Curious what people's thoughts are on totals this year in CFB and what the books will do early on to the totals to reflect the fact that kickoffs are now from the 30 instead of the 35. I read one article that suggested returns will go from 25 percent of the time to 75 percent of the time and that the average FPG could be 10 yards+. That combined with the fact that the stupid clock rule was repealed should "on paper" have game scores higher than last year. If teams are starting at their own 34 instead of the 20, that is a huge difference....especially for teams with good FG kickers. Now you only have to move 35 yards to get in scoring range as opposed to 50 yards.
This also puts a greater value on teams with good coverage or especially return games. This is coming a year too late for OSU. Can you imagine Ted GinnJr. with more open space and the opportunity to return a kick 2 or 3 times as many times. Even in handicapping a Side in a game, i think you really have to look at the return game as a significant factor. We always look at YPRush, total yards etc...but very rarely do you look at return and coverage games. I will certainly be looking at where teams stack up in YPReturn and the coverage game.......makes things interesting this year.
I haven't seen a "PPG" suggested adjustment for either (a) no more running clock and (b) better field position. Anyone have any thoughts? Will be interesting to see what vegas does with totals and if we see 3-4 point higher totals this year or even more.
This also puts a greater value on teams with good coverage or especially return games. This is coming a year too late for OSU. Can you imagine Ted GinnJr. with more open space and the opportunity to return a kick 2 or 3 times as many times. Even in handicapping a Side in a game, i think you really have to look at the return game as a significant factor. We always look at YPRush, total yards etc...but very rarely do you look at return and coverage games. I will certainly be looking at where teams stack up in YPReturn and the coverage game.......makes things interesting this year.
I haven't seen a "PPG" suggested adjustment for either (a) no more running clock and (b) better field position. Anyone have any thoughts? Will be interesting to see what vegas does with totals and if we see 3-4 point higher totals this year or even more.
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