NCAA week 4

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  • East TX Sliver
    Newbie
    • Jan 2013
    • 50

    NCAA week 4

    Previous seasons I tried to post all my picks and that eventually faded with 2 very small children and the same time struggles we all have. It is very demanding and I commend the diehards, appreciate the insight, and enjoy tailing a few of you.

    With all that said I will try to post a few plays each week and hopefully get hot!

    My reason for jumping in this week is to share a stat comparison I ran across for the Texas A&M vs SMU game that is currently sitting at aTm -33. I'm an aggie homer and can't wrap my mind around the spread. I think it is so off, it is down right scary. Any insight or opinions are welcome. Below is the stat comparison and I will follow it with picks starting tomorrow.

    *SMU dead last in rushing, by a large margin. They have -16 total rush yards on the season.
    *SMU averages -.41 yards per carry, dead last.
    *SMU's longest run is 11 yards and it's their only run of the season of at least 10 yards.
    *SMU is last in the nation in 10+ yard plays with only 15.
    *SMU is last in the nation in 20+ yard plays with only 3.
    *SMU has only reached the red zone ONE time. And on that possession then ended up backing up to the 33 yard line before scoring on a hail mary for their only touchdown on the year.
    *SMU averages 3 points per game, dead last by a large margin.
    *SMU is ranked 124th in passer rating as a team.
    *SMU is ranked 127th in yards per attempt passing (out of 128).
    *SMU is last in 3rd down conversions with only 17% success.
    *SMU is last in first downs with only 12 per game.
    *SMU is last in sacks allowed, by a large margin, with 6.5 per game.
    *SMU is last in yards per play, with 2.75, which is around 30% lower than the next worst team of the last several years going back as far as I could find stats for.

    Meanwhile...
    *A&M averages 54 points per game (4th in the nation)
    *408 yards passing per game (6th nationally)
    *596 total yards per game (4th nationally)
    *31 first downs per game (3rd nationally)
    *62% 3rd down success (3rd nationally)
    *3 sacks per game (21st in the nation)
    *68 plays of at least 10 yards (1st in the nation)
    *12 plays of 30+ yards (6th nationally)
    *A&M has allowed 0 rushing touchdowns (tied for 1st nationally, naturally)
    *Kenny Hill is the only QB in the nation with more than 8 TD passes (he has 11) and 0 interceptions.
  • Iron Protocol
    Gridiron Professor
    • Sep 2012
    • 25

    #2
    Pretty compelling argument, especially since the overs are at 61. I can imagine if they get up 4 scores they might sit some offensive starters to rest up for the Arkansas, Ole Miss, and Bama Games in the next 4 weeks. You gotta think that even the backups are capable of maintaining and increasing the lead to cover the chalk.
    Last edited by Iron Protocol; 09-17-2014, 09:28 PM. Reason: typo

    Comment

    • East TX Sliver
      Newbie
      • Jan 2013
      • 50

      #3
      NCAA FB 0-0

      Auburn -7.5

      Comment

      • East TX Sliver
        Newbie
        • Jan 2013
        • 50

        #4
        NCAA FB 0-1

        Texas A&M -34
        WVU +7.5
        Duke -16.5
        Wisc -26.5
        BYU -14
        Mizzou -13.5
        UNC +2
        Oregon -23.5

        Comment

        • BoilerBacker
          Big 10 Commish/Moderator
          • Mar 2007
          • 24944

          #5
          Good Luck, dude...

          Where abouts in East Tx are you?

          I am down in Houston.

          and a late welcome to the forum...

          :welcome:
          Go Boilers!
          Thru 11/20

          NCAAB 46-48-2 -17.97 units
          2* 2-5
          3* 0-2
          1H 1-0
          2H 43-41-2

          Comment

          • East TX Sliver
            Newbie
            • Jan 2013
            • 50

            #6
            I live in Lumberton, which is about 20 miles north of Beaumont. Thanks for the welcome!

            Comment

            • hardensportspicks
              Senior Member
              • May 2014
              • 1072

              #7
              Good to see some Texas Boyz in here... I'm in the ATX. Good Luck 2 both of YA

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