Tweet
Struggling in football now, just a forewarning!! :beer2:
Friday night:
Kent St -1 vs CMU for two units
Still looking at Saturday's plays, but here are my leans... thoughts?
Ball St. +3 at Eastern Michigan
Rutgers +2.5 vs USF - USF doesn't deserve to be a favorite vs anyone
Virginia -2.5 at Maryland
Syracuse -1 at UConn
Iowa St/Kansas o61.5 - two teams who don't have defense but can put up plenty of pts
Iowa +3.5 vs Michigan - lots of cappers on Iowa, and I'm now inclined to agree, but my bookie has a lot of Michigan fans and won't give the 4 or 4.5. Probably will stay away unless I can get that number
Arkansas -5 vs South Carolina - USC without Lattimore, forcing them one-dimensional, as Wilds despite rushing for 137 vs Tennessee... has only score 31 combined points vs Miss St./Tenn - possibly the two worst teams in the SEC. Arkansas having similar struggles here not covering, yet a line that covers the key 3 and 4...
Alabama -4 vs LSU - either way you go, you have an argument, I think LSU has trouble scoring
Utah +3.5 at Arizona - Utah hurting coming over to the Pac-12, but Arizona doesn't deserve to be a favorite here either.
Stanford -21 at Oregon St. - this is a game where I think the Cardinals are looking past this team to next week vs Oregon (their only real shot to lose this year), but I still think they cover on a let-down week.
Oklahoma St. -21 vs Kansas St. - another huge spread vs a team that has performed well earlier this season. Oklahoma -14 last week and they covered easily, this week it's the other power in OK. Congrats on KStates run, but it ends. Big spread = blowout, and this is one of those games.
Cincinnati -3.5 at Pittsburgh - another case where stud RB is out will make Pitt one-dimensional... Pitt QB putting together great games b2b is a stretch when Cincy will play against the pass. More talented team here for Cincy.
UTEP -1 vs Rice
UNLV +42.5 - Huge spread to cover on the road for a team that hasn't been covering huge spreads all season (just 1-3-1 ATS -21+, with lone win vs Colorado St.). This seems like an awfully huge number here, and the play is anti-public as well. :thumbs:
UL-Lafayette -5 vs UL-Monroe - two teams going in opposite directions. Cajuns already bowling and got a breakout performance from true-freshman RB last week 33-189 vs MTSU. Last home game of the season.
Western Kentucky +3 vs Florida International - FIU seem to be cooling off after their impressive start
Arkansas St. -16.5 at Florida Atlantic - public play here vs a winless team; ASU 7-1 ATS... FAU QB Graham Wilbert might play if injured elbow heals. 5/8 TD/INT ratio, might not be good. Like this number though for ASU
Obviously won't be playing all of these, but curious if any others are on some! :thumbs:
Friday night:
Kent St -1 vs CMU for two units
Still looking at Saturday's plays, but here are my leans... thoughts?
Ball St. +3 at Eastern Michigan
Rutgers +2.5 vs USF - USF doesn't deserve to be a favorite vs anyone
Virginia -2.5 at Maryland
Syracuse -1 at UConn
Iowa St/Kansas o61.5 - two teams who don't have defense but can put up plenty of pts
Iowa +3.5 vs Michigan - lots of cappers on Iowa, and I'm now inclined to agree, but my bookie has a lot of Michigan fans and won't give the 4 or 4.5. Probably will stay away unless I can get that number
Arkansas -5 vs South Carolina - USC without Lattimore, forcing them one-dimensional, as Wilds despite rushing for 137 vs Tennessee... has only score 31 combined points vs Miss St./Tenn - possibly the two worst teams in the SEC. Arkansas having similar struggles here not covering, yet a line that covers the key 3 and 4...
Alabama -4 vs LSU - either way you go, you have an argument, I think LSU has trouble scoring
Utah +3.5 at Arizona - Utah hurting coming over to the Pac-12, but Arizona doesn't deserve to be a favorite here either.
Stanford -21 at Oregon St. - this is a game where I think the Cardinals are looking past this team to next week vs Oregon (their only real shot to lose this year), but I still think they cover on a let-down week.
Oklahoma St. -21 vs Kansas St. - another huge spread vs a team that has performed well earlier this season. Oklahoma -14 last week and they covered easily, this week it's the other power in OK. Congrats on KStates run, but it ends. Big spread = blowout, and this is one of those games.
Cincinnati -3.5 at Pittsburgh - another case where stud RB is out will make Pitt one-dimensional... Pitt QB putting together great games b2b is a stretch when Cincy will play against the pass. More talented team here for Cincy.
UTEP -1 vs Rice
UNLV +42.5 - Huge spread to cover on the road for a team that hasn't been covering huge spreads all season (just 1-3-1 ATS -21+, with lone win vs Colorado St.). This seems like an awfully huge number here, and the play is anti-public as well. :thumbs:
UL-Lafayette -5 vs UL-Monroe - two teams going in opposite directions. Cajuns already bowling and got a breakout performance from true-freshman RB last week 33-189 vs MTSU. Last home game of the season.
Western Kentucky +3 vs Florida International - FIU seem to be cooling off after their impressive start
Arkansas St. -16.5 at Florida Atlantic - public play here vs a winless team; ASU 7-1 ATS... FAU QB Graham Wilbert might play if injured elbow heals. 5/8 TD/INT ratio, might not be good. Like this number though for ASU
Obviously won't be playing all of these, but curious if any others are on some! :thumbs:
Comment