Bankroll Builder week#4

[Chris]

Fresno-3 (Friday)
Kansas State+4½ (Saturday)

[Chris]

Michigan State+7 x1 Part of me wanted to wait because public loves betting on the irish. Something tells me though that this game will get moved on today so wont get greedy and take the 7 while its there.

[DukiesBaby]

what do you see in k state that makes you wanna back them? interesting play

[Chris]

AS most of you know I base my plays on line movement and my lines compared to the market prices. Neither team is good in any stretch but I have this line at pk I really think the linemaker overvalued home field advantage in this game from the opener.. I also just feel Texas at this point should not be laying points to anyone. Maybe that's a bit strong but you know what I mean. If it goes to 6 or better I will get more.



09/18 08:22 AM +5½ +100 -5½ -112 CURRENT
09/18 08:21 AM +5 +105 -5 -118
09/17 08:30 PM +4½ +110 -4½ -124
09/17 05:30 PM +4½ +101 -4½ -113
09/17 04:47 PM +4½ -107 -4½ -105
09/17 03:33 PM +4½ +101 -4½ -113
09/17 03:30 PM +4½ +105 -4½ -118
09/17 12:53 PM +4½ -102 -4½ -110
09/17 12:52 PM +4½ -104 -4½ -108
09/17 12:52 PM +4½ -101 -4½ -111
09/17 12:51 PM +4½ +101 -4½ -113
09/17 11:51 AM +4½ -107 -4½ -105
09/17 11:45 AM +4½ -111 -4½ -101
09/16 02:53 PM +4½ -107 -4½ -105
09/16 08:54 AM +4½ -111 -4½ -101
09/16 08:54 AM +4½ -110 -4½ -102
09/16 08:44 AM +4½ -106 -4½ -106
09/16 08:44 AM +5½ -118 -5½ +105
09/16 08:20 AM +5½ -110 -5½ -102
09/16 02:08 AM +6 -126 -6 +112
09/15 10:56 PM +6 -114 -6 +101
09/15 05:09 PM +6 -106 -6 -106 OPENER

[Chris]

Kansas State+6 x1

[Chris]

Utah+7 x1

[joepa66]

GL today Chris....like the Utes!

[Chris]

:bang: kstate down to 10 twice in the last 3 minutes and turn it over both times. LOL. so close to a back door cover. If the bookies would of needed it kstate would of scored twice. :laughing:

[Stifler's Mom]

ain't that the truth, lol

[JMED2]

Tell me about it!!!

Tell me about it Man, they killed me too!!!

Kent St, SMU, BAMA,,,what a FARCE!!!

All my picks using all the same methodologies
all go to CRAP after 3pm!!!

It's very frustrating for sure.:bang:

Best to YA!!!:beerbang:

[JMED2]

WOW!!!

Chris DUDE:

Dude Man, you just helped me EXPONENTIALLY!!!
Hence, EVERYONE HERE!!!:thumbs:

So much so, I'm starting a new section/POST next
week called the "THE 11:30AM 100 DIME PLAY EXPRESS".

Go have a Look at your research, like I just looked
at mine; and see if you see any similarities or
Las Vegas "COINCIDENCES" between these games
so far this YEAR:

Week #1,,,,,,,Washington(-3) 38-Boise St 6
Week #2,,,,,,,DUKE (-5) 28-Memphis 14
Week #3,,,,,,,RICE (-7) 23-Kansas14
This Week:,,,,Ball State(-10) 51-EMU 20

That's 4-0; SO FAR THIS season!!!

I'm going to go thru all my reasearch for the PAST
3 years and I'm gonna BET, NO PUN INTENDED, :laughing:
IT ALL SAYS THE EXACT SAME THING!!!

You just Sparked a train of Thought I've finally
acted upon which I've subconsciously believed
for YEARS!!!

You GENIUS SOB, I could KISS YOU!!!:gulp:

Best to YA!!!:beerbang:

[Chris]

Boise state vs Washington

08/31 08:04 PM +4 -110 -4 -110 CLOSE
08/31 11:34 AM +4½ -110 -4½ -110
08/31 10:47 AM +4 -110 -4 -110
08/30 05:48 PM +3½ -105 -3½ -115
08/30 01:52 PM +4 -110 -4 -110
08/25 01:32 PM +3½ -110 -3½ -110
08/09 01:58 PM +4 -110 -4 -110
08/04 04:32 PM +3½ -110 -3½ -110
08/04 12:23 PM +3 -110 -3 -110
07/02 08:53 AM +2½ -110 -2½ -110 OPENER


Don't see much here very little movement and the moves that I do see on the Boise side @4 and 4½ seem pretty much like the public coming in and betting because the moves are very gradual and the moves are not the big1

Duke@ Memphis

For some reason I can not find any line history on this game.

Kansas @ Rice

POINT SPREADS
TIME KU RICE
09/14 05:57 PM +6 -112 -6 -108 CLOSE
09/14 05:56 PM +6 -110 -6 -110
09/14 05:48 PM +6½ -110 -6½ -110
09/14 05:46 PM +6½ -115 -6½ -105
09/14 03:03 PM +6½ -110 -6½ -110
09/14 01:30 PM +6 -110 -6 -110
09/12 04:37 PM +6½ -115 -6½ -105
09/12 04:37 PM +6½ -110 -6½ -110
09/11 04:44 PM +7 -115 -7 -105
09/11 04:43 PM +6 -115 -6 -105
09/11 04:41 PM +6½ -110 -6½ -110
09/11 10:42 AM +7 -115 -7 -105
09/11 10:42 AM +7 -110 -7 -110
09/09 02:39 PM +6½ -105 -6½ -115
09/09 02:38 PM +6½ -110 -6½ -110
09/09 02:38 PM +7 -120 -7 +100
09/09 12:08 PM +7 -115 -7 -105
09/09 12:03 PM +7 -110 -7 -110
09/09 09:14 AM +6 -110 -6 -110
09/09 07:33 AM +6 -105 -6 -115
09/09 07:33 AM +6 -110 -6 -110
09/09 07:24 AM +6 -105 -6 -115
09/09 07:20 AM +5½ -105 -5½ -115
09/09 07:13 AM +5½ -115 -5½ -105
09/09 07:12 AM +5 -102 -5 -118
09/09 07:09 AM +5 -105 -5 -115
09/08 07:25 PM +5 -110 -5 -110
09/08 05:19 PM +4½ -110 -4½ -110
09/08 04:08 PM +4 -110 -4 -110
09/08 02:53 PM +4½ -110 -4½ -110
09/08 02:09 PM +3½ -110 -3½ -110
09/08 02:03 PM +3 -110 -3 -110
09/08 12:18 PM +2 -110 -2 -110 OPENER


Huge moves from 3,3½,4 more tan likely smart money by the big adjustments. Still if you miss the move and are betting at 6 your risk is so much higher because your laying 4 points the worse of it from opener. Not saying its a bad play ust not as good when you could of got it at a much weaker number.


Balls State@ EMU

09/21 11:58 AM -10½ -110 +10½ -110 Close
09/21 08:03 AM -10 -110 +10 -110
09/21 01:11 AM -9½ -115 +9½ -105
09/20 01:13 PM -9½ -110 +9½ -110
09/20 01:12 PM -10 -110 +10 -110
09/17 03:13 PM -10½ -110 +10½ -110
09/17 10:20 AM -10 -110 +10 -110
09/17 09:55 AM -10½ -115 +10½ -105
09/16 05:29 PM -11 -110 +11 -110
09/16 08:46 AM -11½ -110 +11½ -110
09/15 05:06 PM -11 -110 +11 -110
09/15 12:19 PM -10½ -110 +10½ -110 OPENER

small moves but ended up at its opening number that indicates the opening line was very solid. So I guess I am not seeing anything in regards to the moves in this 4-0 scenario that you are seeing.

[JMED2]

Look Closer,,,

I know, alot of numbers and times
going on there, but just look Closer:

BOISE/WASH: 08/30 05:48 PM +3½ -105 -3½ -115

KS/RICE: 09/09 02:39 PM +6½ -105 -6½ -115

BALL/EMU: 09/21 01:11 AM -9½ -115 +9½ -105

I have the DUKE/Memphis info as: 09/07 01:41 PM -4½ -115 +4½ -105

Now, what do you see?

Best to YA!!! :beerbang:

[JMED2]

You see it yet???

HINT:

Think Las Vegas, a 21 table, you ever been?

What happens, what do you do, when the Dealer
shows his Top card and its a 7?

What does Probability theory say to do?

This is so awesome, Im gonna BLOW you freaking Mind!

Think...:beerbang:

[JMED2]

You got it?

BIGGER HINT:

You see the 7...

Think HOLD or HIT.

The Dealer must HOLD on 17+, he must HIT on 16 or LESS.

What's his hole card, what are the probabilities:

2-3-4...He must HIT, 4 is very favorable.

5-6-7-8,,,He must HIT, and it's unfavorable

9, 10, J, Q, K, A...He must HOLD.

This is a College football game, not a Blackjack
table, but you have done all your game day research.
You're watching the Football line/BT movement
so you haven't made a bet yet; so Let's make
your hand an 18.

You see this:

BOISE/WASH: 08/30 05:48 PM +3½ -105 -3½ -115

KS/RICE: 09/09 02:39 PM +6½ -105 -6½ -115

BALL/EMU: 09/21 01:11 AM -9½ -115 +9½ -105

DUKE/Memphis: 09/07 01:41 PM -4½ -115 +4½ -105

Now, what do you see?

Best to YA!!! :beerbang: