better off this year. From FSN:
"If the Mustangs fail to reach expectations, the defense will probably be the guilty party. Replacing three starting defensive linemen and five members of the two-deep is going to take its toll, particularly on a pass defense that was 110th nationally a year ago."
Last season the Red Raiders won by 32, I don't see why they should win by DD again this season.
Prediction: Texas Tech 35 SMU 20
I'll probably add more later in the week. GL All! :beerbang:
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