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Winston Salem +5.5 -120
This is a line that I feel is completely off key as I have WSSU as a solid 3 point home favorite.
Don't get me wrong, Wayne State is not a bad team, however I just feel they are a notch below WSSU. The Rams have the better defense with good size & speed at key positions which was on showcase in their overwhelming of a very good New Haven offense.
The Warriors offense is pretty good with 2 1000 yard backs in Toney Davis and Josh Renel. The key for the Rams is to limit big plays on the ground & not turnover the ball against a Warriors defense that is filled with ball hawks. If they avoid turning it over, I feel their superiority on defense will win out against a team that I feel won't have much left in the tank after 3 straight postseason road games.
Delta State +14 -120
u60 Delta State-Pittsburg State -120
This line is absolutely ******* laughable. These two teams are pretty much even in all facets. The only real advantage is that P.S. is at a home.
The Pittsburg State defense has been extremely stout & made one of the nation's best passers Dane Simoneau look horrible last week when he went 14 for 40 as the nation's highest scoring offense was held to season lows.
However even with saying that, I want to see them do it again as Delta State has moved the ball on everybody as no one has come close to shutting them down. This will be by far the most athletic team P.S. has faced this season. If the Delta offense can avoid turnovers & capitalize in the red zone with touchdowns, they will be in great shape.
Defensively, this will be an interesting game for Delta. Their Achilles this season has been running QB's . Surprisingly they held up very well against North Greenville's spread option last week. However a huge difference between North Greenville & P.S. & that is the P.S. offensive line is far superior to NG & is by far the best one Delta will have seen this season.
This will be tough game for Delta either way but I do feel they can pull out an outright win much less cover a way too high 2 TD+ spread. My line on this is Pittsburg State -4 only because I respect the tough environment that their home field is.
Wesley College +6.5 -120
If there is ever a year for Wesley to breakthrough & make it to the title game, this is it. I will tell you right now, this line is way off as WC should be the favorite by at least 3 at Mount Union. The only reason they are not is because of Mount's reputation.
I am not saying MU are pushovers, but they are nothing like the Mount teams of recent time. Even the most diehard fan would admit that. This year's team is built around their defense as the offense has been nowhere near as dynamic as usual.
They are technically down to their 3rd string QB although they did play 3 QB's last week. If you saw any of the 2nd H of last week's game, it would show you how inconsistent their offense is. Their plan was pretty much put it on the defense to not let the other team score enough.
I admit their defense is good especially with ball hawk Nick Driskill who pretty much is the Revis of D3. No one wants to throw at him & rightfully so. However he is not their only playmaker as their front six are pretty good.
However at the end of the day, 2 words are why Wesley wins this one by a TD or more, Shane McSweeny. He is the 4th most efficient passer in the nation & is just as dangerous with his legs. However he is not the only threat as their offense is filled with playmakers including speedy WR's Steven Koudoussou and Matt Barile & their extremely talented TE Sean McAndrew.
I actually have side wagers on this game with some people I know & I gave a few Mount +3 & Mount +7. They feel like I am being taken yet they have no clue.
Wesley has zero business losing this game. They are battle tested as they came out from by far the toughest bracket & beat 2 legitimate title contenders back to back in Linfield & Mary Hardin Baylor. Avoid the turnovers & jump out to a double digit lead & call it a day as Mount's offense doesn't have it in them to come back from that.
St. Thomas Minnesota +16 -120
o44.5 St. Thomas Minnesota-Wisconsin Whitewater -120
Here is another line that is off. I have WW has a solid 7 point favorite here mainly because they are home & the 2 time defending champs. They are one of the top teams no doubt but St. Thomas is no pushover. The problem some have with them is they feel they played nobody. This however is not true as the conference was down from past seasons which is not their fault. However technically speaking, they did beat 3 teams that were ranked during the season including their rival St. John's Minnesota (#25), St. Olaf (#19) & Bethel (#5).
They have the best the offensive weapon in D3 in Fritz Waldvogel. However they have some good depth at RB & WR so it is not a one man show even if Fritz's stats indicate that.
The defense is equally as impressive especially against the run where they are #1 in the country giving up only 622 yards in 13 games for a scary average of 1.56 yards per carry. They will be tested today against UWW's Levell Coppage. UWW like St. Thomas like to establish the run so it will be key for them to hold up against UWW's strong OL which is known for pushing people around. This will be the key battle in the game.
In the end, it would not surprise me if St. Thomas won outright as they have the talent & mental makeup to win. They just need to not be intimidated, avoid turnovers (especially early), withstand UWW's push to run them off the field in the 1st Q & come up with 1 or 2 really big offensive plays. I feel confident they can do these things & come out with a hard fought win or a very close defeat. Either way. 2 TD's + is way too much.
This is a line that I feel is completely off key as I have WSSU as a solid 3 point home favorite.
Don't get me wrong, Wayne State is not a bad team, however I just feel they are a notch below WSSU. The Rams have the better defense with good size & speed at key positions which was on showcase in their overwhelming of a very good New Haven offense.
The Warriors offense is pretty good with 2 1000 yard backs in Toney Davis and Josh Renel. The key for the Rams is to limit big plays on the ground & not turnover the ball against a Warriors defense that is filled with ball hawks. If they avoid turning it over, I feel their superiority on defense will win out against a team that I feel won't have much left in the tank after 3 straight postseason road games.
Delta State +14 -120
u60 Delta State-Pittsburg State -120
This line is absolutely ******* laughable. These two teams are pretty much even in all facets. The only real advantage is that P.S. is at a home.
The Pittsburg State defense has been extremely stout & made one of the nation's best passers Dane Simoneau look horrible last week when he went 14 for 40 as the nation's highest scoring offense was held to season lows.
However even with saying that, I want to see them do it again as Delta State has moved the ball on everybody as no one has come close to shutting them down. This will be by far the most athletic team P.S. has faced this season. If the Delta offense can avoid turnovers & capitalize in the red zone with touchdowns, they will be in great shape.
Defensively, this will be an interesting game for Delta. Their Achilles this season has been running QB's . Surprisingly they held up very well against North Greenville's spread option last week. However a huge difference between North Greenville & P.S. & that is the P.S. offensive line is far superior to NG & is by far the best one Delta will have seen this season.
This will be tough game for Delta either way but I do feel they can pull out an outright win much less cover a way too high 2 TD+ spread. My line on this is Pittsburg State -4 only because I respect the tough environment that their home field is.
Wesley College +6.5 -120
If there is ever a year for Wesley to breakthrough & make it to the title game, this is it. I will tell you right now, this line is way off as WC should be the favorite by at least 3 at Mount Union. The only reason they are not is because of Mount's reputation.
I am not saying MU are pushovers, but they are nothing like the Mount teams of recent time. Even the most diehard fan would admit that. This year's team is built around their defense as the offense has been nowhere near as dynamic as usual.
They are technically down to their 3rd string QB although they did play 3 QB's last week. If you saw any of the 2nd H of last week's game, it would show you how inconsistent their offense is. Their plan was pretty much put it on the defense to not let the other team score enough.
I admit their defense is good especially with ball hawk Nick Driskill who pretty much is the Revis of D3. No one wants to throw at him & rightfully so. However he is not their only playmaker as their front six are pretty good.
However at the end of the day, 2 words are why Wesley wins this one by a TD or more, Shane McSweeny. He is the 4th most efficient passer in the nation & is just as dangerous with his legs. However he is not the only threat as their offense is filled with playmakers including speedy WR's Steven Koudoussou and Matt Barile & their extremely talented TE Sean McAndrew.
I actually have side wagers on this game with some people I know & I gave a few Mount +3 & Mount +7. They feel like I am being taken yet they have no clue.
Wesley has zero business losing this game. They are battle tested as they came out from by far the toughest bracket & beat 2 legitimate title contenders back to back in Linfield & Mary Hardin Baylor. Avoid the turnovers & jump out to a double digit lead & call it a day as Mount's offense doesn't have it in them to come back from that.
St. Thomas Minnesota +16 -120
o44.5 St. Thomas Minnesota-Wisconsin Whitewater -120
Here is another line that is off. I have WW has a solid 7 point favorite here mainly because they are home & the 2 time defending champs. They are one of the top teams no doubt but St. Thomas is no pushover. The problem some have with them is they feel they played nobody. This however is not true as the conference was down from past seasons which is not their fault. However technically speaking, they did beat 3 teams that were ranked during the season including their rival St. John's Minnesota (#25), St. Olaf (#19) & Bethel (#5).
They have the best the offensive weapon in D3 in Fritz Waldvogel. However they have some good depth at RB & WR so it is not a one man show even if Fritz's stats indicate that.
The defense is equally as impressive especially against the run where they are #1 in the country giving up only 622 yards in 13 games for a scary average of 1.56 yards per carry. They will be tested today against UWW's Levell Coppage. UWW like St. Thomas like to establish the run so it will be key for them to hold up against UWW's strong OL which is known for pushing people around. This will be the key battle in the game.
In the end, it would not surprise me if St. Thomas won outright as they have the talent & mental makeup to win. They just need to not be intimidated, avoid turnovers (especially early), withstand UWW's push to run them off the field in the 1st Q & come up with 1 or 2 really big offensive plays. I feel confident they can do these things & come out with a hard fought win or a very close defeat. Either way. 2 TD's + is way too much.
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