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The Big Ten is the conference I follow most closely, and I think there is some good value to be found on a few games this week. If anybody wants to hear my thoughts, here they are.
Indiana +28 over Ohio State
I am a huge Buckeyes fan, but I don't see anyway they cover a four td spread, even at home. Indiana struggles defending the pass, Ohio State doesn't throw the ball. They will definitely take some shots down the field in this game, because of what they've seen on film, but expect a steady diet of Boom Herron and Braxton Miller running the ball. Indiana is also pretty good on the d line, two real studs up front. Indiana's freshman qb does a pretty good job taking care of the ball. The only way Ohio State covers this spread is if they get some defensive or special teams scores. I probably won't bet this game myself. I would rather lose money betting on my team then against it. But there is good value here. If I bet it, it will be a game time decision. Take Indiana plus the points. A lot of you bet Indiana last week, which was a week too late. Here's a good chance to get your money back.
Northwestern +17.5 over Nebraska
Nebraska blew out an emotionally flat Michigan State team last week. Northwestern blew out a bad Indiana squad. Is that the real Nebraska? Nebraska really struggles some times on offense. Taylor Martinez is a great runner, and maybe the worst passer in the conference. He throws off his back leg, instead of stepping into the throw. Persa is back for the Wildcats, and he is the best pure passer in the conference. Northwestern can put some points on the board. Quarterbacks rely on rhythm, and Persa is finding his. Northwestern hangs, and covers.
Iowa +4 over Michigan
I've been waiting for a while to see the real Wolverines show up. No way their defense has improved this much in just one year. Iowa, even when they're bad, plays with a great deal of discipline on defense. That's how you have to play against Denard Robinson. Vandenburg, Iowa qb, is a pretty good qb. He has not had a breakourt performance this year. He is so due. I really think this could be a money line bet. Iowa is 5-0 at home, 0-3 on the road. Michigan is over-rated. Iowa is always good for one nice upset every year. I think this is it. Take Iowa plus the points, and if you're feeling really ballsy, bet them on the money line.
I know, that's three dogs. Only a fool bets three dogs, right? Use these opinions as you will, and I hope they help someone make some scratch.
Indiana +28 over Ohio State
I am a huge Buckeyes fan, but I don't see anyway they cover a four td spread, even at home. Indiana struggles defending the pass, Ohio State doesn't throw the ball. They will definitely take some shots down the field in this game, because of what they've seen on film, but expect a steady diet of Boom Herron and Braxton Miller running the ball. Indiana is also pretty good on the d line, two real studs up front. Indiana's freshman qb does a pretty good job taking care of the ball. The only way Ohio State covers this spread is if they get some defensive or special teams scores. I probably won't bet this game myself. I would rather lose money betting on my team then against it. But there is good value here. If I bet it, it will be a game time decision. Take Indiana plus the points. A lot of you bet Indiana last week, which was a week too late. Here's a good chance to get your money back.
Northwestern +17.5 over Nebraska
Nebraska blew out an emotionally flat Michigan State team last week. Northwestern blew out a bad Indiana squad. Is that the real Nebraska? Nebraska really struggles some times on offense. Taylor Martinez is a great runner, and maybe the worst passer in the conference. He throws off his back leg, instead of stepping into the throw. Persa is back for the Wildcats, and he is the best pure passer in the conference. Northwestern can put some points on the board. Quarterbacks rely on rhythm, and Persa is finding his. Northwestern hangs, and covers.
Iowa +4 over Michigan
I've been waiting for a while to see the real Wolverines show up. No way their defense has improved this much in just one year. Iowa, even when they're bad, plays with a great deal of discipline on defense. That's how you have to play against Denard Robinson. Vandenburg, Iowa qb, is a pretty good qb. He has not had a breakourt performance this year. He is so due. I really think this could be a money line bet. Iowa is 5-0 at home, 0-3 on the road. Michigan is over-rated. Iowa is always good for one nice upset every year. I think this is it. Take Iowa plus the points, and if you're feeling really ballsy, bet them on the money line.
I know, that's three dogs. Only a fool bets three dogs, right? Use these opinions as you will, and I hope they help someone make some scratch.
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